Roasso Kumamoto vs Kitakyushu — J3 League
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Egao Kenko Stadium·Kumamoto·Japan·30,504
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Roasso Kumamoto and Kitakyushu meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Roasso Kumamoto have recorded 17 wins from 40 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Kitakyushu have won 28% of their 40 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.11 for Kitakyushu. The models give Roasso Kumamoto a 49% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kitakyushu win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Roasso Kumamoto—
Kitakyushu8º
Position
16º
1.67
PPG
1.08
42%
Win %
25%
1.08
Goals / game
1.33
0.50
Conceded / game
1.75
35%
BTTS %
68%
38%
Clean sheet %
15%
38%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Roasso Kumamoto
Home (6)
—
Kitakyushu
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
0.67
17%
Win %
17%
0.83
Goals / game
1.17
0.83
Conceded / game
2.33
32%
BTTS %
62%
26%
Clean sheet %
10%
42%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Roasso Kumamoto | Home | Away | Kitakyushu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 47% | 76% | 80% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 42% | 33% | 35% | 37% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 16% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 53% | 24% | 20% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Roasso Kumamoto | Home | Away | Kitakyushu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 74% | 52% | 85% | 79% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 26% | 19% | 55% | 47% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 11% | 10% | 28% | 26% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 26% | 48% | 15% | 21% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Roasso Kumamoto | Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 18% |
| BTTS | 35% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Roasso Kumamoto | Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 16% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 24% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Roasso Kumamoto (H)W
FC Gifu2–1
FC Gifu2–1W
Gainare Tottori3–0
Gainare Tottori3–0L
Ehime FC0–2
Ehime FC0–2L
Kawasaki Frontale0–1
Kawasaki Frontale0–1D
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0D
Nara Club2–2
Nara Club2–2Kitakyushu (A)L
Fukushima United1–2
Fukushima United1–2LNara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2W
Sagamihara2–1
Sagamihara2–1L
FC Ryukyu0–3
FC Ryukyu0–3LEhime FC2–4
Ehime FC2–4D
Tochigi SC2–2
Tochigi SC2–2Head to Head · 15 matches
3
Roasso Kumamoto
20%
5
Draws
33%
7
Kitakyushu
47%
87%
Over 1.5
13/15
47%
Over 2.5
7/15
27%
Over 3.5
4/15
67%
BTTS
10/15
06/05/26Roasso Kumamoto
Kitakyushu
1–2Roasso Kumamoto22/02/26Kitakyushu
Roasso Kumamoto
4–1Kitakyushu27/05/24Kitakyushu
Roasso Kumamoto
1–1Kitakyushu10/11/19Kitakyushu
Roasso Kumamoto
1–1Kitakyushu02/06/19Roasso Kumamoto
Kitakyushu
1–2Roasso Kumamoto21/08/16Kitakyushu
Roasso Kumamoto
1–6Kitakyushu20/03/16Roasso Kumamoto
Kitakyushu
1–1Roasso Kumamoto15/08/15Kitakyushu
Roasso Kumamoto
0–1Kitakyushu14/06/15Roasso Kumamoto
Kitakyushu
2–0Roasso Kumamoto28/09/14Kitakyushu
Roasso Kumamoto
0–1Kitakyushu07/06/14Roasso Kumamoto
Kitakyushu
1–1Roasso Kumamoto05/09/13Kitakyushu
Roasso Kumamoto
1–2Kitakyushu15/06/13Roasso Kumamoto
Kitakyushu
7–0Roasso Kumamoto02/09/12Roasso Kumamoto
Kitakyushu
2–0Roasso Kumamoto17/06/12Kitakyushu
Roasso Kumamoto
2–2Kitakyushu| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 | Nara Club | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 | Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Biwako Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
Roasso Kumamoto- ●Roasso Kumamoto have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●61% of Roasso Kumamoto's points have been earned away.
Kitakyushu- ●Kitakyushu have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Kitakyushu's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Kitakyushu's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Roasso KumamotoWHFC Gifu2–1
FC Gifu2–1WHGainare Tottori3–0
Gainare Tottori3–0WAKamatamare Sanuki3–0
Kamatamare Sanuki3–0LHEhime FC0–2
Ehime FC0–2DABiwako Shiga0–0
Biwako Shiga0–0WAThespakusatsu Gunma1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–0–AKagoshima United31/10
Kagoshima United31/10–AOsaka04/11
Osaka04/11–HRenofa Yamaguchi08/11
Renofa Yamaguchi08/11KitakyushuWHParceiro Nagano3–1
Parceiro Nagano3–1LAFukushima United1–2
Fukushima United1–2WHOsaka3–1
Osaka3–1LANara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0DHKagoshima United1–1
Kagoshima United1–1–ARenofa Yamaguchi31/10
Renofa Yamaguchi31/10–HBiwako Shiga03/11
Biwako Shiga03/11–AFC Gifu07/11
FC Gifu07/11Top Scorers
Roasso KumamotoBae Jeong-Min6 ⚽
Y. Katori6 ⚽
5 ⚽
T. Nakayama3 ⚽
A. Iihoshi3 ⚽
K. Fujii3 ⚽
KitakyushuD. Takahashi6 ⚽
S. Koh4 ⚽
S. Yasumitsu3 ⚽
S. Watanabe3 ⚽
K. Yoshida3 ⚽
H. Izawa2 ⚽
Cards Given
Roasso KumamotoK. Nasu7 🟨
T. Ri4 🟨
W. Iwashita3 🟨
Bae Jeong-Min3 🟨
O. Ishihara3 🟨
Y. Omoto3 🟨
KitakyushuR. Okano6 🟨
K. Fukumori5 🟨
D. Takahashi5 🟨
S. Hiramatsu4 🟨
H. Izawa3 🟨
M. Yoshinaga3 🟨