Tochigi SC vs Sagamihara — J3 League
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Tochigi SC and Sagamihara meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Tochigi SC have recorded 10 wins from 38 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Sagamihara have won 47% of their 36 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Tochigi SC and 1.40 for Sagamihara. The models give Tochigi SC a 37% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sagamihara win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Tochigi SC—
Sagamihara13º
Position
4º
1.20
PPG
1.87
27%
Win %
53%
0.93
Goals / game
1.67
1.07
Conceded / game
1.00
47%
BTTS %
58%
32%
Clean sheet %
33%
47%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tochigi SC
Home (8)
—
Sagamihara
Away (8)
1.75
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
63%
1.38
Goals / game
2.13
0.88
Conceded / game
1.13
43%
BTTS %
65%
38%
Clean sheet %
29%
48%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tochigi SC | Home | Away | Sagamihara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 67% | 53% | 83% | 79% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 12% | 50% | 42% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 19% | 6% | 28% | 26% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 33% | 47% | 17% | 21% | 12% |
Goals Conceded
| Tochigi SC | Home | Away | Sagamihara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 62% | 76% | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 38% | 47% | 44% | 37% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 5% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 38% | 24% | 33% | 37% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tochigi SC | Sagamihara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS | 47% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tochigi SC | Sagamihara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 34% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Tochigi SC (H)D
Fukushima United0–0
Fukushima United0–0W
Ehime FC2–0
Ehime FC2–0W
Biwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga1–0L
Renofa Yamaguchi0–1
Renofa Yamaguchi0–1L
Matsumoto Yamaga1–2
Matsumoto Yamaga1–2L
Montedio Yamagata0–1
Montedio Yamagata0–1Sagamihara (A)W
Gainare Tottori1–0
Gainare Tottori1–0W
Kochi United3–1
Kochi United3–1L
FC Gifu1–2
FC Gifu1–2WBiwako Shiga2–0
Biwako Shiga2–0DRenofa Yamaguchi2–2
Renofa Yamaguchi2–2WMatsumoto Yamaga3–1
Matsumoto Yamaga3–1Head to Head · 11 matches
2
Tochigi SC
18%
4
Draws
36%
5
Sagamihara
45%
45%
Over 1.5
5/11
18%
Over 2.5
2/11
9%
Over 3.5
1/11
18%
BTTS
2/11
24/10/26Tochigi SC
Sagamihara
0–0Tochigi SC19/04/26Sagamihara
Tochigi SC
0–2Sagamihara08/03/26Tochigi SC
Sagamihara
4–0Tochigi SC20/07/25Sagamihara
Tochigi SC
1–2Sagamihara22/02/25Tochigi SC
Sagamihara
1–0Tochigi SC09/08/21Tochigi SC
Sagamihara
0–0Tochigi SC11/04/21Sagamihara
Tochigi SC
0–0Sagamihara22/07/17Sagamihara
Tochigi SC
1–0Sagamihara28/05/17Tochigi SC
Sagamihara
1–0Tochigi SC18/09/16Sagamihara
Tochigi SC
1–1Sagamihara03/07/16Tochigi SC
Sagamihara
0–2Tochigi SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 31 |
| 2 |  Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 3 | FC Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 | Ehime FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 7 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | +8 | 24 |
| 8 |  Osaka | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 9 |  FC Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +6 | 20 |
| 12 |  Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Biwako Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 18 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -17 | 13 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -21 | 9 |
Team Insights
Tochigi SC- ●Tochigi SC have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Tochigi SC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Tochigi SC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Tochigi SC have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Tochigi SC have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Tochigi SC have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●79% of Tochigi SC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Tochigi SC's points have been earned at home.
Sagamihara- ●Sagamihara have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sagamihara have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●68% of Sagamihara's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Tochigi SCDHFukushima United0–0
Fukushima United0–0WHEhime FC2–0
Ehime FC2–0DASagamihara0–0
Sagamihara0–0WHBiwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga1–0LAFC Ryukyu0–1
FC Ryukyu0–1LHRenofa Yamaguchi0–1
Renofa Yamaguchi0–1–AGainare Tottori08/11
Gainare Tottori08/11–HNara Club15/11
Nara Club15/11–AThespakusatsu Gunma21/11
Thespakusatsu Gunma21/11SagamiharaWAGainare Tottori1–0
Gainare Tottori1–0WAKochi United3–1
Kochi United3–1DHTochigi SC0–0
Tochigi SC0–0LAFC Gifu1–2
FC Gifu1–2WABiwako Shiga2–0
Biwako Shiga2–0WHKamatamare Sanuki3–2
Kamatamare Sanuki3–2–HKagoshima United08/11
Kagoshima United08/11–AFukushima United14/11
Fukushima United14/11–ANara Club21/11
Nara Club21/11Top Scorers
Tochigi SCT. Nishino6 ⚽
Y. Kondo5 ⚽
T. Nagai5 ⚽
K. Nakano5 ⚽
W. I. Suzuki3 ⚽
K. Otabor3 ⚽
SagamiharaK. Sasaki9 ⚽
R. Sugimoto8 ⚽
S. Okita8 ⚽
A. Tanahashi6 ⚽
R. Nakayama5 ⚽
T. Maeda5 ⚽
Cards Given
Tochigi SCH. Tsutsumi6 🟨
K. Osone5 🟨
H. Iwasaki5 🟨
Y. Yanagi4 🟨
K. Yano3 🟨
K. Sugimori3 🟨
SagamiharaK. Kambe7 🟨
K. Pytlik7 🟨
K. Sasaki6 🟨
R. Yamauchi5 🟨
A. Tanahashi5 🟨
T. Takeuchi5 🟨