V-varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy — J1 League
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V-varen Nagasaki and Tokyo Verdy meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 1 November 2026. V-varen Nagasaki have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Tokyo Verdy have won 0% of their 9 matches, with 0.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for V-varen Nagasaki and 0.98 for Tokyo Verdy. The models give V-varen Nagasaki a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Tokyo Verdy win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
V-varen Nagasaki—
Tokyo Verdy14º
Position
20º
1.00
PPG
0.44
22%
Win %
0%
1.22
Goals / game
0.44
1.78
Conceded / game
1.56
67%
BTTS %
44%
11%
Clean sheet %
22%
56%
Over 2.5 %
22%
4.1
Avg corners
3.8
11.3
Avg shots
8.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
2.1
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.6
10.0
Avg fouls
14.8
45.1%
Avg possession
43.4%
Home vs Away
V-varen Nagasaki
Home (5)
—
Tokyo Verdy
Away (3)
1.60
PPG
0.67
40%
Win %
0%
1.40
Goals / game
0.33
1.40
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
33%
20%
Clean sheet %
67%
60%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.1
Avg corners
3.8
11.3
Avg shots
8.9
3.7
Avg shots on target
2.1
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.6
45.1%
Avg possession
43.4%
Goals Scored
| V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | Tokyo Verdy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 60% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 56% | 50% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | Tokyo Verdy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 78% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 40% | 50% | 56% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 20% | 50% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| V-varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| V-varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
V-varen Nagasaki (H)D
Cerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1W
Nagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0D
Gamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2L
FC Tokyo0–3
FC Tokyo0–3W
Ehime FC3–2
Ehime FC3–2W
Kyoto Sanga2–1
Kyoto Sanga2–1Tokyo Verdy (A)D
Gainare Tottori0–0
Gainare Tottori0–0L
Sagan Tosu1–2
Sagan Tosu1–2L
Urawa1–3
Urawa1–3W
Biwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga1–0DCerezo Osaka0–0
Cerezo Osaka0–0D
Fagiano Okayama0–0
Fagiano Okayama0–0Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
9.1
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | V-varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 88% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 63% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 13% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 13% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | V-varen Nagasaki | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 78% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 44% | 50% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
9
V-varen Nagasaki
43%
6
Draws
29%
6
Tokyo Verdy
29%
71%
Over 1.5
15/21
52%
Over 2.5
11/21
10%
Over 3.5
2/21
62%
BTTS
13/21
05/07/23V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
1–2V-varen Nagasaki07/05/23Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–2Tokyo Verdy06/08/22V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
1–0V-varen Nagasaki19/02/22Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Tokyo Verdy07/11/21V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
0–3V-varen Nagasaki25/04/21Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Tokyo Verdy13/12/20V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
0–2V-varen Nagasaki02/08/20Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Tokyo Verdy31/08/19Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
2–1Tokyo Verdy05/05/19V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
2–1V-varen Nagasaki20/08/17V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
2–1V-varen Nagasaki27/05/17Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Tokyo Verdy16/07/16Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
2–1Tokyo Verdy10/04/16V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
0–0V-varen Nagasaki20/09/15V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
0–1V-varen Nagasaki29/03/15Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Tokyo Verdy09/11/14Tokyo Verdy
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Tokyo Verdy30/03/14V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
1–5V-varen Nagasaki08/09/13V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
3–2V-varen Nagasaki11/08/13V-varen Nagasaki
Tokyo Verdy
2–1V-varen Nagasaki| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
V-varen Nagasaki- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of V-varen Nagasaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of V-varen Nagasaki's points have been earned at home.
Tokyo Verdy- ●Tokyo Verdy have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●79% of Tokyo Verdy's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
V-varen NagasakiDAJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WHNagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0LAVissel Kobe1–3
Vissel Kobe1–3DHGamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2LHFC Tokyo0–3
FC Tokyo0–3–AKashima17/10
Kashima17/10–HSanfrecce Hiroshima21/10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima21/10–AUrawa25/10
Urawa25/10Tokyo VerdyLHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2LAUrawa1–3
Urawa1–3DHJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1DACerezo Osaka0–0
Cerezo Osaka0–0LHVissel Kobe0–2
Vissel Kobe0–2LHKashima0–2
Kashima0–2–HFC Tokyo17/10
FC Tokyo17/10–AYokohama F. Marinos21/10
Yokohama F. Marinos21/10–HAvispa Fukuoka24/10
Avispa Fukuoka24/10Top Scorers
V-varen NagasakiMatheus Jesus3 ⚽
Kenshin Yasuda2 ⚽
Tenmu Matsumoto2 ⚽
Thiago2 ⚽
Iwasaki Yuto1 ⚽
Thiago Santana1 ⚽
Tokyo VerdyN. Hayashi1 ⚽
Naoki Hayashi1 ⚽
S. Mizoguchi1 ⚽
Yuta Arai1 ⚽
Cards Given
V-varen NagasakiThiago Santana2 🟨
Hotaru Yamaguchi1 🟨
Kanta Doi1 🟨
Motoki Hasegawa1 🟨
N. Campbell1 🟨
Norman Campbell1 🟨
Tokyo VerdyYuya Fukuda2 🟨
Kaito Suzuki1 🟨
Kazunari Ichimi1 🟨
Kim Hyun-Woo1 🟨
Matheus Vidotto1 🟨
K. Suzuki1 🟨