Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama — J1 League
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Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 25 October 2026. Kawasaki Frontale have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 89% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Fagiano Okayama have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.52 for Fagiano Okayama. The models give Kawasaki Frontale a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Fagiano Okayama win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Kawasaki Frontale—
Fagiano Okayama8º
Position
9º
1.44
PPG
1.44
33%
Win %
44%
1.89
Goals / game
1.33
1.56
Conceded / game
1.33
89%
BTTS %
78%
11%
Clean sheet %
22%
67%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.7
Avg corners
5.9
17.7
Avg shots
14.2
6.2
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.4
12.0
Avg fouls
12.1
52.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Home vs Away
Kawasaki Frontale
Home (5)
—
Fagiano Okayama
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
1.20
40%
Win %
40%
2.60
Goals / game
1.40
2.00
Conceded / game
1.60
100%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
4.7
Avg corners
5.9
17.7
Avg shots
14.2
6.2
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.4
52.0%
Avg possession
44.0%
Goals Scored
| Kawasaki Frontale | Home | Away | Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 80% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 60% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Kawasaki Frontale | Home | Away | Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 75% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 80% | 25% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kawasaki Frontale | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS | 89% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 78% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kawasaki Frontale | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 78% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Kawasaki Frontale (H)L
Nagoya Grampus1–2
Nagoya Grampus1–2W
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0D
Kashima3–3
Kashima3–3W
Shimizu S-pulse3–1
Shimizu S-pulse3–1W
JEF United Chiba4–2
JEF United Chiba4–2W
Tochigi SC3–1
Tochigi SC3–1Fagiano Okayama (A)DNagoya Grampus3–3
Nagoya Grampus3–3L
Avispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2W
Consadole Sapporo2–1
Consadole Sapporo2–1W
Urawa2–1
Urawa2–1WJEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1LNagoya Grampus1–2
Nagoya Grampus1–2Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
9.7
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Kawasaki Frontale | Fagiano Okayama | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 22% | 56% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 11% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kawasaki Frontale | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 33% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Kawasaki Frontale
0%
3
Draws
100%
0
Fagiano Okayama
0%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
08/11/25Fagiano Okayama
Kawasaki Frontale
1–1Fagiano Okayama16/03/25Kawasaki Frontale
Fagiano Okayama
0–0Kawasaki Frontale14/08/19Fagiano Okayama
Kawasaki Frontale
0–0Fagiano Okayama| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Kawasaki Frontale- ●Kawasaki Frontale have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Kawasaki Frontale failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kawasaki Frontale have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kawasaki Frontale have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kawasaki Frontale failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●76% of Kawasaki Frontale's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Kawasaki Frontale's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Fagiano Okayama- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Fagiano Okayama's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Kawasaki FrontaleLHNagoya Grampus1–2
Nagoya Grampus1–2DHKashima3–3
Kashima3–3WAMito Hollyhock1–0
Mito Hollyhock1–0WHShimizu S-pulse3–1
Shimizu S-pulse3–1LAMachida Zelvia1–2
Machida Zelvia1–2WHJEF United Chiba4–2
JEF United Chiba4–2–ACerezo Osaka17/10
Cerezo Osaka17/10–HVissel Kobe21/10
Vissel Kobe21/10–HFagiano Okayama25/10
Fagiano Okayama25/10Fagiano OkayamaLAAvispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2LHKyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2WAUrawa2–1
Urawa2–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2WAJEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1LANagoya Grampus1–2
Nagoya Grampus1–2–HVissel Kobe18/10
Vissel Kobe18/10–HMito Hollyhock21/10
Mito Hollyhock21/10–AKawasaki Frontale25/10
Kawasaki Frontale25/10Top Scorers
Kawasaki FrontaleMarcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa4 ⚽
L. Romanic2 ⚽
Marcinho2 ⚽
Yasuto Wakizaka2 ⚽
Tatsuya Ito1 ⚽
Y. Wakizaka1 ⚽
Fagiano OkayamaKota Kawano3 ⚽
Kamiya Yuta1 ⚽
Kosuke Shirai1 ⚽
Lucao1 ⚽
Léo Gaúcho1 ⚽
N. Browne1 ⚽
Cards Given
Kawasaki FrontaleT. Ito2 🟨
Pedro Romano2 🟨
L. Romanic1 🟨
Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa1 🟨
R. Homma1 🟨
Reon Yamahara1 🟨
Fagiano OkayamaEiji Miyamoto3 🟨
Lucas Marcos Meireles2 🟨
Haruka Motoyama1 🟨
Kamiya Yuta1 🟨
Leo Gaucho1 🟨
Na Sang-Ho1 🟨