Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-pulse — J1 League
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City Light Stadium·Okayama·Japan·20,000
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Fagiano Okayama and Shimizu S-pulse meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 25 November 2026. Fagiano Okayama have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Shimizu S-pulse have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 0.91 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.18 for Shimizu S-pulse. The models give Fagiano Okayama a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Shimizu S-pulse win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Fagiano Okayama—
Shimizu S-pulse10º
Position
11º
1.45
PPG
1.27
45%
Win %
36%
1.27
Goals / game
0.91
1.36
Conceded / game
1.45
64%
BTTS %
45%
27%
Clean sheet %
18%
73%
Over 2.5 %
45%
6.1
Avg corners
4.8
14.1
Avg shots
10.4
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.4
11.9
Avg fouls
11.5
43.8%
Avg possession
41.1%
Home vs Away
Fagiano Okayama
Home (6)
—
Shimizu S-pulse
Away (4)
1.67
PPG
1.50
50%
Win %
50%
1.17
Goals / game
1.00
1.17
Conceded / game
1.25
33%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.1
Avg corners
4.8
14.1
Avg shots
10.4
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.4
43.8%
Avg possession
41.1%
Goals Scored
| Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 67% | 100% | 64% | 57% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 33% | 40% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 33% | 0% | 36% | 43% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 50% | 100% | 82% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 50% | 0% | 18% | 14% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fagiano Okayama | Shimizu S-pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 9% |
| BTTS | 64% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fagiano Okayama | Shimizu S-pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 73% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 18% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 9% |
Recent Venue Form
Fagiano Okayama (H)W
Mito Hollyhock2–0
Mito Hollyhock2–0L
Vissel Kobe0–3
Vissel Kobe0–3W
JEF United Chiba1–0
JEF United Chiba1–0L
Kyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2W
Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0
Beluga Rosso Iwami3–0Shimizu S-pulse (A)L
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2WMito Hollyhock2–1
Mito Hollyhock2–1W
Kanazawa2–0
Kanazawa2–0L
Kawasaki Frontale1–3
Kawasaki Frontale1–3L
Cerezo Osaka0–1
Cerezo Osaka0–1W
Nagoya Grampus1–0
Nagoya Grampus1–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
109 games
10.8
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Fagiano Okayama | Shimizu S-pulse | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 91% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 82% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 73% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 55% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 55% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 36% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 27% | 27% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 9% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fagiano Okayama | Shimizu S-pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.1 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 73% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Fagiano Okayama
20%
4
Draws
40%
4
Shimizu S-pulse
40%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
40%
Over 2.5
4/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
60%
BTTS
6/10
17/05/26Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
2–0Shimizu S-pulse14/03/26Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1–1Fagiano Okayama06/12/25Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1–2Fagiano Okayama02/03/25Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
1–1Shimizu S-pulse30/06/24Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
3–1Fagiano Okayama28/04/24Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
0–1Shimizu S-pulse29/07/23Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
1–0Fagiano Okayama26/02/23Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
0–0Shimizu S-pulse12/11/16Fagiano Okayama
Shimizu S-pulse
2–1Fagiano Okayama03/07/16Shimizu S-pulse
Fagiano Okayama
2–2Shimizu S-pulse| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +20 | 26 |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-pulse | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Kyoto Sanga | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Tokyo Verdy | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -14 | 5 |
Team Insights
Fagiano Okayama- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Shimizu S-pulse- ●Shimizu S-pulse failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●69% of Shimizu S-pulse's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Fagiano OkayamaWHMito Hollyhock2–0
Mito Hollyhock2–0LHVissel Kobe0–3
Vissel Kobe0–3LAAvispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2LHKyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2WAUrawa2–1
Urawa2–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima3–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–2–AKawasaki Frontale25/10
Kawasaki Frontale25/10–HFC Tokyo31/10
FC Tokyo31/10–AYokohama F. Marinos07/11
Yokohama F. Marinos07/11Shimizu S-pulseLHMachida Zelvia0–5
Machida Zelvia0–5DHGamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2WAMito Hollyhock2–1
Mito Hollyhock2–1WHJEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1WHAvispa Fukuoka1–0
Avispa Fukuoka1–0LAKawasaki Frontale1–3
Kawasaki Frontale1–3–ASanfrecce Hiroshima24/10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima24/10–AKyoto Sanga31/10
Kyoto Sanga31/10–HTokyo Verdy07/11
Tokyo Verdy07/11Top Scorers
Fagiano OkayamaKota Kawano3 ⚽
Ataru Esaka2 ⚽
Kamiya Yuta1 ⚽
Kosuke Shirai1 ⚽
Lucao1 ⚽
Léo Gaúcho1 ⚽
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-hun2 ⚽
Kai Matsuzaki2 ⚽
Kosuke Kinoshita1 ⚽
Tomoya Fujii1 ⚽
Yudai Shimamoto1 ⚽
Hidehiro Sugai1 ⚽
Cards Given
Fagiano OkayamaLucas Marcos Meireles3 🟨
Eiji Miyamoto3 🟨
Yoshitake Suzuki2 🟨
Haruka Motoyama2 🟨
Oberdan Alionço de Lima2 🟨
Leo Gaucho1 🟨
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-Hun4 🟨
Tomoya Fujii2 🟨
Hidehiro Sugai2 🟨
Takayuki Yoshida2 🟨
Kai Matsuzaki2 🟨
Mateus Brunetti Valor1 🟨