Gainare Tottori vs Kagoshima United — J3 League
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Gainare Tottori and Kagoshima United meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Gainare Tottori have recorded 14 wins from 42 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Kagoshima United have won 51% of their 41 matches, with 1.49 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Gainare Tottori and 1.35 for Kagoshima United. The models give Gainare Tottori a 28% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kagoshima United win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Gainare Tottori—
Kagoshima United17º
Position
4º
0.94
PPG
1.94
25%
Win %
56%
0.94
Goals / game
1.81
1.88
Conceded / game
1.19
50%
BTTS %
54%
24%
Clean sheet %
27%
50%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gainare Tottori
Home (9)
—
Kagoshima United
Away (8)
0.67
PPG
1.38
11%
Win %
38%
0.67
Goals / game
1.50
1.33
Conceded / game
1.38
43%
BTTS %
43%
26%
Clean sheet %
33%
35%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gainare Tottori | Home | Away | Kagoshima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 48% | 74% | 73% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 35% | 37% | 39% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 13% | 32% | 24% | 30% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 52% | 26% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Gainare Tottori | Home | Away | Kagoshima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 74% | 79% | 73% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 30% | 47% | 17% | 15% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 13% | 37% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 26% | 21% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gainare Tottori | Kagoshima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 12% |
| BTTS | 50% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gainare Tottori | Kagoshima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Gainare Tottori (H)L
Tochigi SC0–1
Tochigi SC0–1L
Sagamihara0–1
Sagamihara0–1D
Kochi United0–0
Kochi United0–0D
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–1L
Cerezo Osaka2–3
Cerezo Osaka2–3L
FC Gifu0–1
FC Gifu0–1Kagoshima United (A)LSagamihara0–1
Sagamihara0–1D
Renofa Yamaguchi1–1
Renofa Yamaguchi1–1L
Osaka1–2
Osaka1–2L
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1
Matsumoto Yamaga0–1LCerezo Osaka0–2
Cerezo Osaka0–2D
Kitakyushu1–1
Kitakyushu1–1Head to Head · 19 matches
6
Gainare Tottori
32%
3
Draws
16%
10
Kagoshima United
53%
68%
Over 1.5
13/19
47%
Over 2.5
9/19
32%
Over 3.5
6/19
47%
BTTS
9/19
12/04/26Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
3–1Gainare Tottori22/03/26Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–0Kagoshima United18/10/25Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
3–1Gainare Tottori20/04/25Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–0Kagoshima United02/12/23Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
1–1Kagoshima United24/06/23Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
0–1Gainare Tottori24/09/22Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
6–0Kagoshima United16/04/22Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
1–0Gainare Tottori18/09/21Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–2Kagoshima United14/03/21Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
2–3Gainare Tottori07/10/20Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
1–3Kagoshima United15/07/20Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
1–2Gainare Tottori14/10/18Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
5–1Kagoshima United11/03/18Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
0–2Gainare Tottori08/10/17Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
1–2Kagoshima United04/06/17Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
2–1Gainare Tottori23/04/17Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–1Kagoshima United11/09/16Gainare Tottori
Kagoshima United
2–0Gainare Tottori10/04/16Kagoshima United
Gainare Tottori
0–1Kagoshima United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nara Club | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Gifu | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +14 | 31 |
| 3 | Sagamihara | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 31 |
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 30 |
| 6 | Osaka | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 7 |  Ehime FC | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  Kanazawa | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +7 | 23 |
| 10 |  Parceiro Nagano | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  FC Ryukyu | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 23 |
| 12 | Tochigi SC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 |
| 13 | Kitakyushu | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 14 |  Fukushima United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Biwako Shiga | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -9 | 17 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -18 | 13 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -26 | 9 |
Team Insights
Gainare Tottori- ●Gainare Tottori have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have lost 5 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●60% of Gainare Tottori's points have been earned away.
Kagoshima United- ●Kagoshima United have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Gainare TottoriLHTochigi SC0–1
Tochigi SC0–1LHSagamihara0–1
Sagamihara0–1LAFC Ryukyu2–5
FC Ryukyu2–5DHKochi United0–0
Kochi United0–0LARoasso Kumamoto0–3
Roasso Kumamoto0–3DHThespakusatsu Gunma1–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–1–AKagoshima United15/11
Kagoshima United15/11–HParceiro Nagano21/11
Parceiro Nagano21/11–AKamatamare Sanuki25/11
Kamatamare Sanuki25/11Kagoshima UnitedLASagamihara0–1
Sagamihara0–1DARenofa Yamaguchi1–1
Renofa Yamaguchi1–1DHRoasso Kumamoto1–1
Roasso Kumamoto1–1LAOsaka1–2
Osaka1–2WHKochi United3–1
Kochi United3–1WHEhime FC4–2
Ehime FC4–2–HGainare Tottori15/11
Gainare Tottori15/11–AKanazawa21/11
Kanazawa21/11–AParceiro Nagano25/11
Parceiro Nagano25/11Top Scorers
Gainare TottoriD. Shinoda8 ⚽
S. Yamamoto7 ⚽
N. Miki6 ⚽
6 ⚽
K. Hoshi4 ⚽
S. Yajima4 ⚽
Kagoshima UnitedR. Arita9 ⚽
A. Takahashi8 ⚽
R. Saga7 ⚽
K. Kawamura7 ⚽
M. Fukuda4 ⚽
Juanma Delgado3 ⚽
Cards Given
Gainare TottoriM. Lorenz5 🟨
S. Jong5 🟨
M. Kaneura4 🟨
S. Nikaido4 🟨
K. Hombo3 🟨
H. Oshima3 🟨
Kagoshima UnitedY. Yamada4 🟨
S. Inaba4 🟨
G. Egawa4 🟨
M. Fukuda3 🟨
K. Kawamura3 🟨
K. Fujimura3 🟨