Sagamihara vs Thespakusatsu Gunma — J3 League
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Sagamihara and Thespakusatsu Gunma meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Sagamihara have recorded 18 wins from 37 matches this season (49% win rate), averaging 1.73 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Thespakusatsu Gunma have won 28% of their 40 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Sagamihara and 0.88 for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The models give Sagamihara a 59% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Thespakusatsu Gunma win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sagamihara | Home | Away | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 80% | 88% | 70% | 74% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 40% | 59% | 28% | 26% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 25% | 29% | 13% | 16% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 20% | 12% | 30% | 26% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Sagamihara | Home | Away | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 60% | 71% | 90% | 84% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 35% | 53% | 57% | 53% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 24% | 38% | 26% | 48% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 40% | 29% | 10% | 16% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sagamihara | Thespakusatsu Gunma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 23% |
| BTTS | 57% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 49% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sagamihara | Thespakusatsu Gunma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 49% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 46% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 51% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 12 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 32 | |
| 2 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | +14 | 31 | |
| 3 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 31 | |
| 4 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +10 | 31 | |
| 5 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 30 | |
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 | |
| 7 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 29 | |
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +6 | 24 | |
| 9 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +7 | 23 | |
| 10 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | +1 | 23 | |
| 11 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 23 | |
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 21 | |
| 13 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 19 | |
| 14 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -2 | 18 | |
| 15 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 17 | |
| 16 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -9 | 17 | |
| 17 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 | |
| 18 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -10 | 14 | |
| 19 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -18 | 13 | |
| 20 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -26 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●Sagamihara have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Sagamihara have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Sagamihara have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●65% of Sagamihara's goals have been scored away.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●69% of Thespakusatsu Gunma's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.