Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol — J1 League
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Kashima and Kashiwa Reysol meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 24 October 2026. Kashima have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Kashiwa Reysol have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 2.33 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Kashima and 1.64 for Kashiwa Reysol. The models give Kashima a 44% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Kashiwa Reysol win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Kashima—
Kashiwa Reysol6º
Position
1º
1.78
PPG
2.33
56%
Win %
78%
2.11
Goals / game
2.33
1.78
Conceded / game
1.56
67%
BTTS %
67%
22%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.7
Avg corners
5.6
16.2
Avg shots
15.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.0
11.0
Avg fouls
8.9
57.8%
Avg possession
56.1%
Home vs Away
Kashima
Home (4)
—
Kashiwa Reysol
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
2.40
75%
Win %
80%
1.75
Goals / game
2.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.40
50%
BTTS %
60%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
3.7
Avg corners
5.6
16.2
Avg shots
15.4
4.6
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.0
57.8%
Avg possession
56.1%
Goals Scored
| Kashima | Home | Away | Kashiwa Reysol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 75% | 100% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 78% | 75% | 80% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 40% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 25% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Kashima | Home | Away | Kashiwa Reysol | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 25% | 80% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS | 67% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 67% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 89% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Kashima (H)W
Gamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0W
Ventforet Kofu3–1
Ventforet Kofu3–1W
Newcastle Jets7–1
Newcastle Jets7–1L
Urawa0–1
Urawa0–1W
Suzuka Unlimited3–0
Suzuka Unlimited3–0W
Avispa Fukuoka3–2
Avispa Fukuoka3–2Kashiwa Reysol (A)W
Machida Zelvia4–2
Machida Zelvia4–2L
Jeonbuk Motors1–2
Jeonbuk Motors1–2W
Kyoto Sanga3–2
Kyoto Sanga3–2L
Cerezo Osaka0–2
Cerezo Osaka0–2W
Shimizu S-pulse1–0
Shimizu S-pulse1–0W
Tokyo Verdy3–1
Tokyo Verdy3–1Number of Corners
7.7
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
9.4
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 56% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 44% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 63% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 22% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 11% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 25% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 13% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 13% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kashima | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 44% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 22% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 38% |
Head to Head · 32 matches
18
Kashima
56%
6
Draws
19%
8
Kashiwa Reysol
25%
78%
Over 1.5
25/32
56%
Over 2.5
18/32
41%
Over 3.5
13/32
66%
BTTS
21/32
24/04/26Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
0–1Kashima21/02/26Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
2–0Kashiwa Reysol20/07/25Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
3–2Kashiwa Reysol08/03/25Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1–3Kashima21/09/24Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0–0Kashiwa Reysol06/05/24Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1–2Kashima11/11/23Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
1–1Kashiwa Reysol24/05/23Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
1–0Kashiwa Reysol09/04/23Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1–0Kashima08/03/23Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1–1Kashima02/07/22Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1–2Kashima06/03/22Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
1–0Kashiwa Reysol11/07/21Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2–1Kashima07/04/21Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
2–1Kashiwa Reysol25/11/20Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
1–4Kashiwa Reysol29/08/20Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2–3Kashima06/11/18Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2–3Kashima22/07/18Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
6–2Kashiwa Reysol26/11/17Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0–0Kashiwa Reysol02/07/17Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2–3Kashima| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Kashima- ●Kashima have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kashima have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kashima failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kashima have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Kashima's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Kashima's goals conceded were conceded away.
Kashiwa Reysol- ●Kashiwa Reysol have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Kashiwa Reysol failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kashiwa Reysol have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kashiwa Reysol have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kashiwa Reysol have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kashiwa Reysol have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kashiwa Reysol failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kashiwa Reysol have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
KashimaWHGamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0DAKawasaki Frontale3–3
Kawasaki Frontale3–3LAVissel Kobe1–2
Vissel Kobe1–2LHUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1LAMito Hollyhock2–4
Mito Hollyhock2–4WATokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0–HV-varen Nagasaki17/10
V-varen Nagasaki17/10–AKyoto Sanga21/10
Kyoto Sanga21/10–HKashiwa Reysol24/10
Kashiwa Reysol24/10Kashiwa ReysolWHVissel Kobe4–2
Vissel Kobe4–2WAMachida Zelvia4–2
Machida Zelvia4–2WAKyoto Sanga3–2
Kyoto Sanga3–2LHYokohama F. Marinos0–2
Yokohama F. Marinos0–2LACerezo Osaka0–2
Cerezo Osaka0–2WAShimizu S-pulse1–0
Shimizu S-pulse1–0–HNagoya Grampus17/10
Nagoya Grampus17/10–AFC Tokyo21/10
FC Tokyo21/10–AKashima24/10
Kashima24/10Top Scorers
KashimaLeo Ceara6 ⚽
Léo Ceará5 ⚽
A. Cavric3 ⚽
Aleksandar Čavrić1 ⚽
Yuma Suzuki1 ⚽
Yuta Matsumura1 ⚽
Kashiwa ReysolYusuke Segawa6 ⚽
Tojiro Kubo2 ⚽
Yoshio Koizumi2 ⚽
Shota Fujio1 ⚽
T. Kubo1 ⚽
Hinata Yamauchi1 ⚽
Cards Given
KashimaKento Misao2 🟨
Y. Suzuki2 🟨
I. Sekigawa1 🟨
Keisuke Tsukui1 🟨
K. Misao1 🟨
Elber1 🟨
Kashiwa ReysolKeita Endo1 🟨
Koki Kumasaka1 🟨
M. Watai1 🟨
Masaki Watai1 🟨
N. Nakagawa1 🟨
Ricardo Rodríguez Suárez1 🟨