Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka — J1 League
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Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 21 October 2026. Nagoya Grampus have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Cerezo Osaka have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.13 for Cerezo Osaka. The models give Nagoya Grampus a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Cerezo Osaka win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Nagoya Grampus—
Cerezo Osaka15º
Position
12º
1.00
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
0.78
1.67
Conceded / game
1.33
56%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Clean sheet %
44%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.3
Avg corners
5.9
13.7
Avg shots
11.9
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
10.2
Avg fouls
9.3
59.3%
Avg possession
56.1%
Home vs Away
Nagoya Grampus
Home (4)
—
Cerezo Osaka
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
0.25
50%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
0.50
1.50
Conceded / game
2.75
75%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.3
Avg corners
5.9
13.7
Avg shots
11.9
3.8
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
59.3%
Avg possession
56.1%
Goals Scored
| Nagoya Grampus | Home | Away | Cerezo Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 75% | 40% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 25% | 60% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Nagoya Grampus | Home | Away | Cerezo Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 56% | 20% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 80% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 56% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Nagoya Grampus (H)D
Fagiano Okayama3–3
Fagiano Okayama3–3L
Machida Zelvia1–3
Machida Zelvia1–3WFagiano Okayama2–1
Fagiano Okayama2–1L
Gainare Tottori1–3
Gainare Tottori1–3W
Gamba Osaka3–1
Gamba Osaka3–1L
Shimizu S-pulse0–1
Shimizu S-pulse0–1Cerezo Osaka (A)WGainare Tottori3–2
Gainare Tottori3–2W
Fujieda MYFC2–1
Fujieda MYFC2–1D
V-varen Nagasaki1–1
V-varen Nagasaki1–1L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–6L
Vissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1L
Avispa Fukuoka0–3
Avispa Fukuoka0–3Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
11.9
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 89% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 44% | 89% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 89% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 78% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 22% | 78% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 67% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 67% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 56% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
14
Nagoya Grampus
45%
5
Draws
16%
12
Cerezo Osaka
39%
74%
Over 1.5
23/31
52%
Over 2.5
16/31
13%
Over 3.5
4/31
48%
BTTS
15/31
17/05/26Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
6–1Nagoya Grampus04/04/26Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
3–0Cerezo Osaka04/10/25Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
2–1Cerezo Osaka08/03/25Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
1–1Nagoya Grampus30/06/24Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
2–1Nagoya Grampus21/04/24Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
2–1Cerezo Osaka26/08/23Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3–1Nagoya Grampus03/06/23Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
3–1Cerezo Osaka05/11/22Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
0–1Nagoya Grampus13/07/22Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1–2Cerezo Osaka14/05/22Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1–0Cerezo Osaka27/11/21Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
2–1Nagoya Grampus30/10/21Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
2–0Cerezo Osaka27/10/21Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0–3Cerezo Osaka08/05/21Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1–0Cerezo Osaka10/10/20Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1–0Cerezo Osaka12/07/20Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
0–2Nagoya Grampus13/07/19Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3–0Nagoya Grampus08/05/19Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
2–2Cerezo Osaka10/04/19Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3–0Nagoya Grampus| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Nagoya Grampus- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Nagoya Grampus's goals have been scored at home.
Cerezo Osaka- ●Cerezo Osaka have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●92% of Cerezo Osaka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●92% of Cerezo Osaka's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Nagoya GrampusWAKawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1LAFC Tokyo0–1
FC Tokyo0–1LAV-varen Nagasaki0–2
V-varen Nagasaki0–2LHMachida Zelvia1–3
Machida Zelvia1–3LASanfrecce Hiroshima0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3WHFagiano Okayama2–1
Fagiano Okayama2–1–AKashiwa Reysol17/10
Kashiwa Reysol17/10–HCerezo Osaka21/10
Cerezo Osaka21/10–HYokohama F. Marinos25/10
Yokohama F. Marinos25/10Cerezo OsakaDHYokohama F. Marinos0–0
Yokohama F. Marinos0–0DAV-varen Nagasaki1–1
V-varen Nagasaki1–1LASanfrecce Hiroshima1–6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–6DHTokyo Verdy0–0
Tokyo Verdy0–0WHKashiwa Reysol2–0
Kashiwa Reysol2–0LAVissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1–HKawasaki Frontale17/10
Kawasaki Frontale17/10–ANagoya Grampus21/10
Nagoya Grampus21/10–HJEF United Chiba25/10
JEF United Chiba25/10Top Scorers
Nagoya GrampusHaruya Fujii1 ⚽
K. Nakayama1 ⚽
M. Ono1 ⚽
S. Inagaki1 ⚽
Y. Asano1 ⚽
Y. Kimura1 ⚽
Cerezo OsakaSolomon Sakuragawa2 ⚽
Lucas Fernandes1 ⚽
S. Sakuragawa1 ⚽
Satoki Uejo1 ⚽
Thiago Andrade1 ⚽
Y. Yokoyama1 ⚽
Cards Given
Nagoya GrampusHaruya Fujii1 🟨
Katsuhiro Nakayama1 🟨
Kensuke Nagai1 🟨
Ryuji Izumi1 🟨
S. Inagaki1 🟨
Sho Inagaki1 🟨
Cerezo OsakaJackson Irvine3 🟨
Ayumu Ohata1 🟨
Dion Cools1 🟨
Javi Hernández1 🟨
Kosuke Nakamura1 🟨
L. Fernandes1 🟨