Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC — J3 League
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Thespakusatsu Gunma and Tochigi SC meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Thespakusatsu Gunma have recorded 11 wins from 37 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Tochigi SC have won 25% of their 36 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Thespakusatsu Gunma and 1.12 for Tochigi SC. The models give Thespakusatsu Gunma a 40% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Tochigi SC win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Thespakusatsu Gunma—
Tochigi SC17º
Position
14º
1.00
PPG
1.08
31%
Win %
23%
0.92
Goals / game
0.92
1.69
Conceded / game
1.23
65%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
28%
62%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Home (7)
—
Tochigi SC
Away (7)
1.29
PPG
0.57
43%
Win %
0%
1.14
Goals / game
0.43
1.71
Conceded / game
1.29
61%
BTTS %
53%
17%
Clean sheet %
24%
56%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Home | Away | Tochigi SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 72% | 74% | 61% | 68% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 28% | 32% | 28% | 42% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 17% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 28% | 26% | 39% | 32% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Home | Away | Tochigi SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 83% | 95% | 72% | 68% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 58% | 44% | 42% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 35% | 28% | 42% | 14% | 5% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 17% | 5% | 28% | 32% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 11% |
| BTTS | 65% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Thespakusatsu Gunma (H)W
Kamatamare Sanuki1–0
Kamatamare Sanuki1–0W
FC Ryukyu2–1
FC Ryukyu2–1L
Roasso Kumamoto0–1
Roasso Kumamoto0–1W
Kochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0L
Fukushima United1–3
Fukushima United1–3L
Albirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2Tochigi SC (A)D
Sagamihara0–0
Sagamihara0–0LFC Ryukyu0–1
FC Ryukyu0–1DKamatamare Sanuki0–0
Kamatamare Sanuki0–0L
Kagoshima United1–3
Kagoshima United1–3D
Parceiro Nagano1–1
Parceiro Nagano1–1L
FC Gifu1–4
FC Gifu1–4Head to Head · 23 matches
6
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26%
8
Draws
35%
9
Tochigi SC
39%
48%
Over 1.5
11/23
35%
Over 2.5
8/23
17%
Over 3.5
4/23
35%
BTTS
8/23
12/04/26Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
5–1Thespakusatsu Gunma28/03/26Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–3Tochigi SC23/08/25Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–1Tochigi SC07/06/25Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
0–1Thespakusatsu Gunma20/10/24Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–0Tochigi SC08/06/24Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
1–1Thespakusatsu Gunma06/08/23Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–0Tochigi SC02/04/23Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
1–2Thespakusatsu Gunma04/09/22Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
1–1Thespakusatsu Gunma12/06/22Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–0Tochigi SC25/08/21Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
0–1Thespakusatsu Gunma29/05/21Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–0Tochigi SC06/12/20Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
2–2Thespakusatsu Gunma29/07/20Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–1Tochigi SC18/07/15Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–0Tochigi SC06/06/15Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
5–1Thespakusatsu Gunma28/09/14Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0Tochigi SC12/07/14Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
0–0Thespakusatsu Gunma22/03/14Thespakusatsu Gunma
Tochigi SC
3–0Thespakusatsu Gunma22/09/13Tochigi SC
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–1Tochigi SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 29 |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Osaka | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 4 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Nara Club | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 | Sagamihara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 |  Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 |  Biwako Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 |  Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 |  Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
Thespakusatsu Gunma- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Thespakusatsu Gunma's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Tochigi SC- ●Tochigi SC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Tochigi SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tochigi SC have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Tochigi SC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Thespakusatsu GunmaWHKamatamare Sanuki1–0
Kamatamare Sanuki1–0LAMatsumoto Yamaga0–2
Matsumoto Yamaga0–2DAGainare Tottori1–1
Gainare Tottori1–1WHFC Ryukyu2–1
FC Ryukyu2–1LAEhime FC1–3
Ehime FC1–3LHRoasso Kumamoto0–1
Roasso Kumamoto0–1–AKanazawa31/10
Kanazawa31/10–ANara Club03/11
Nara Club03/11–HOsaka07/11
Osaka07/11Tochigi SCDASagamihara0–0
Sagamihara0–0WHBiwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga1–0LAFC Ryukyu0–1
FC Ryukyu0–1LHRenofa Yamaguchi0–1
Renofa Yamaguchi0–1DAKamatamare Sanuki0–0
Kamatamare Sanuki0–0LHMatsumoto Yamaga1–2
Matsumoto Yamaga1–2–HEhime FC31/10
Ehime FC31/10–HFukushima United03/11
Fukushima United03/11–AGainare Tottori08/11
Gainare Tottori08/11Top Scorers
Thespakusatsu GunmaT. Nakashima9 ⚽
M. Hyakuda7 ⚽
S. Izuma3 ⚽
Y. Nishimura3 ⚽
R. Ohata2 ⚽
H. Konishi2 ⚽
Tochigi SCT. Nishino6 ⚽
Y. Kondo5 ⚽
T. Nagai5 ⚽
K. Nakano5 ⚽
W. I. Suzuki3 ⚽
K. Osone2 ⚽
Cards Given
Thespakusatsu GunmaS. Nose4 🟨
R. Fujimura4 🟨
T. Tamashiro3 🟨
T. Nakashima3 🟨
K. Kikuchi2 🟨
H. Konishi2 🟨
Tochigi SCH. Tsutsumi6 🟨
K. Osone5 🟨
H. Iwasaki5 🟨
Y. Yanagi4 🟨
K. Yano3 🟨
K. Sugimori3 🟨