Kagoshima United vs Gainare Tottori — J3 League
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Shiranami Stadium·Kagoshima·Japan·19,934
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Kagoshima United and Gainare Tottori meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Kagoshima United have recorded 21 wins from 38 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Gainare Tottori have won 37% of their 38 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Kagoshima United and 1.17 for Gainare Tottori. The models give Kagoshima United a 59% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Gainare Tottori win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Kagoshima United—
Gainare Tottori1º
Position
14º
2.42
PPG
1.17
75%
Win %
33%
2.17
Goals / game
1.08
1.17
Conceded / game
1.92
53%
BTTS %
53%
29%
Clean sheet %
24%
45%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kagoshima United
Home (7)
—
Gainare Tottori
Away (6)
2.71
PPG
1.50
86%
Win %
50%
2.29
Goals / game
1.17
1.00
Conceded / game
2.17
63%
BTTS %
56%
21%
Clean sheet %
22%
53%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kagoshima United | Home | Away | Gainare Tottori | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 79% | 68% | 63% | 55% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 53% | 32% | 37% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 32% | 21% | 24% | 15% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 21% | 32% | 37% | 45% | 28% |
Goals Conceded
| Kagoshima United | Home | Away | Gainare Tottori | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 79% | 63% | 76% | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 16% | 21% | 39% | 35% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 5% | 5% | 24% | 15% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 21% | 37% | 24% | 25% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kagoshima United | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 16% |
| BTTS | 53% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 34% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kagoshima United | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Kagoshima United (H)W
Kochi United3–1
Kochi United3–1W
Ehime FC4–2
Ehime FC4–2W
Fukushima United3–2
Fukushima United3–2W
Tochigi SC3–1
Tochigi SC3–1W
FC Ryukyu2–1
FC Ryukyu2–1L
Consadole Sapporo0–1
Consadole Sapporo0–1Gainare Tottori (A)L
Roasso Kumamoto0–3
Roasso Kumamoto0–3W
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0L
Kanazawa1–4
Kanazawa1–4W
Kitakyushu4–2
Kitakyushu4–2W
Biwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga1–0W
Nagoya Grampus3–1
Nagoya Grampus3–1Head to Head · 19 matches
10
Kagoshima United
53%
3
Draws
16%
6
Gainare Tottori
32%
68%
Over 1.5
13/19
47%
Over 2.5
9/19
32%
Over 3.5
6/19
47%
BTTS
9/19
12/04/26Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
3–1Gainare Tottori22/03/26Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–0Kagoshima United18/10/25Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
3–1Gainare Tottori20/04/25Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–0Kagoshima United02/12/23Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
1–1Kagoshima United24/06/23Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
0–1Gainare Tottori24/09/22Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
6–0Kagoshima United16/04/22Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
1–0Gainare Tottori18/09/21Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–2Kagoshima United14/03/21Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
2–3Gainare Tottori07/10/20Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
1–3Kagoshima United15/07/20Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
1–2Gainare Tottori14/10/18Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
5–1Kagoshima United11/03/18Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
0–2Gainare Tottori08/10/17Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
1–2Kagoshima United04/06/17Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
2–1Gainare Tottori23/04/17Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–1Kagoshima United11/09/16Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
2–0Gainare Tottori10/04/16Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–1Kagoshima United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 29 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Nara Club | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |  FC Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sagamihara | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 7 |  Osaka | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 |  Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Ryukyu | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Biwako Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
Kagoshima United- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Gainare Tottori- ●Gainare Tottori have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Gainare Tottori's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Kagoshima UnitedLAOsaka1–2
Osaka1–2WHKochi United3–1
Kochi United3–1WHEhime FC4–2
Ehime FC4–2LAMatsumoto Yamaga0–1
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1WHFukushima United3–2
Fukushima United3–2DAKitakyushu1–1
Kitakyushu1–1–HRoasso Kumamoto31/10
Roasso Kumamoto31/10–ARenofa Yamaguchi03/11
Renofa Yamaguchi03/11–ASagamihara08/11
Sagamihara08/11Gainare TottoriLARoasso Kumamoto0–3
Roasso Kumamoto0–3DHThespakusatsu Gunma1–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–1LHFC Gifu0–1
FC Gifu0–1WAMatsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0LAKanazawa1–4
Kanazawa1–4LHNara Club2–3
Nara Club2–3–HKochi United25/10
Kochi United25/10–AFC Ryukyu31/10
FC Ryukyu31/10–HSagamihara03/11
Sagamihara03/11Top Scorers
Kagoshima UnitedR. Arita9 ⚽
A. Takahashi8 ⚽
K. Kawamura7 ⚽
R. Saga6 ⚽
M. Fukuda4 ⚽
K. Yoshio3 ⚽
Gainare TottoriD. Shinoda8 ⚽
S. Yamamoto7 ⚽
6 ⚽
N. Miki6 ⚽
S. Yajima4 ⚽
K. Hoshi4 ⚽
Cards Given
Kagoshima UnitedS. Inaba4 🟨
M. Fukuda3 🟨
G. Egawa3 🟨
K. Fujimura3 🟨
K. Nakayama3 🟨
K. Kawamura3 🟨
Gainare TottoriM. Lorenz5 🟨
S. Jong5 🟨
M. Kaneura4 🟨
S. Nikaido4 🟨
K. Hombo3 🟨
A. Tojo3 🟨