Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki — J1 League
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Urawa and V-varen Nagasaki meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 25 October 2026. Urawa have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. V-varen Nagasaki have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Urawa and 1.35 for V-varen Nagasaki. The models give Urawa a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an V-varen Nagasaki win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Urawa—
V-varen Nagasaki11º
Position
14º
1.33
PPG
1.00
44%
Win %
22%
1.78
Goals / game
1.22
2.33
Conceded / game
1.78
78%
BTTS %
67%
11%
Clean sheet %
11%
89%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.2
Avg corners
4.1
14.3
Avg shots
11.3
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.3
11.7
Avg fouls
10.0
50.2%
Avg possession
45.1%
Home vs Away
Urawa
Home (4)
—
V-varen Nagasaki
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
0.25
50%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.25
Conceded / game
2.25
100%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.2
Avg corners
4.1
14.3
Avg shots
11.3
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.3
50.2%
Avg possession
45.1%
Goals Scored
| Urawa | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 40% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Urawa | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 80% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Urawa | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 11% |
| BTTS | 78% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 78% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Urawa | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 89% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 78% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Urawa (H)W
Omiya Ardija3–2
Omiya Ardija3–2W
Tokyo Verdy3–1
Tokyo Verdy3–1L
Fagiano Okayama1–2
Fagiano Okayama1–2W
Yokohama F. Marinos3–2
Yokohama F. Marinos3–2W
Yamanashi Gakuin3–0
Yamanashi Gakuin3–0L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1–4V-varen Nagasaki (A)D
JEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1L
Shimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
Gainare Tottori0–2
Gainare Tottori0–2W
Kochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0L
Vissel Kobe1–3
Vissel Kobe1–3L
Kashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Urawa | V-varen Nagasaki | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Urawa | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 44% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Urawa
0%
2
Draws
67%
1
V-varen Nagasaki
33%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
22/05/24Urawa
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Urawa05/08/18V-varen Nagasaki
Urawa
0–0V-varen Nagasaki10/03/18Urawa
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Urawa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Urawa- ●Urawa have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Urawa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Urawa have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
V-varen Nagasaki- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of V-varen Nagasaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of V-varen Nagasaki's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
UrawaLAFC Tokyo0–3
FC Tokyo0–3WHTokyo Verdy3–1
Tokyo Verdy3–1LHFagiano Okayama1–2
Fagiano Okayama1–2WAKashima1–0
Kashima1–0WAAvispa Fukuoka3–2
Avispa Fukuoka3–2WHYokohama F. Marinos3–2
Yokohama F. Marinos3–2–AMito Hollyhock17/10
Mito Hollyhock17/10–HJEF United Chiba21/10
JEF United Chiba21/10–HV-varen Nagasaki25/10
V-varen Nagasaki25/10V-varen NagasakiDAJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WHNagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0LAVissel Kobe1–3
Vissel Kobe1–3DHGamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2LHFC Tokyo0–3
FC Tokyo0–3–AKashima17/10
Kashima17/10–HSanfrecce Hiroshima21/10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima21/10–AUrawa25/10
Urawa25/10Top Scorers
UrawaMatheus Sávio3 ⚽
Harumi Minamino2 ⚽
H. Minamino2 ⚽
Kotaro Hayashi1 ⚽
Matheus Savio1 ⚽
R. Watanabe1 ⚽
V-varen NagasakiMatheus Jesus3 ⚽
Kenshin Yasuda2 ⚽
Tenmu Matsumoto2 ⚽
Thiago2 ⚽
Iwasaki Yuto1 ⚽
Thiago Santana1 ⚽
Cards Given
UrawaMatheus Savio3 🟨
Danilo2 🟨
K. Kudo2 🟨
K. Hayashi1 🟨
Kenta Nemoto1 🟨
R. Watanabe1 🟨
V-varen NagasakiThiago Santana2 🟨
Hotaru Yamaguchi1 🟨
Kanta Doi1 🟨
Motoki Hasegawa1 🟨
N. Campbell1 🟨
Norman Campbell1 🟨