Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka — J1 League
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Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 18 October 2026. Machida Zelvia have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 88% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Avispa Fukuoka have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Machida Zelvia and 1.14 for Avispa Fukuoka. The models give Machida Zelvia a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Avispa Fukuoka win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Machida Zelvia—
Avispa Fukuoka2º
Position
18º
2.43
PPG
0.50
71%
Win %
13%
2.71
Goals / game
1.13
0.86
Conceded / game
1.50
88%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
13%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.1
Avg corners
4.8
14.4
Avg shots
13.0
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.8
0.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.9
Avg fouls
13.8
49.3%
Avg possession
40.4%
Home vs Away
Machida Zelvia
Home (3)
—
Avispa Fukuoka
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
0.00
67%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
100%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.1
Avg corners
4.8
14.4
Avg shots
13.0
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.8
0.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
49.3%
Avg possession
40.4%
Goals Scored
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 100% | 75% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Machida Zelvia | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS | 88% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Machida Zelvia | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 75% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Machida Zelvia (H)L
Kashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4W
Svay Rieng2–0
Svay Rieng2–0D
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1W
Kawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1W
Grulla Morioka3–0
Grulla Morioka3–0W
Urawa3–1
Urawa3–1Avispa Fukuoka (A)L
Shimizu S-pulse0–1
Shimizu S-pulse0–1L
Kyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2L
Kashima2–3
Kashima2–3W
JEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1DShimizu S-pulse1–1
Shimizu S-pulse1–1D
Cerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1Number of Corners
7.6
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.2
77 games
8.0
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Machida Zelvia | Avispa Fukuoka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 50% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 29% | 25% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 25% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 13% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 13% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 13% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 13% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Machida Zelvia | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 13% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 29% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 13% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
5
Machida Zelvia
33%
6
Draws
40%
4
Avispa Fukuoka
27%
67%
Over 1.5
10/15
40%
Over 2.5
6/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
18/10/25Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
0–0Avispa Fukuoka29/03/25Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
2–2Machida Zelvia14/09/24Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
0–3Machida Zelvia22/06/24Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
0–0Avispa Fukuoka21/10/20Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
0–0Avispa Fukuoka13/09/20Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
2–1Machida Zelvia14/07/19Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
0–2Avispa Fukuoka13/04/19Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
0–2Machida Zelvia04/11/18Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
2–1Avispa Fukuoka30/06/18Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
2–2Machida Zelvia05/08/17Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
0–1Avispa Fukuoka08/04/17Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
1–3Machida Zelvia14/10/15Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
2–0Avispa Fukuoka17/09/12Machida Zelvia
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1Machida Zelvia11/03/12Avispa Fukuoka
Machida Zelvia
0–1Avispa Fukuoka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 17 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  Vissel Kobe | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Gamba Osaka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 |  Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Machida Zelvia- ●Machida Zelvia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Machida Zelvia's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Machida Zelvia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Avispa Fukuoka- ●Avispa Fukuoka have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Avispa Fukuoka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Machida ZelviaLHKashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4DHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1WANagoya Grampus3–1
Nagoya Grampus3–1WHKawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1DAMito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1WHUrawa3–1
Urawa3–1–AKyoto Sanga10/10
Kyoto Sanga10/10–HAvispa Fukuoka18/10
Avispa Fukuoka18/10–AShimizu S-pulse21/10
Shimizu S-pulse21/10Avispa FukuokaLHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1LAShimizu S-pulse0–1
Shimizu S-pulse0–1DHMito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1LHUrawa2–3
Urawa2–3LAKyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2LAKashima2–3
Kashima2–3–HFagiano Okayama10/10
Fagiano Okayama10/10–AMachida Zelvia18/10
Machida Zelvia18/10–HGamba Osaka21/10
Gamba Osaka21/10Top Scorers
Machida ZelviaKoki Ogawa3 ⚽
Y. Soma2 ⚽
T. Nishimura2 ⚽
H. Nakamura2 ⚽
T. Yengi2 ⚽
N. Lavi1 ⚽
Avispa FukuokaShu Morooka2 ⚽
K. Fujimoto1 ⚽
S. Morooka1 ⚽
Shosei Usui1 ⚽
Werik Popo1 ⚽
Y. Tsujioka1 ⚽
Cards Given
Machida ZelviaTakahiro Akimoto3 🟨
D. Okamura1 🟨
Hokuto Shimoda1 🟨
Hotaka Nakamura1 🟨
K. Ogawa1 🟨
Ryohei Shirasaki1 🟨
Avispa FukuokaTomoya Miki3 🟨
K. Maeda2 🟨
M. Shigemi1 🟨
Kokoro Maeda1 🟨
Kaoru Yamawaki1 🟨
K. Fujimoto1 🟨