Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia — J1 League
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IAI Stadium Nihondaira·Shizuoka·Japan·20,339
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Shimizu S-pulse and Machida Zelvia meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 21 October 2026. Shimizu S-pulse have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Machida Zelvia have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 2.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.03 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.76 for Machida Zelvia. The models give Shimizu S-pulse a 23% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Machida Zelvia win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Shimizu S-pulse—
Machida Zelvia10º
Position
3º
1.44
PPG
2.22
44%
Win %
67%
0.89
Goals / game
2.44
1.00
Conceded / game
1.11
44%
BTTS %
78%
22%
Clean sheet %
22%
33%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.7
Avg corners
4.4
10.7
Avg shots
13.4
3.3
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.4
Avg yellow cards
0.7
11.0
Avg fouls
10.2
42.7%
Avg possession
49.2%
Home vs Away
Shimizu S-pulse
Home (5)
—
Machida Zelvia
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
2.60
40%
Win %
80%
0.80
Goals / game
2.80
0.80
Conceded / game
0.60
40%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
40%
20%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.7
Avg corners
4.4
10.7
Avg shots
13.4
3.3
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.4
Avg yellow cards
0.7
42.7%
Avg possession
49.2%
Goals Scored
| Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 78% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shimizu S-pulse | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 44% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS | 44% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shimizu S-pulse | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 78% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 89% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 33% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Shimizu S-pulse (H)W
V-varen Nagasaki2–1
V-varen Nagasaki2–1W
JEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1W
Avispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0D
FC Tokyo1–1
FC Tokyo1–1L
Kashiwa Reysol0–1
Kashiwa Reysol0–1W
Osaka2–1
Osaka2–1Machida Zelvia (A)W
Kyoto Sanga1–0
Kyoto Sanga1–0W
Nagoya Grampus3–1
Nagoya Grampus3–1D
Mito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1WJEF United Chiba4–0
JEF United Chiba4–0WFC Tokyo5–1
FC Tokyo5–1DNagoya Grampus2–2
Nagoya Grampus2–2Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
8.4
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Shimizu S-pulse | Machida Zelvia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 44% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 11% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Shimizu S-pulse | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 78% | 33% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Shimizu S-pulse
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Machida Zelvia
33%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
05/07/25Shimizu S-pulse
Machida Zelvia
3–0Shimizu S-pulse11/05/25Machida Zelvia
Shimizu S-pulse
2–2Machida Zelvia19/08/23Machida Zelvia
Shimizu S-pulse
3–2Machida Zelvia21/05/23Shimizu S-pulse
Machida Zelvia
2–1Shimizu S-pulse08/10/16Machida Zelvia
Shimizu S-pulse
2–0Machida Zelvia08/06/16Shimizu S-pulse
Machida Zelvia
1–2Shimizu S-pulse| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Shimizu S-pulse- ●Shimizu S-pulse have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Machida Zelvia- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Machida Zelvia's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Machida Zelvia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●65% of Machida Zelvia's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Shimizu S-pulseWAMito Hollyhock2–1
Mito Hollyhock2–1WHJEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1WHAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0LAKawasaki Frontale1–3
Kawasaki Frontale1–3DHFC Tokyo1–1
FC Tokyo1–1LHKashiwa Reysol0–1
Kashiwa Reysol0–1–HGamba Osaka17/10
Gamba Osaka17/10–HMachida Zelvia21/10
Machida Zelvia21/10–ASanfrecce Hiroshima24/10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima24/10Machida ZelviaWAKyoto Sanga1–0
Kyoto Sanga1–0LHKashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4DHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1WANagoya Grampus3–1
Nagoya Grampus3–1WHKawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1DAMito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1–HAvispa Fukuoka18/10
Avispa Fukuoka18/10–AShimizu S-pulse21/10
Shimizu S-pulse21/10–AVissel Kobe24/10
Vissel Kobe24/10Top Scorers
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-hun2 ⚽
K. Kitagawa1 ⚽
Kai Matsuzaki1 ⚽
Hidehiro Sugai1 ⚽
Tomoya Fujii1 ⚽
Yudai Shimamoto1 ⚽
Machida ZelviaKoki Ogawa3 ⚽
Y. Soma2 ⚽
T. Nishimura2 ⚽
H. Nakamura2 ⚽
T. Yengi2 ⚽
N. Lavi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-Hun4 🟨
Tomoya Fujii2 🟨
Kenta Inoue1 🟨
M. Brunetti1 🟨
Mateus Brunetti Valor1 🟨
Oh Se-hun1 🟨
Machida ZelviaTakahiro Akimoto3 🟨
Hokuto Shimoda1 🟨
Hotaka Nakamura1 🟨
D. Okamura1 🟨
Ryohei Shirasaki1 🟨
Tete Yengi1 🟨