Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo — J1 League
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City Light Stadium·Okayama·Japan·20,000
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Fagiano Okayama and FC Tokyo meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 31 October 2026. Fagiano Okayama have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. FC Tokyo have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 67%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.48 for FC Tokyo. The models give Fagiano Okayama a 31% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an FC Tokyo win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Fagiano Okayama—
FC Tokyo9º
Position
4º
1.44
PPG
2.22
44%
Win %
67%
1.33
Goals / game
1.89
1.33
Conceded / game
0.89
78%
BTTS %
33%
22%
Clean sheet %
67%
78%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.9
Avg corners
4.7
14.2
Avg shots
15.3
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.1
Avg fouls
11.3
44.0%
Avg possession
51.3%
Home vs Away
Fagiano Okayama
Home (4)
—
FC Tokyo
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
50%
1.25
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
50%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.9
Avg corners
4.7
14.2
Avg shots
15.3
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.3
44.0%
Avg possession
51.3%
Goals Scored
| Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | FC Tokyo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 40% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | FC Tokyo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 50% | 100% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 50% | 0% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 78% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 89% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama (H)W
JEF United Chiba1–0
JEF United Chiba1–0L
Kyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2W
Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0
Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0D
Tokyo Verdy0–0
Tokyo Verdy0–0W
V-varen Nagasaki1–0
V-varen Nagasaki1–0FC Tokyo (A)L
Mito Hollyhock0–1
Mito Hollyhock0–1W
Ehime FC2–0
Ehime FC2–0W
Gamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0D
Shimizu S-pulse1–1
Shimizu S-pulse1–1WV-varen Nagasaki3–0
V-varen Nagasaki3–0D
Vissel Kobe2–2
Vissel Kobe2–2Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
9.1
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 44% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 44% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fagiano Okayama | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 78% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 44% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Fagiano Okayama
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
FC Tokyo
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
25/10/25Fagiano Okayama
FC Tokyo
3–1Fagiano Okayama06/04/25FC Tokyo
Fagiano Okayama
1–0FC Tokyo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Fagiano Okayama- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Fagiano Okayama's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
FC Tokyo- ●FC Tokyo have won their last 4 matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Tokyo have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
Fagiano OkayamaLAAvispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2LHKyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2WAUrawa2–1
Urawa2–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2WAJEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1LANagoya Grampus1–2
Nagoya Grampus1–2–HVissel Kobe18/10
Vissel Kobe18/10–HMito Hollyhock21/10
Mito Hollyhock21/10–AKawasaki Frontale25/10
Kawasaki Frontale25/10FC TokyoWHUrawa3–0
Urawa3–0WHNagoya Grampus1–0
Nagoya Grampus1–0WAGamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0WHKyoto Sanga2–0
Kyoto Sanga2–0DAShimizu S-pulse1–1
Shimizu S-pulse1–1WAV-varen Nagasaki3–0
V-varen Nagasaki3–0–ATokyo Verdy17/10
Tokyo Verdy17/10–HKashiwa Reysol21/10
Kashiwa Reysol21/10–HMito Hollyhock25/10
Mito Hollyhock25/10Top Scorers
Fagiano OkayamaKota Kawano3 ⚽
Kamiya Yuta1 ⚽
Kosuke Shirai1 ⚽
Lucao1 ⚽
Léo Gaúcho1 ⚽
N. Browne1 ⚽
FC TokyoSoma Anzai4 ⚽
Motoki Nagakura3 ⚽
M. Nagakura3 ⚽
Marcelo Ryan2 ⚽
Kein Sato1 ⚽
Takahiro Ko1 ⚽
Cards Given
Fagiano OkayamaEiji Miyamoto3 🟨
Lucas Marcos Meireles2 🟨
Haruka Motoyama1 🟨
Kamiya Yuta1 🟨
Leo Gaucho1 🟨
Na Sang-Ho1 🟨
FC TokyoMarcelo2 🟨
Takahiro Ko2 🟨
K. Sato1 🟨
Kashif Bangnagande1 🟨
Kein Sato1 🟨
Hirokazu Ishihara1 🟨