FC Ryukyu vs Renofa Yamaguchi — J3 League
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FC Ryukyu and Renofa Yamaguchi meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. FC Ryukyu have recorded 11 wins from 39 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Renofa Yamaguchi have won 43% of their 37 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for FC Ryukyu and 1.34 for Renofa Yamaguchi. The models give FC Ryukyu a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Renofa Yamaguchi win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
FC Ryukyu—
Renofa Yamaguchi9º
Position
5º
1.53
PPG
1.80
47%
Win %
53%
1.53
Goals / game
1.33
1.33
Conceded / game
0.80
54%
BTTS %
51%
21%
Clean sheet %
30%
51%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
FC Ryukyu
Home (8)
—
Renofa Yamaguchi
Away (8)
2.00
PPG
1.88
63%
Win %
63%
1.88
Goals / game
1.50
1.13
Conceded / game
0.88
50%
BTTS %
65%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
45%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| FC Ryukyu | Home | Away | Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 65% | 68% | 76% | 65% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 35% | 26% | 43% | 47% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 15% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 35% | 32% | 24% | 35% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Ryukyu | Home | Away | Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 75% | 84% | 70% | 59% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 50% | 53% | 32% | 18% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 25% | 16% | 30% | 41% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Ryukyu | Renofa Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS | 54% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Ryukyu | Renofa Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Ryukyu (H)L
FC Gifu2–3
FC Gifu2–3W
Gainare Tottori5–2
Gainare Tottori5–2W
Tochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0L
Kanazawa0–2
Kanazawa0–2D
Ehime FC1–1
Ehime FC1–1W
Kamatamare Sanuki1–0
Kamatamare Sanuki1–0Renofa Yamaguchi (A)W
Matsumoto Yamaga2–0
Matsumoto Yamaga2–0LEhime FC1–2
Ehime FC1–2WTochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0WFC Gifu2–0
FC Gifu2–0WKanazawa2–1
Kanazawa2–1WGainare Tottori3–0
Gainare Tottori3–0Head to Head · 12 matches
4
FC Ryukyu
33%
2
Draws
17%
6
Renofa Yamaguchi
50%
75%
Over 1.5
9/12
50%
Over 2.5
6/12
25%
Over 3.5
3/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
15/08/26FC Ryukyu
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0FC Ryukyu29/04/26FC Ryukyu
Renofa Yamaguchi
2–0FC Ryukyu14/03/26Renofa Yamaguchi
FC Ryukyu
1–1Renofa Yamaguchi18/09/22Renofa Yamaguchi
FC Ryukyu
0–1Renofa Yamaguchi12/03/22FC Ryukyu
Renofa Yamaguchi
2–3FC Ryukyu03/11/21FC Ryukyu
Renofa Yamaguchi
2–0FC Ryukyu06/03/21Renofa Yamaguchi
FC Ryukyu
2–1Renofa Yamaguchi08/11/20Renofa Yamaguchi
FC Ryukyu
1–0Renofa Yamaguchi18/07/20FC Ryukyu
Renofa Yamaguchi
4–1FC Ryukyu03/11/19FC Ryukyu
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–2FC Ryukyu03/07/19FC Ryukyu
Renofa Yamaguchi
2–1FC Ryukyu30/03/19Renofa Yamaguchi
FC Ryukyu
2–2Renofa Yamaguchi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 31 |
| 2 |  Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 3 | FC Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 |  Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +10 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 |  Biwako Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 18 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -17 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 9 |
Team Insights
FC Ryukyu- ●FC Ryukyu have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of FC Ryukyu's goals have been scored at home.
Renofa Yamaguchi- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
FC RyukyuLHFC Gifu2–3
FC Gifu2–3WHGainare Tottori5–2
Gainare Tottori5–2WANara Club3–1
Nara Club3–1WAParceiro Nagano1–0
Parceiro Nagano1–0WHTochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0LAThespakusatsu Gunma1–2
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–2–AFukushima United07/11
Fukushima United07/11–HKochi United15/11
Kochi United15/11–AMatsumoto Yamaga21/11
Matsumoto Yamaga21/11Renofa YamaguchiDHKagoshima United1–1
Kagoshima United1–1LHKitakyushu0–2
Kitakyushu0–2WAMatsumoto Yamaga2–0
Matsumoto Yamaga2–0LAEhime FC1–2
Ehime FC1–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0WATochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0–ARoasso Kumamoto08/11
Roasso Kumamoto08/11–AKamatamare Sanuki15/11
Kamatamare Sanuki15/11–HBiwako Shiga22/11
Biwako Shiga22/11Top Scorers
FC RyukyuH. Asakawa6 ⚽
T. Ishiura6 ⚽
K. Sota5 ⚽
T. Teruuchi3 ⚽
S. Iwamoto3 ⚽
Y. Kato3 ⚽
Renofa YamaguchiS. Yamamoto10 ⚽
D. Furukawa5 ⚽
K. Tanabe4 ⚽
S. Watanabe4 ⚽
K. Fujioka3 ⚽
K. Nakashima3 ⚽
Cards Given
FC RyukyuY. Funabashi5 🟨
H. Horiuchi5 🟨
R. Ikeda4 🟨
S. Kikuchi4 🟨
T. Ishiura3 🟨
R. Araki2 🟨
Renofa YamaguchiY. Wakasa6 🟨
R. Ozawa6 🟨
K. Oiwa4 🟨
S. Kikuchi3 🟨
K. Yoshioka3 🟨
K. Nakashima3 🟨