Kashima vs Gamba Osaka — J1 League
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Kashima and Gamba Osaka meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 9 October 2026. Kashima have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Gamba Osaka have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Kashima and 1.20 for Gamba Osaka. The models give Kashima a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Gamba Osaka win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Kashima—
Gamba Osaka8º
Position
15º
1.71
PPG
0.86
57%
Win %
14%
2.00
Goals / game
1.14
1.86
Conceded / game
1.86
71%
BTTS %
57%
14%
Clean sheet %
14%
71%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.3
Avg corners
5.0
16.9
Avg shots
14.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
0.6
10.0
Avg fouls
10.3
60.0%
Avg possession
56.4%
Home vs Away
Kashima
Home (3)
—
Gamba Osaka
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
0.50
67%
Win %
0%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
2.00
67%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.3
Avg corners
5.0
16.9
Avg shots
14.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
0.6
60.0%
Avg possession
56.4%
Goals Scored
| Kashima | Home | Away | Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 67% | 100% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 33% | 0% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Kashima | Home | Away | Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kashima | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 43% | 14% |
| BTTS | 71% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kashima | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Kashima (H)L
Urawa0–1
Urawa0–1W
Suzuka Unlimited3–0
Suzuka Unlimited3–0W
Avispa Fukuoka3–2
Avispa Fukuoka3–2W
Nagoya Grampus2–1
Nagoya Grampus2–1W
Vegalta Sendai5–0
Vegalta Sendai5–0W
Vissel Kobe2–0
Vissel Kobe2–0Gamba Osaka (A)L
JEF United Chiba0–2
JEF United Chiba0–2D
V-varen Nagasaki2–2
V-varen Nagasaki2–2LNagoya Grampus1–3
Nagoya Grampus1–3D
Mito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1W
Gangwon FC1–0
Gangwon FC1–0W
Kanazawa6–0
Kanazawa6–0Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.2
69 games
11.9
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Kashima | Gamba Osaka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 71% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 71% | 52% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 71% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 57% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 43% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 29% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kashima | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 6.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 71% |
Head to Head · 32 matches
16
Kashima
50%
8
Draws
25%
8
Gamba Osaka
25%
72%
Over 1.5
23/32
50%
Over 2.5
16/32
31%
Over 3.5
10/32
50%
BTTS
16/32
05/10/25Gamba Osaka
Kashima
0–0Gamba Osaka31/05/25Kashima
Gamba Osaka
0–1Kashima26/06/24Gamba Osaka
Kashima
0–0Gamba Osaka28/04/24Kashima
Gamba Osaka
1–2Kashima24/06/23Kashima
Gamba Osaka
2–1Kashima29/04/23Gamba Osaka
Kashima
4–0Gamba Osaka05/11/22Gamba Osaka
Kashima
0–0Gamba Osaka13/07/22Gamba Osaka
Kashima
2–0Gamba Osaka18/05/22Kashima
Gamba Osaka
1–3Kashima26/03/22Gamba Osaka
Kashima
4–1Gamba Osaka19/02/22Kashima
Gamba Osaka
1–3Kashima18/09/21Gamba Osaka
Kashima
3–1Gamba Osaka24/07/21Kashima
Gamba Osaka
0–1Kashima03/10/20Kashima
Gamba Osaka
2–0Kashima23/08/20Gamba Osaka
Kashima
1–1Gamba Osaka23/08/19Gamba Osaka
Kashima
2–2Gamba Osaka01/06/19Kashima
Gamba Osaka
1–1Kashima28/07/18Kashima
Gamba Osaka
1–1Kashima03/03/18Gamba Osaka
Kashima
1–0Gamba Osaka23/09/17Gamba Osaka
Kashima
2–1Gamba Osaka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +13 | 14 |
| 5 |  FC Tokyo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fagiano Okayama | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashima | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Mito Hollyhock | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Urawa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Kyoto Sanga | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Kashima- ●Kashima have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kashima have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Kashima have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kashima have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Kashima's goals have been scored away.
- ●69% of Kashima's goals conceded were conceded away.
Gamba Osaka- ●Gamba Osaka have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
KashimaLAVissel Kobe1–2
Vissel Kobe1–2LHUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1LAMito Hollyhock2–4
Mito Hollyhock2–4WATokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0WHAvispa Fukuoka3–2
Avispa Fukuoka3–2WHNagoya Grampus2–1
Nagoya Grampus2–1–AKawasaki Frontale19/09
Kawasaki Frontale19/09–HGamba Osaka09/10
Gamba Osaka09/10–HV-varen Nagasaki17/10
V-varen Nagasaki17/10Gamba OsakaLHFC Tokyo0–2
FC Tokyo0–2LAJEF United Chiba0–2
JEF United Chiba0–2DAV-varen Nagasaki2–2
V-varen Nagasaki2–2DHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0LANagoya Grampus1–3
Nagoya Grampus1–3DAMito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1–HVissel Kobe20/09
Vissel Kobe20/09–AKashima09/10
Kashima09/10–AShimizu S-pulse17/10
Shimizu S-pulse17/10Top Scorers
KashimaLeo Ceara6 ⚽
A. Cavric3 ⚽
Léo Ceará2 ⚽
Aleksandar Čavrić1 ⚽
Gamba OsakaA. Uenaka1 ⚽
D. Hummet1 ⚽
Deniz Hümmet1 ⚽
I. Jebali1 ⚽
Issam Jebali1 ⚽
R. Meshino1 ⚽
Cards Given
KashimaY. Suzuki2 🟨
Elber1 🟨
I. Sekigawa1 🟨
K. Misao1 🟨
Keisuke Tsukui1 🟨
Kento Misao1 🟨
Gamba OsakaT. Kishimoto2 🟨
D. Hummet1 🟨
I. Jebali1 🟨
Ryo Hatsuse1 🟨
S. Abe1 🟨