Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka — J1 League
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IAI Stadium Nihondaira·Shizuoka·Japan·20,339
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Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 17 October 2026. Shimizu S-pulse have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Gamba Osaka have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.07 for Gamba Osaka. The models give Shimizu S-pulse a 43% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Gamba Osaka win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Shimizu S-pulse—
Gamba Osaka10º
Position
18º
1.44
PPG
0.67
44%
Win %
11%
0.89
Goals / game
0.89
1.00
Conceded / game
1.78
44%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
11%
33%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.7
Avg corners
4.8
10.7
Avg shots
14.0
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.4
Avg yellow cards
0.9
11.0
Avg fouls
11.2
42.7%
Avg possession
55.3%
Home vs Away
Shimizu S-pulse
Home (5)
—
Gamba Osaka
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
0.40
40%
Win %
0%
0.80
Goals / game
0.80
0.80
Conceded / game
2.00
40%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
20%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.7
Avg corners
4.8
10.7
Avg shots
14.0
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.4
Avg yellow cards
0.9
42.7%
Avg possession
55.3%
Goals Scored
| Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 25% | 56% | 75% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 20% | 25% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 44% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Shimizu S-pulse (H)W
V-varen Nagasaki2–1
V-varen Nagasaki2–1W
JEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1W
Avispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0D
FC Tokyo1–1
FC Tokyo1–1L
Kashiwa Reysol0–1
Kashiwa Reysol0–1W
Osaka2–1
Osaka2–1Gamba Osaka (A)L
Kashima0–2
Kashima0–2LKashiwa Reysol4–5
Kashiwa Reysol4–5LJEF United Chiba0–2
JEF United Chiba0–2DV-varen Nagasaki2–2
V-varen Nagasaki2–2L
Nagoya Grampus1–3
Nagoya Grampus1–3D
Mito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
11.0
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 89% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 22% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 78% | 67% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
5
Shimizu S-pulse
19%
6
Draws
22%
16
Gamba Osaka
59%
70%
Over 1.5
19/27
48%
Over 2.5
13/27
30%
Over 3.5
8/27
52%
BTTS
14/27
24/05/26Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1–2Gamba Osaka28/02/26Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
2–2Shimizu S-pulse15/06/25Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0–0Gamba Osaka08/03/25Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1–0Shimizu S-pulse14/08/22Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0–2Shimizu S-pulse10/04/22Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1–1Gamba Osaka13/08/21Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0–1Gamba Osaka18/04/21Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0–0Shimizu S-pulse19/12/20Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
0–2Shimizu S-pulse12/07/20Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1–2Gamba Osaka13/07/19Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1–0Shimizu S-pulse08/05/19Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
3–1Shimizu S-pulse10/04/19Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1–1Gamba Osaka02/03/19Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2–4Gamba Osaka21/09/18Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1–2Gamba Osaka22/07/18Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1–2Shimizu S-pulse08/07/17Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2–0Gamba Osaka05/05/17Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1–1Shimizu S-pulse09/11/16Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1–0Shimizu S-pulse22/08/15Shimizu S-pulse
Gamba Osaka
1–0Shimizu S-pulse| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Shimizu S-pulse- ●Shimizu S-pulse have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Gamba Osaka- ●Gamba Osaka have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Shimizu S-pulseWAMito Hollyhock2–1
Mito Hollyhock2–1WHJEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1WHAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0LAKawasaki Frontale1–3
Kawasaki Frontale1–3DHFC Tokyo1–1
FC Tokyo1–1LHKashiwa Reysol0–1
Kashiwa Reysol0–1–HGamba Osaka17/10
Gamba Osaka17/10–HMachida Zelvia21/10
Machida Zelvia21/10–ASanfrecce Hiroshima24/10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima24/10Gamba OsakaLAKashima0–2
Kashima0–2LHVissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1LHFC Tokyo0–2
FC Tokyo0–2LAJEF United Chiba0–2
JEF United Chiba0–2DAV-varen Nagasaki2–2
V-varen Nagasaki2–2DHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0–AShimizu S-pulse17/10
Shimizu S-pulse17/10–AAvispa Fukuoka21/10
Avispa Fukuoka21/10–HKyoto Sanga24/10
Kyoto Sanga24/10Top Scorers
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-hun2 ⚽
K. Kitagawa1 ⚽
Kai Matsuzaki1 ⚽
Hidehiro Sugai1 ⚽
Tomoya Fujii1 ⚽
Yudai Shimamoto1 ⚽
Gamba OsakaA. Uenaka1 ⚽
D. Hummet1 ⚽
Deniz Hümmet1 ⚽
I. Jebali1 ⚽
Issam Jebali1 ⚽
R. Meshino1 ⚽
Cards Given
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-Hun4 🟨
Tomoya Fujii2 🟨
Kenta Inoue1 🟨
M. Brunetti1 🟨
Mateus Brunetti Valor1 🟨
Oh Se-hun1 🟨
Gamba OsakaT. Kishimoto2 🟨
I. Jebali1 🟨
Ryo Hatsuse1 🟨
Ryoya Yamashita1 🟨
S. Abe1 🟨
Shinnosuke Nakatani1 🟨