Renofa Yamaguchi vs Fukushima United — J3 League
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Renofa Yamaguchi and Fukushima United meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Renofa Yamaguchi have recorded 16 wins from 37 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Fukushima United have won 28% of their 39 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.24 for Fukushima United. The models give Renofa Yamaguchi a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Fukushima United win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | Fukushima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 65% | 85% | 79% | 85% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 47% | 40% | 44% | 50% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 6% | 15% | 28% | 30% | 26% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 35% | 15% | 21% | 15% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | Fukushima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 59% | 80% | 87% | 95% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 18% | 45% | 67% | 80% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 15% | 38% | 40% | 37% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 41% | 20% | 13% | 5% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Fukushima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 38% |
| BTTS | 51% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Fukushima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 31 | |
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 29 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +13 | 28 | |
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 28 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 27 | |
| 6 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 | |
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | +8 | 24 | |
| 8 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 23 | |
| 9 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 23 | |
| 10 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +2 | 23 | |
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +6 | 20 | |
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 19 | |
| 13 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 18 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 17 | |
| 15 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 17 | |
| 16 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 15 | |
| 17 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 | |
| 18 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -17 | 13 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 11 | |
| 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.