Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama — J1 League
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Panasonic Stadium Suita·Suita·Japan·40,322
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Gamba Osaka and Fagiano Okayama meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 21 November 2026. Gamba Osaka have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Fagiano Okayama have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Gamba Osaka and 1.38 for Fagiano Okayama. The models give Gamba Osaka a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Fagiano Okayama win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Gamba Osaka—
Fagiano Okayama15º
Position
10º
0.91
PPG
1.45
18%
Win %
45%
1.09
Goals / game
1.27
1.73
Conceded / game
1.36
55%
BTTS %
64%
9%
Clean sheet %
27%
45%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.8
Avg corners
6.1
13.2
Avg shots
14.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
11.6
Avg fouls
11.9
55.8%
Avg possession
43.8%
Home vs Away
Gamba Osaka
Home (4)
—
Fagiano Okayama
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.20
25%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.40
1.50
Conceded / game
1.60
25%
BTTS %
100%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
25%
Over 2.5 %
100%
4.8
Avg corners
6.1
13.2
Avg shots
14.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.6
55.8%
Avg possession
43.8%
Goals Scored
| Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 25% | 71% | 82% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 25% | 43% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 25% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 75% | 29% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 75% | 100% | 73% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 71% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 25% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS | 55% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 9% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 73% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 18% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Gamba Osaka (H)W
Tokushima Vortis5–0
Tokushima Vortis5–0L
Vissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1W
Công An Nhân Dân4–1
Công An Nhân Dân4–1L
FC Tokyo0–2
FC Tokyo0–2D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0W
Biwako Shiga2–0
Biwako Shiga2–0Fagiano Okayama (A)D
Nagoya Grampus3–3
Nagoya Grampus3–3L
Avispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2W
Consadole Sapporo2–1
Consadole Sapporo2–1W
Urawa2–1
Urawa2–1W
JEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1LNagoya Grampus1–2
Nagoya Grampus1–2Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
109 games
10.1
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 73% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 64% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 64% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 64% | 55% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 55% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 36% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 27% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 18% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 91% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 82% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 36% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Gamba Osaka
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Fagiano Okayama
33%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
19/04/26Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
2–2Fagiano Okayama22/02/26Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
1–2Gamba Osaka10/08/25Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
0–3Fagiano Okayama26/02/25Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2–0Gamba Osaka04/08/13Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2–3Gamba Osaka22/06/13Fagiano Okayama
Gamba Osaka
1–1Fagiano Okayama| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +20 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Kyoto Sanga | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -14 | 5 |
Team Insights
Gamba Osaka- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Gamba Osaka's goals have been scored away.
- ●68% of Gamba Osaka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●60% of Gamba Osaka's points have been earned away.
Fagiano Okayama- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Gamba OsakaWAAvispa Fukuoka2–1
Avispa Fukuoka2–1DAShimizu S-pulse2–2
Shimizu S-pulse2–2LAKashima0–2
Kashima0–2LHVissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1LHFC Tokyo0–2
FC Tokyo0–2LAJEF United Chiba0–2
JEF United Chiba0–2–HKyoto Sanga24/10
Kyoto Sanga24/10–AMachida Zelvia01/11
Machida Zelvia01/11–HCerezo Osaka08/11
Cerezo Osaka08/11Fagiano OkayamaWHMito Hollyhock2–0
Mito Hollyhock2–0LHVissel Kobe0–3
Vissel Kobe0–3LAAvispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2LHKyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2WAUrawa2–1
Urawa2–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2–AKawasaki Frontale25/10
Kawasaki Frontale25/10–HFC Tokyo31/10
FC Tokyo31/10–AYokohama F. Marinos07/11
Yokohama F. Marinos07/11Top Scorers
Gamba OsakaIssam Jebali2 ⚽
Welton2 ⚽
Deniz Hümmet1 ⚽
I. Jebali1 ⚽
A. Uenaka1 ⚽
Ryotaro Meshino1 ⚽
Fagiano OkayamaKota Kawano3 ⚽
Ataru Esaka2 ⚽
Kamiya Yuta1 ⚽
Kosuke Shirai1 ⚽
Lucao1 ⚽
Léo Gaúcho1 ⚽
Cards Given
Gamba OsakaRyo Hatsuse2 🟨
T. Kishimoto2 🟨
Ryoya Yamashita2 🟨
S. Abe1 🟨
Shinnosuke Nakatani1 🟨
Shuto Abe1 🟨
Fagiano OkayamaLucas Marcos Meireles3 🟨
Eiji Miyamoto3 🟨
Yoshitake Suzuki2 🟨
Haruka Motoyama2 🟨
Oberdan Alionço de Lima2 🟨
Leo Gaucho1 🟨