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Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma — J3 League

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Japan · J3 League · Regular Season - 17
Kitakyushu
Kitakyushu
16º · 1.08 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 24d 1h
vs
–
–
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Thespakusatsu Gunma
18º · 0.83 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 23d 19h
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Kitakyushu and Thespakusatsu Gunma meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Kitakyushu have recorded 10 wins from 39 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Thespakusatsu Gunma have won 28% of their 36 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 8%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Kitakyushu and 1.12 for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The models give Kitakyushu a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Thespakusatsu Gunma win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Kitakyushu
—
Thespakusatsu Gunma
16º
Position
18º
1.08
PPG
0.83
25%
Win %
25%
1.33
Goals / game
0.92
1.75
Conceded / game
1.83
67%
BTTS %
67%
15%
Clean sheet %
8%
62%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Kitakyushu
Home (6)
—
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Away (6)
1.50
PPG
0.67
33%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
0.67
1.17
Conceded / game
1.67
72%
BTTS %
68%
22%
Clean sheet %
5%
61%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

KitakyushuHomeAwayThespakusatsu GunmaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%89%71%72%71%74%
Over 1.5 Scored33%33%33%31%29%32%
Over 2.5 Scored5%6%5%14%18%11%
Failed To Score21%11%29%28%29%26%

Goals Conceded

KitakyushuHomeAwayThespakusatsu GunmaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded85%78%90%92%88%95%
Over 1.5 Conceded56%50%62%56%53%58%
Over 2.5 Conceded28%28%29%36%29%42%
Clean Sheets15%22%10%8%12%5%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

KitakyushuThespakusatsu Gunma
Over 0.597%97%
Over 1.582%81%
Over 2.562%64%
Over 3.533%47%
Over 4.518%25%
BTTS67%67%
BTTS & Win13%22%
BTTS & Draw15%14%
BTTS & Over 2.556%58%
BTTS No & Over 2.55%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

KitakyushuThespakusatsu Gunma
Win 1st Half14%20%
Draw 1st Half42%31%
Loss 1st Half44%49%
Scored 1st Half33%40%
Conceded 1st Half56%66%
Win 2nd Half28%31%
Draw 2nd Half39%26%
Loss 2nd Half33%43%
Scored 2nd Half61%49%
Conceded 2nd Half61%54%
Over 0.5 HT64%83%
Over 1.5 HT33%49%

Recent Venue Form

Kitakyushu (H)
WOsaka3–1
WKochi United2–0
LNagoya Grampus1–3
DKagoshima United1–1
LGainare Tottori2–4
WIwaki1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma (A)
LMatsumoto Yamaga0–2
DGainare Tottori1–1
LEhime FC1–3
LRenofa Yamaguchi0–2
WParceiro Nagano2–1
LTokyo Verdy1–4

Head to Head · 20 matches

10
Kitakyushu
50%
5
Draws
25%
5
Thespakusatsu Gunma
25%
50%
Over 1.5
10/20
35%
Over 2.5
7/20
15%
Over 3.5
3/20
30%
BTTS
6/20
13/09/25
Kitakyushu
1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
30/03/25
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–2
Kitakyushu
03/10/21
Kitakyushu
2–2
Thespakusatsu Gunma
28/03/21
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–2
Kitakyushu
10/10/20
Kitakyushu
0–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
09/08/20
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
Kitakyushu
17/11/19
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–1
Kitakyushu
05/05/19
Kitakyushu
1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
18/11/18
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–0
Kitakyushu
29/04/18
Kitakyushu
0–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
20/07/16
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–2
Kitakyushu
08/06/16
Kitakyushu
0–3
Thespakusatsu Gunma
14/11/15
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
Kitakyushu
29/03/15
Kitakyushu
0–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
30/07/14
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–0
Kitakyushu
18/05/14
Kitakyushu
2–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
03/11/13
Kitakyushu
3–2
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26/05/13
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–0
Kitakyushu
15/07/12
Kitakyushu
0–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
27/04/12
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–2
Kitakyushu
J3 League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Kagoshima United12921+1229
2Ehime FC12822+1326
3Renofa Yamaguchi12723+823
4Nara Club12723+423
5FC Gifu12714+1222
6Sagamihara12633+721
7Osaka12552+920
8Roasso Kumamoto12552+720
9Parceiro Nagano12525017
10FC Ryukyu12525-117
11Kanazawa12426014
12Matsumoto Yamaga12354-114
13Biwako Shiga12426-314
14Gainare Tottori12426-1014
15Tochigi SC12345-413
16Kitakyushu12345-513
17Fukushima United12327-511
18Thespakusatsu Gunma12318-1110
19Kamatamare Sanuki12228-98
20Kochi United12129-235

Team Insights

Kitakyushu
  • ●Kitakyushu have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Kitakyushu have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●67% of Kitakyushu's goals conceded were conceded away.
Thespakusatsu Gunma
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●64% of Thespakusatsu Gunma's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
KitakyushuKitakyushu
LAFukushima United17º1–2
WHOsaka7º3–1
LANara Club4º0–2
WHKochi United20º2–0
LHNagoya Grampus1–3
DHKagoshima United1º1–1
WASagamihara6º2–1
LHGainare Tottori14º2–4
LAFC Ryukyu10º0–3
LAEhime FC2º2–4
Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma
LAMatsumoto Yamaga12º0–2
DAGainare Tottori14º1–1
WHFC Ryukyu10º2–1
LAEhime FC2º1–3
LHRoasso Kumamoto8º0–1
WHKochi United20º1–0
LARenofa Yamaguchi3º0–2
LHFukushima United17º1–3
LHAlbirex Niigata1–2
WAParceiro Nagano9º2–1

Season Schedule

Kitakyushu
LAFukushima United1–2
WHOsaka3–1
LANara Club0–2
WHKochi United2–0
DHKagoshima United1–1
WASagamihara2–1
–HParceiro Nagano25/10
–ARenofa Yamaguchi31/10
–HBiwako Shiga03/11
Thespakusatsu Gunma
LAMatsumoto Yamaga0–2
DAGainare Tottori1–1
WHFC Ryukyu2–1
LAEhime FC1–3
LHRoasso Kumamoto0–1
WHKochi United1–0
–HKamatamare Sanuki24/10
–AKanazawa31/10
–ANara Club03/11

Top Scorers

Kitakyushu
D. Takahashi5 ⚽
S. Yasumitsu3 ⚽
S. Watanabe3 ⚽
S. Koh3 ⚽
K. Yoshida3 ⚽
H. Izawa2 ⚽
Thespakusatsu Gunma
T. Nakashima9 ⚽
M. Hyakuda7 ⚽
S. Izuma3 ⚽
Y. Nishimura3 ⚽
R. Ohata2 ⚽
H. Konishi2 ⚽

Cards Given

Kitakyushu
R. Okano6 🟨
K. Fukumori5 🟨
D. Takahashi5 🟨
S. Hiramatsu4 🟨
H. Izawa3 🟨
M. Yoshinaga3 🟨
Thespakusatsu Gunma
S. Nose4 🟨
R. Fujimura4 🟨
T. Tamashiro3 🟨
T. Nakashima3 🟨
K. Kikuchi2 🟨
H. Konishi2 🟨