Sagamihara vs Kagoshima United — J3 League
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Sagamihara Gion Stadium·Sagamihara·Japan·15,300
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Sagamihara and Kagoshima United meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Sagamihara have recorded 15 wins from 32 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Kagoshima United have won 56% of their 36 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Sagamihara and 1.41 for Kagoshima United. The models give Sagamihara a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kagoshima United win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Sagamihara—
Kagoshima United5º
Position
1º
1.91
PPG
2.36
55%
Win %
73%
1.82
Goals / game
2.09
1.09
Conceded / game
1.18
59%
BTTS %
50%
31%
Clean sheet %
31%
69%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sagamihara
Home (6)
—
Kagoshima United
Away (5)
1.83
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
60%
1.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.40
56%
BTTS %
39%
33%
Clean sheet %
39%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sagamihara | Home | Away | Kagoshima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 83% | 86% | 72% | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 44% | 64% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 28% | 29% | 25% | 28% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 17% | 14% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Sagamihara | Home | Away | Kagoshima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 67% | 71% | 69% | 78% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 39% | 57% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 22% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 33% | 29% | 31% | 22% | 39% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sagamihara | Kagoshima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS | 59% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sagamihara | Kagoshima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 54% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Sagamihara (H)W
Kamatamare Sanuki3–2
Kamatamare Sanuki3–2W
Osaka1–0
Osaka1–0L
Kitakyushu1–2
Kitakyushu1–2D
Parceiro Nagano1–1
Parceiro Nagano1–1L
Jubilo Iwata0–3
Jubilo Iwata0–3W
Kanazawa2–1
Kanazawa2–1Kagoshima United (A)L
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1L
Cerezo Osaka0–2
Cerezo Osaka0–2DKitakyushu1–1
Kitakyushu1–1W
Biwako Shiga2–1
Biwako Shiga2–1WKamatamare Sanuki4–3
Kamatamare Sanuki4–3W
Albirex Niigata4–0
Albirex Niigata4–0Head to Head · 14 matches
4
Sagamihara
29%
1
Draws
7%
9
Kagoshima United
64%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
57%
Over 2.5
8/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
16/08/25Sagamihara
Kagoshima United
3–0Sagamihara01/03/25Kagoshima United
Sagamihara
0–2Kagoshima United09/09/23Kagoshima United
Sagamihara
0–3Kagoshima United26/03/23Sagamihara
Kagoshima United
2–1Sagamihara20/08/22Kagoshima United
Sagamihara
0–1Kagoshima United17/07/22Sagamihara
Kagoshima United
0–1Sagamihara22/11/20Sagamihara
Kagoshima United
0–1Sagamihara02/08/20Kagoshima United
Sagamihara
2–1Kagoshima United02/12/18Kagoshima United
Sagamihara
1–0Kagoshima United19/05/18Sagamihara
Kagoshima United
2–1Sagamihara03/12/17Sagamihara
Kagoshima United
5–2Sagamihara16/07/17Kagoshima United
Sagamihara
1–3Kagoshima United23/10/16Kagoshima United
Sagamihara
0–4Kagoshima United13/08/16Sagamihara
Kagoshima United
1–1Sagamihara| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 |  Nara Club | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 |  FC Gifu | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 | Osaka | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Parceiro Nagano | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 | Kanazawa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Biwako Shiga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  FC Ryukyu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Gainare Tottori | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Kitakyushu | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 |  Tochigi SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -21 | 5 |
Team Insights
Sagamihara- ●Sagamihara have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Kagoshima United- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
SagamiharaWABiwako Shiga2–0
Biwako Shiga2–0WHKamatamare Sanuki3–2
Kamatamare Sanuki3–2WHOsaka1–0
Osaka1–0DARenofa Yamaguchi2–2
Renofa Yamaguchi2–2LHKitakyushu1–2
Kitakyushu1–2WAMatsumoto Yamaga3–1
Matsumoto Yamaga3–1–AFC Gifu21/10
FC Gifu21/10–HTochigi SC24/10
Tochigi SC24/10–AKochi United31/10
Kochi United31/10Kagoshima UnitedWHEhime FC4–2
Ehime FC4–2LAMatsumoto Yamaga0–1
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1WHFukushima United3–2
Fukushima United3–2DAKitakyushu1–1
Kitakyushu1–1WHTochigi SC3–1
Tochigi SC3–1WABiwako Shiga2–1
Biwako Shiga2–1–HKochi United21/10
Kochi United21/10–AOsaka24/10
Osaka24/10–HRoasso Kumamoto31/10
Roasso Kumamoto31/10Top Scorers
SagamiharaK. Sasaki9 ⚽
R. Sugimoto8 ⚽
S. Okita8 ⚽
T. Shimakawa5 ⚽
A. Tanahashi5 ⚽
R. Nakayama4 ⚽
Kagoshima UnitedR. Arita9 ⚽
K. Kawamura6 ⚽
A. Takahashi6 ⚽
R. Saga6 ⚽
K. Yoshio3 ⚽
M. Fukuda3 ⚽
Cards Given
SagamiharaK. Kambe7 🟨
K. Pytlik5 🟨
T. Takeuchi5 🟨
K. Sasaki5 🟨
M. Tokida4 🟨
K. Watahiki4 🟨
Kagoshima UnitedS. Inaba4 🟨
R. Saga3 🟨
G. Egawa3 🟨
K. Fujimura3 🟨
K. Kawamura3 🟨
Y. Aoki3 🟨