Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba — J1 League
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Yodoko Sakura Stadium·Osaka·Japan·24,481
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Cerezo Osaka and JEF United Chiba meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 25 October 2026. Cerezo Osaka have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. JEF United Chiba have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Cerezo Osaka and 0.87 for JEF United Chiba. The models give Cerezo Osaka a 57% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an JEF United Chiba win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Cerezo Osaka—
JEF United Chiba12º
Position
19º
1.33
PPG
0.56
33%
Win %
11%
0.78
Goals / game
0.89
1.33
Conceded / game
2.11
33%
BTTS %
56%
44%
Clean sheet %
11%
33%
Over 2.5 %
56%
5.9
Avg corners
3.1
11.9
Avg shots
10.3
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.0
9.3
Avg fouls
12.7
56.1%
Avg possession
44.2%
Home vs Away
Cerezo Osaka
Home (5)
—
JEF United Chiba
Away (5)
2.20
PPG
0.20
60%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.80
0.20
Conceded / game
2.40
20%
BTTS %
60%
80%
Clean sheet %
0%
20%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.9
Avg corners
3.1
11.9
Avg shots
10.3
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.6
Avg yellow cards
2.0
56.1%
Avg possession
44.2%
Goals Scored
| Cerezo Osaka | Home | Away | JEF United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 40% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Cerezo Osaka | Home | Away | JEF United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 20% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 80% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cerezo Osaka | JEF United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cerezo Osaka | JEF United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Cerezo Osaka (H)D
Yokohama F. Marinos0–0
Yokohama F. Marinos0–0W
Kagoshima United2–0
Kagoshima United2–0D
Tokyo Verdy0–0
Tokyo Verdy0–0W
Kashiwa Reysol2–0
Kashiwa Reysol2–0W
FC Gifu3–1
FC Gifu3–1W
Shimizu S-pulse1–0
Shimizu S-pulse1–0JEF United (A)L
Fagiano Okayama0–1
Fagiano Okayama0–1L
Jubilo Iwata2–4
Jubilo Iwata2–4LShimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2DTokyo Verdy1–1
Tokyo Verdy1–1W
Kamatamare Sanuki2–0
Kamatamare Sanuki2–0L
Kawasaki Frontale2–4
Kawasaki Frontale2–4Number of Corners
11.9
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
8.7
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Cerezo Osaka | JEF United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 78% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 67% | 11% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 67% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cerezo Osaka | JEF United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 89% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 67% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Cerezo Osaka
20%
2
Draws
40%
2
JEF United
40%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
03/11/16Cerezo Osaka
JEF United Chiba
3–0Cerezo Osaka03/04/16JEF United Chiba
Cerezo Osaka
2–1JEF United Chiba08/08/15JEF United Chiba
Cerezo Osaka
1–1JEF United Chiba01/04/15Cerezo Osaka
JEF United Chiba
4–4Cerezo Osaka15/10/14JEF United Chiba
Cerezo Osaka
0–1JEF United Chiba| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Cerezo Osaka- ●Cerezo Osaka have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●92% of Cerezo Osaka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●92% of Cerezo Osaka's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cerezo Osaka have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
JEF United- ●JEF United Chiba have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●JEF United Chiba have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Cerezo OsakaDHYokohama F. Marinos0–0
Yokohama F. Marinos0–0DAV-varen Nagasaki1–1
V-varen Nagasaki1–1LASanfrecce Hiroshima1–6
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–6DHTokyo Verdy0–0
Tokyo Verdy0–0WHKashiwa Reysol2–0
Kashiwa Reysol2–0LAVissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1–HKawasaki Frontale17/10
Kawasaki Frontale17/10–ANagoya Grampus21/10
Nagoya Grampus21/10–HJEF United Chiba25/10
JEF United Chiba25/10JEF UnitedDHV-varen Nagasaki1–1
V-varen Nagasaki1–1LAShimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2DATokyo Verdy1–1
Tokyo Verdy1–1WHGamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0LHFagiano Okayama1–2
Fagiano Okayama1–2LAKawasaki Frontale2–4
Kawasaki Frontale2–4–HYokohama F. Marinos17/10
Yokohama F. Marinos17/10–AUrawa21/10
Urawa21/10–ACerezo Osaka25/10
Cerezo Osaka25/10Top Scorers
Cerezo OsakaSolomon Sakuragawa2 ⚽
Lucas Fernandes1 ⚽
S. Sakuragawa1 ⚽
Satoki Uejo1 ⚽
Thiago Andrade1 ⚽
Y. Yokoyama1 ⚽
JEF UnitedK. Tanaka2 ⚽
Erison Danilo de Souza1 ⚽
Kazuki Tanaka1 ⚽
Ken Yamura1 ⚽
Matheus Salgueiro Pains1 ⚽
Takumi Tsukui1 ⚽
Cards Given
Cerezo OsakaJackson Irvine3 🟨
Ayumu Ohata1 🟨
Dion Cools1 🟨
Javi Hernández1 🟨
Kosuke Nakamura1 🟨
L. Fernandes1 🟨
JEF UnitedErison3 🟨
Erison Danilo de Souza2 🟨
Hiroto Goya1 🟨
H. Kida1 🟨
Daichi Ishikawa1 🟨
D. Hall1 🟨