Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga — J3 League
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Nara Club and Matsumoto Yamaga meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Nara Club have recorded 16 wins from 37 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Matsumoto Yamaga have won 33% of their 39 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Nara Club and 1.24 for Matsumoto Yamaga. The models give Nara Club a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Matsumoto Yamaga win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Nara Club—
Matsumoto Yamaga2º
Position
14º
1.93
PPG
1.13
60%
Win %
27%
1.87
Goals / game
1.00
1.40
Conceded / game
1.13
62%
BTTS %
49%
24%
Clean sheet %
28%
65%
Over 2.5 %
51%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Nara Club
Home (7)
—
Matsumoto Yamaga
Away (7)
2.14
PPG
1.29
71%
Win %
29%
2.29
Goals / game
1.00
1.29
Conceded / game
0.86
68%
BTTS %
59%
26%
Clean sheet %
24%
74%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Nara Club | Home | Away | Matsumoto Yamaga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 84% | 78% | 67% | 64% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 47% | 50% | 44% | 45% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 32% | 6% | 23% | 23% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 16% | 22% | 33% | 36% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Nara Club | Home | Away | Matsumoto Yamaga | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 74% | 78% | 72% | 68% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 42% | 61% | 33% | 41% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 32% | 22% | 10% | 18% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 26% | 22% | 28% | 32% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nara Club | Matsumoto Yamaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 13% |
| BTTS | 62% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nara Club | Matsumoto Yamaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 49% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 59% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Nara Club (H)W
Thespakusatsu Gunma3–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma3–0L
FC Ryukyu1–3
FC Ryukyu1–3W
Kitakyushu2–0
Kitakyushu2–0W
Biwako Shiga4–1
Biwako Shiga4–1W
FC Gifu2–1
FC Gifu2–1L
Sagan Tosu1–2
Sagan Tosu1–2Matsumoto Yamaga (A)L
Kamatamare Sanuki0–1
Kamatamare Sanuki0–1W
Fukushima United3–1
Fukushima United3–1L
Parceiro Nagano1–2
Parceiro Nagano1–2W
Tochigi SC2–1
Tochigi SC2–1D
Roasso Kumamoto0–0
Roasso Kumamoto0–0DKitakyushu1–1
Kitakyushu1–1Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Nara Club
43%
2
Draws
29%
2
Matsumoto Yamaga
29%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
06/06/26Nara Club
Matsumoto Yamaga
0–2Nara Club12/07/25Nara Club
Matsumoto Yamaga
3–0Nara Club01/03/25Matsumoto Yamaga
Nara Club
2–1Matsumoto Yamaga29/09/24Nara Club
Matsumoto Yamaga
1–1Nara Club13/04/24Matsumoto Yamaga
Nara Club
2–2Matsumoto Yamaga02/12/23Nara Club
Matsumoto Yamaga
0–1Nara Club05/03/23Matsumoto Yamaga
Nara Club
0–2Matsumoto Yamaga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 3 | FC Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 |  Ehime FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 | Parceiro Nagano | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
| 12 | Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Biwako Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 |  Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -17 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 9 |
Team Insights
Nara Club- ●Nara Club have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Nara Club have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Nara Club have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Nara Club failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nara Club have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Nara Club have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Nara Club have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Matsumoto Yamaga- ●Matsumoto Yamaga have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Matsumoto Yamaga failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Matsumoto Yamaga's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Nara ClubWHThespakusatsu Gunma3–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma3–0WAKamatamare Sanuki2–0
Kamatamare Sanuki2–0LHFC Ryukyu1–3
FC Ryukyu1–3LAOsaka0–2
Osaka0–2WAKanazawa1–0
Kanazawa1–0WHKitakyushu2–0
Kitakyushu2–0–HKochi United07/11
Kochi United07/11–ATochigi SC15/11
Tochigi SC15/11–HSagamihara21/11
Sagamihara21/11Matsumoto YamagaLAKamatamare Sanuki0–1
Kamatamare Sanuki0–1WAFukushima United3–1
Fukushima United3–1LHRenofa Yamaguchi0–2
Renofa Yamaguchi0–2WHThespakusatsu Gunma2–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0LAParceiro Nagano1–2
Parceiro Nagano1–2WHKagoshima United1–0
Kagoshima United1–0–HKanazawa07/11
Kanazawa07/11–AFC Gifu14/11
FC Gifu14/11–HFC Ryukyu21/11
FC Ryukyu21/11Top Scorers
Nara ClubS. Tamura15 ⚽
S. Mochizuki8 ⚽
R. Ando7 ⚽
R. Morita4 ⚽
S. Kawasaki4 ⚽
K. Ikoma3 ⚽
Matsumoto YamagaK. Fujieda7 ⚽
K. Murakoshi6 ⚽
K. Kaneko5 ⚽
I. Oda4 ⚽
A. Inoue4 ⚽
T. Kato4 ⚽
Cards Given
Nara ClubS. Kawasaki5 🟨
R. Shibamoto4 🟨
M. Vito4 🟨
R. Morita3 🟨
R. Sato2 🟨
T. Ishii2 🟨
Matsumoto YamagaT. Shirai5 🟨
T. Kato4 🟨
K. Murakoshi4 🟨
R. Yasunaga3 🟨
K. Kawakami2 🟨
D. Higuchi2 🟨