Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J1 League
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Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 8 November 2026. Machida Zelvia have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 2.44 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 56%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Machida Zelvia and 1.57 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The models give Machida Zelvia a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Machida Zelvia—
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3º
Position
2º
2.22
PPG
2.22
67%
Win %
67%
2.44
Goals / game
2.44
1.11
Conceded / game
0.67
78%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
56%
67%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.4
Avg corners
7.0
13.4
Avg shots
20.1
5.1
Avg shots on target
7.7
0.7
Avg yellow cards
1.1
10.2
Avg fouls
8.1
49.2%
Avg possession
60.1%
Home vs Away
Machida Zelvia
Home (4)
—
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
60%
2.00
Goals / game
1.80
1.75
Conceded / game
0.80
100%
BTTS %
40%
0%
Clean sheet %
60%
75%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.4
Avg corners
7.0
13.4
Avg shots
20.1
5.1
Avg shots on target
7.7
0.7
Avg yellow cards
1.1
49.2%
Avg possession
60.1%
Goals Scored
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 60% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 25% | 60% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 100% | 60% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 11% | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 0% | 40% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 33% |
| BTTS | 78% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 44% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 78% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 89% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Machida Zelvia (H)D
Kyoto Sanga0–0
Kyoto Sanga0–0W
Tochigi City2–1
Tochigi City2–1L
Kashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4W
Svay Rieng2–0
Svay Rieng2–0D
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1W
Kawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1Sanfrecce Hiroshima (A)W
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
Tokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0WTochigi City2–0
Tochigi City2–0W
Avispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0L
Fagiano Okayama2–3
Fagiano Okayama2–3D
Gamba Osaka0–0
Gamba Osaka0–0Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.1
89 games
9.2
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 56% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 56% | 53% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 56% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 22% | 44% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 44% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 11% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Machida Zelvia | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 56% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 44% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 11% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Machida Zelvia
0%
0
Draws
0%
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
100%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
04/10/25Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1Machida Zelvia16/02/25Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Machida Zelvia
1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima28/09/24Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0Machida Zelvia03/04/24Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Machida Zelvia
1–2Sanfrecce Hiroshima| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Urawa | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Mito Hollyhock | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Nagoya Grampus | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 |  JEF United Chiba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 | Tokyo Verdy | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
Team Insights
Machida Zelvia- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●64% of Machida Zelvia's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Machida Zelvia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●65% of Machida Zelvia's points have been earned away.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Machida ZelviaWAKyoto Sanga1–0
Kyoto Sanga1–0LHKashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4DHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1WANagoya Grampus3–1
Nagoya Grampus3–1WHKawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1DAMito Hollyhock1–1
Mito Hollyhock1–1–HAvispa Fukuoka18/10
Avispa Fukuoka18/10–AShimizu S-pulse21/10
Shimizu S-pulse21/10–AVissel Kobe24/10
Vissel Kobe24/10Sanfrecce HiroshimaWATokyo Verdy2–0
Tokyo Verdy2–0WAAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0WHCerezo Osaka6–1
Cerezo Osaka6–1LAFagiano Okayama2–3
Fagiano Okayama2–3WHNagoya Grampus3–0
Nagoya Grampus3–0DAGamba Osaka0–0
Gamba Osaka0–0–HKyoto Sanga17/10
Kyoto Sanga17/10–AV-varen Nagasaki21/10
V-varen Nagasaki21/10–HShimizu S-pulse24/10
Shimizu S-pulse24/10Top Scorers
Machida ZelviaKoki Ogawa3 ⚽
Y. Soma2 ⚽
T. Nishimura2 ⚽
H. Nakamura2 ⚽
T. Yengi2 ⚽
N. Lavi1 ⚽
Sanfrecce HiroshimaAkito Suzuki4 ⚽
A. Suzuki3 ⚽
Shun Ayukawa3 ⚽
Sébastien Haller2 ⚽
S. Haller1 ⚽
Mutsuki Kato1 ⚽
Cards Given
Machida ZelviaTakahiro Akimoto3 🟨
Hokuto Shimoda1 🟨
Hotaka Nakamura1 🟨
D. Okamura1 🟨
Ryohei Shirasaki1 🟨
Tete Yengi1 🟨
Sanfrecce HiroshimaY. Nakajima2 🟨
Akito Suzuki1 🟨
Daiki Suga1 🟨
H. Kawabe1 🟨
A. Suzuki1 🟨
M. Kato1 🟨