Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki — J1 League
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Best Denki Stadium·Fukuoka·Japan·22,331
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Avispa Fukuoka and V-varen Nagasaki meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 7 November 2026. Avispa Fukuoka have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. V-varen Nagasaki have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.17 for V-varen Nagasaki. The models give Avispa Fukuoka a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an V-varen Nagasaki win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Avispa Fukuoka—
V-varen Nagasaki17º
Position
14º
0.78
PPG
1.00
22%
Win %
22%
1.22
Goals / game
1.22
1.44
Conceded / game
1.78
56%
BTTS %
67%
11%
Clean sheet %
11%
56%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.4
Avg corners
4.1
12.8
Avg shots
11.3
4.9
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
13.7
Avg fouls
10.0
40.4%
Avg possession
45.1%
Home vs Away
Avispa Fukuoka
Home (6)
—
V-varen Nagasaki
Away (4)
1.17
PPG
0.25
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.17
Conceded / game
2.25
50%
BTTS %
75%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.4
Avg corners
4.1
12.8
Avg shots
11.3
4.9
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.3
40.4%
Avg possession
45.1%
Goals Scored
| Avispa Fukuoka | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 33% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Avispa Fukuoka | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 83% | 100% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 67% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 17% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Avispa Fukuoka | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS | 56% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Avispa Fukuoka | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Avispa Fukuoka (H)W
Fagiano Okayama2–1
Fagiano Okayama2–1L
Yokohama FC0–1
Yokohama FC0–1L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1D
Mito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1L
Urawa2–3
Urawa2–3D
Verspah Oita0–0
Verspah Oita0–0V-varen Nagasaki (A)D
JEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1L
Shimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
Gainare Tottori0–2
Gainare Tottori0–2W
Kochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0L
Vissel Kobe1–3
Vissel Kobe1–3L
Kashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4Number of Corners
7.7
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
9.0
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Avispa Fukuoka | V-varen Nagasaki | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 44% | 78% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 22% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 22% | 67% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 22% | 67% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 11% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 11% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Avispa Fukuoka | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 22% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 11% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 11% | 44% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
6
Avispa Fukuoka
38%
5
Draws
31%
5
V-varen Nagasaki
31%
31%
Over 1.5
5/16
25%
Over 2.5
4/16
13%
Over 3.5
2/16
25%
BTTS
4/16
11/04/26V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0V-varen Nagasaki15/03/26Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Avispa Fukuoka13/07/22V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
2–0V-varen Nagasaki27/09/20Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1–3Avispa Fukuoka04/07/20V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1–2V-varen Nagasaki07/09/19Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Avispa Fukuoka02/03/19V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0–0V-varen Nagasaki16/08/17V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0–1V-varen Nagasaki15/04/17Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–1Avispa Fukuoka29/11/15V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0V-varen Nagasaki26/07/15V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0–0V-varen Nagasaki28/06/15Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Avispa Fukuoka17/08/14Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Avispa Fukuoka13/04/14V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
2–5V-varen Nagasaki18/08/13V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
2–1V-varen Nagasaki29/06/13Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Avispa Fukuoka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Avispa Fukuoka- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●73% of Avispa Fukuoka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Avispa Fukuoka's points have been earned at home.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
V-varen Nagasaki- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of V-varen Nagasaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of V-varen Nagasaki's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Avispa FukuokaWHFagiano Okayama2–1
Fagiano Okayama2–1LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1LAShimizu S-pulse0–1
Shimizu S-pulse0–1DHMito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1LHUrawa2–3
Urawa2–3LAKyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2–AMachida Zelvia18/10
Machida Zelvia18/10–HGamba Osaka21/10
Gamba Osaka21/10–ATokyo Verdy24/10
Tokyo Verdy24/10V-varen NagasakiDAJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WHNagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0LAVissel Kobe1–3
Vissel Kobe1–3DHGamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2LHFC Tokyo0–3
FC Tokyo0–3–AKashima17/10
Kashima17/10–HSanfrecce Hiroshima21/10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima21/10–AUrawa25/10
Urawa25/10Top Scorers
Avispa FukuokaShu Morooka2 ⚽
S. Morooka1 ⚽
Shosei Usui1 ⚽
Werik Popo1 ⚽
Y. Tsujioka1 ⚽
Yota Maejima1 ⚽
V-varen NagasakiMatheus Jesus3 ⚽
Kenshin Yasuda2 ⚽
Tenmu Matsumoto2 ⚽
Thiago2 ⚽
Iwasaki Yuto1 ⚽
Thiago Santana1 ⚽
Cards Given
Avispa FukuokaTomoya Miki3 🟨
Yuma Tsujioka2 🟨
K. Maeda2 🟨
K. Fujimoto1 🟨
Kokoro Maeda1 🟨
Kaoru Yamawaki1 🟨
V-varen NagasakiThiago Santana2 🟨
Hotaru Yamaguchi1 🟨
Kanta Doi1 🟨
Motoki Hasegawa1 🟨
N. Campbell1 🟨
Norman Campbell1 🟨