Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-pulse — J1 League
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Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima·Hiroshima·Japan·28,520
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Shimizu S-pulse meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 24 October 2026. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Shimizu S-pulse have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.03 for Shimizu S-pulse. The models give Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 63% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Shimizu S-pulse win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Sanfrecce Hiroshima—
Shimizu S-pulse2º
Position
10º
2.22
PPG
1.44
67%
Win %
44%
2.44
Goals / game
0.89
0.67
Conceded / game
1.00
44%
BTTS %
44%
56%
Clean sheet %
22%
56%
Over 2.5 %
33%
7.0
Avg corners
4.7
20.1
Avg shots
10.7
7.7
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.4
8.1
Avg fouls
11.0
60.1%
Avg possession
42.7%
Home vs Away
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Home (4)
—
Shimizu S-pulse
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
1.50
75%
Win %
50%
3.25
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.25
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
7.0
Avg corners
4.7
20.1
Avg shots
10.7
7.7
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.4
60.1%
Avg possession
42.7%
Goals Scored
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Home | Away | Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 60% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 75% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Home | Away | Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 50% | 40% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 50% | 60% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Shimizu S-pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Shimizu S-pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (H)W
Iwaki4–0
Iwaki4–0W
Cerezo Osaka6–1
Cerezo Osaka6–1W
Nagoya Grampus3–0
Nagoya Grampus3–0W
Okinawa SV4–1
Okinawa SV4–1D
Kawasaki Frontale1–1
Kawasaki Frontale1–1W
JEF United Chiba3–0
JEF United Chiba3–0Shimizu S-pulse (A)L
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2W
Mito Hollyhock2–1
Mito Hollyhock2–1W
Kanazawa2–0
Kanazawa2–0LKawasaki Frontale1–3
Kawasaki Frontale1–3LCerezo Osaka0–1
Cerezo Osaka0–1WNagoya Grampus1–0
Nagoya Grampus1–0Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
11.0
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Shimizu S-pulse | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 56% | 89% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 78% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 56% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 56% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 44% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Shimizu S-pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.2 | 6.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 22% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 11% | 78% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
48%
7
Draws
24%
8
Shimizu S-pulse
28%
83%
Over 1.5
24/29
55%
Over 2.5
16/29
31%
Over 3.5
9/29
62%
BTTS
18/29
11/04/26Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1Shimizu S-pulse22/03/26Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
3–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima10/08/25Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0Shimizu S-pulse06/08/25Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–0Shimizu S-pulse26/02/25Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima03/09/22Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0Shimizu S-pulse18/05/22Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
2–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima29/04/22Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
2–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima26/03/22Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2Shimizu S-pulse20/11/21Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima28/04/21Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima17/03/21Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0Shimizu S-pulse03/03/21Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0Shimizu S-pulse10/10/20Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
2–3Sanfrecce Hiroshima09/09/20Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–1Shimizu S-pulse19/10/19Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima23/02/19Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1Shimizu S-pulse20/10/18Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
2–0Sanfrecce Hiroshima02/05/18Shimizu S-pulse
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0Shimizu S-pulse23/09/17Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Shimizu S-pulse
1–3Sanfrecce Hiroshima| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Shimizu S-pulse- ●Shimizu S-pulse have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWATokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0WAAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0WHCerezo Osaka6–1
Cerezo Osaka6–1LAFagiano Okayama2–3
Fagiano Okayama2–3WHNagoya Grampus3–0
Nagoya Grampus3–0DAGamba Osaka0–0
Gamba Osaka0–0–HKyoto Sanga17/10
Kyoto Sanga17/10–AV-varen Nagasaki21/10
V-varen Nagasaki21/10–HShimizu S-pulse24/10
Shimizu S-pulse24/10Shimizu S-pulseWAMito Hollyhock2–1
Mito Hollyhock2–1WHJEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1WHAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0LAKawasaki Frontale1–3
Kawasaki Frontale1–3DHFC Tokyo1–1
FC Tokyo1–1LHKashiwa Reysol0–1
Kashiwa Reysol0–1–HGamba Osaka17/10
Gamba Osaka17/10–HMachida Zelvia21/10
Machida Zelvia21/10–ASanfrecce Hiroshima24/10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima24/10Top Scorers
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAkito Suzuki4 ⚽
A. Suzuki3 ⚽
Shun Ayukawa3 ⚽
Sébastien Haller2 ⚽
S. Haller1 ⚽
Mutsuki Kato1 ⚽
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-hun2 ⚽
K. Kitagawa1 ⚽
Kai Matsuzaki1 ⚽
Hidehiro Sugai1 ⚽
Tomoya Fujii1 ⚽
Yudai Shimamoto1 ⚽
Cards Given
Sanfrecce HiroshimaY. Nakajima2 🟨
Akito Suzuki1 🟨
Daiki Suga1 🟨
H. Kawabe1 🟨
A. Suzuki1 🟨
M. Kato1 🟨
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-Hun4 🟨
Tomoya Fujii2 🟨
Kenta Inoue1 🟨
M. Brunetti1 🟨
Mateus Brunetti Valor1 🟨
Oh Se-hun1 🟨