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Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka — J1 League

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Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
3º · 2.22 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 21h
vs
–
–
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
18º · 0.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 18d 23h
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Machida Zelvia and Gamba Osaka meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 1 November 2026. Machida Zelvia have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Gamba Osaka have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Machida Zelvia and 1.21 for Gamba Osaka. The models give Machida Zelvia a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Gamba Osaka win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Machida Zelvia
—
Gamba Osaka
3º
Position
18º
2.22
PPG
0.67
67%
Win %
11%
2.44
Goals / game
0.89
1.11
Conceded / game
1.78
78%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.4
Avg corners
4.8
13.4
Avg shots
14.0
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.2
0.7
Avg yellow cards
0.9
10.2
Avg fouls
11.2
49.2%
Avg possession
55.3%

Home vs Away

Machida Zelvia
Home (4)
—
Gamba Osaka
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
0.40
50%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.80
1.75
Conceded / game
2.00
100%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.4
Avg corners
4.8
13.4
Avg shots
14.0
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.2
0.7
Avg yellow cards
0.9
49.2%
Avg possession
55.3%

Goals Scored

Machida ZelviaHomeAwayGamba OsakaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored100%100%100%44%25%60%
Over 1.5 Scored67%75%60%22%25%20%
Over 2.5 Scored44%25%60%11%25%0%
Failed To Score0%0%0%56%75%40%

Goals Conceded

Machida ZelviaHomeAwayGamba OsakaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded78%100%60%89%75%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded11%25%0%67%50%80%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%25%0%22%25%20%
Clean Sheets22%0%40%11%25%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Machida ZelviaGamba Osaka
Over 0.5100%89%
Over 1.589%78%
Over 2.567%33%
Over 3.556%33%
Over 4.522%11%
BTTS78%44%
BTTS & Win44%11%
BTTS & Draw22%22%
BTTS & Over 2.556%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Machida ZelviaGamba Osaka
Win 1st Half44%11%
Draw 1st Half44%44%
Loss 1st Half11%44%
Scored 1st Half67%22%
Conceded 1st Half44%67%
Win 2nd Half78%11%
Draw 2nd Half11%33%
Loss 2nd Half11%56%
Scored 2nd Half89%33%
Conceded 2nd Half33%78%
Over 0.5 HT78%67%
Over 1.5 HT44%22%

Recent Venue Form

Machida Zelvia (H)
DKyoto Sanga0–0
WTochigi City2–1
LKashiwa Reysol2–4
WSvay Rieng2–0
DYokohama F. Marinos1–1
WKawasaki Frontale2–1
Gamba Osaka (A)
WNewcastle Jets3–1
LKashima0–2
LKashiwa Reysol4–5
LJEF United Chiba0–2
DV-varen Nagasaki2–2
LNagoya Grampus1–3

Number of Corners

8.4
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
11.0
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersMachida ZelviaGamba OsakaLeague Avg
Over 678%89%74%
Over 767%67%60%
Over 844%67%53%
Over 933%67%43%
Over 1022%56%33%
Over 1111%33%22%
Over 1211%22%17%
Over 1311%22%8%

Team Corners

Team CornersMachida ZelviaGamba Osaka
Corners Earned / Match4.44.8
Corners Against / Match4.06.2
Over 2.5 Corners For56%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For56%78%
Over 4.5 Corners For56%56%
Over 2.5 Corners Against67%89%
Over 3.5 Corners Against44%89%
Over 4.5 Corners Against33%67%

Head to Head · 6 matches

3
Machida Zelvia
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Gamba Osaka
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
67%
Over 3.5
4/6
83%
BTTS
5/6
15/01/26
Gamba Osaka
3–2
Machida Zelvia
20/08/25
Machida Zelvia
3–1
Gamba Osaka
02/04/25
Gamba Osaka
0–1
Machida Zelvia
30/06/24
Gamba Osaka
1–3
Machida Zelvia
24/02/24
Machida Zelvia
1–1
Gamba Osaka
15/12/12
Gamba Osaka
3–2
Machida Zelvia
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Kashiwa Reysol9702+721
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima9621+1620
3Machida Zelvia9621+1220
4FC Tokyo9621+920
5Vissel Kobe9612+519
6Kashima9513+316
7Yokohama F. Marinos9432+415
8Kawasaki Frontale9342+313
9Fagiano Okayama9414013
10Shimizu S-pulse9414-113
11Urawa9405-512
12Cerezo Osaka9333-512
13Mito Hollyhock9234-19
14V-varen Nagasaki9234-59
15Nagoya Grampus9306-69
16Kyoto Sanga9225-58
17Avispa Fukuoka9216-27
18Gamba Osaka9135-86
19JEF United Chiba9126-115
20Tokyo Verdy9045-104

Team Insights

Machida Zelvia
  • ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Machida Zelvia have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Machida Zelvia have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Machida Zelvia have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●64% of Machida Zelvia's goals have been scored away.
  • ●70% of Machida Zelvia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●65% of Machida Zelvia's points have been earned away.
Gamba Osaka
  • ●Gamba Osaka have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
  • ●Gamba Osaka have lost their last 4 matches.
  • ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Gamba Osaka have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Gamba Osaka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.

Season Schedule

Machida Zelvia
WAKyoto Sanga1–0
LHKashiwa Reysol2–4
DHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
WANagoya Grampus3–1
WHKawasaki Frontale2–1
DAMito Hollyhock1–1
–HAvispa Fukuoka18/10
–AShimizu S-pulse21/10
–AVissel Kobe24/10
Gamba Osaka
LAKashima0–2
LHVissel Kobe0–1
LHFC Tokyo0–2
LAJEF United Chiba0–2
DAV-varen Nagasaki2–2
DHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–0
–AShimizu S-pulse17/10
–AAvispa Fukuoka21/10
–HKyoto Sanga24/10

Top Scorers

Machida Zelvia
Koki Ogawa3 ⚽
Y. Soma2 ⚽
T. Nishimura2 ⚽
H. Nakamura2 ⚽
T. Yengi2 ⚽
N. Lavi1 ⚽
Gamba Osaka
A. Uenaka1 ⚽
D. Hummet1 ⚽
Deniz Hümmet1 ⚽
I. Jebali1 ⚽
Issam Jebali1 ⚽
R. Meshino1 ⚽

Cards Given

Machida Zelvia
Takahiro Akimoto3 🟨
Hokuto Shimoda1 🟨
Hotaka Nakamura1 🟨
D. Okamura1 🟨
Ryohei Shirasaki1 🟨
Tete Yengi1 🟨
Gamba Osaka
T. Kishimoto2 🟨
I. Jebali1 🟨
Ryo Hatsuse1 🟨
Ryoya Yamashita1 🟨
S. Abe1 🟨
Shinnosuke Nakatani1 🟨