Fukushima United vs Sagamihara — J3 League
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Fukushima United and Sagamihara meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Fukushima United have recorded 10 wins from 36 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Sagamihara have won 45% of their 33 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Fukushima United and 1.85 for Sagamihara. The models give Fukushima United a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sagamihara win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Fukushima United | Home | Away | Sagamihara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 84% | 76% | 85% | 83% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 53% | 35% | 52% | 44% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 32% | 24% | 27% | 28% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 16% | 24% | 15% | 17% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Fukushima United | Home | Away | Sagamihara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 95% | 82% | 70% | 67% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 79% | 53% | 48% | 39% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 37% | 41% | 24% | 22% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 5% | 18% | 30% | 33% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fukushima United | Sagamihara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 24% |
| BTTS | 72% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fukushima United | Sagamihara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 20 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 29 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 20 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 | |
| 10 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 | |
| 14 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 | |
| 19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 8 | |
| 20 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Fukushima United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Sagamihara's goals have been scored away.