Kashima vs Fagiano Okayama — J1 League
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Kashima and Fagiano Okayama meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 28 November 2026. Kashima have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.23 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Fagiano Okayama have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Kashima and 1.24 for Fagiano Okayama. The models give Kashima a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Fagiano Okayama win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Kashima—
Fagiano Okayama6º
Position
10º
1.77
PPG
1.23
54%
Win %
38%
2.23
Goals / game
1.15
1.69
Conceded / game
1.62
69%
BTTS %
62%
23%
Clean sheet %
23%
69%
Over 2.5 %
77%
4.5
Avg corners
6.4
16.2
Avg shots
14.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.4
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
10.8
Avg fouls
11.5
58.3%
Avg possession
43.8%
Home vs Away
Kashima
Home (7)
—
Fagiano Okayama
Away (6)
2.14
PPG
1.00
71%
Win %
33%
2.14
Goals / game
1.33
1.14
Conceded / game
1.67
57%
BTTS %
100%
29%
Clean sheet %
0%
57%
Over 2.5 %
100%
4.5
Avg corners
6.4
16.2
Avg shots
14.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.4
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
58.3%
Avg possession
43.8%
Goals Scored
| Kashima | Home | Away | Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 86% | 100% | 77% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 85% | 86% | 83% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 29% | 33% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 14% | 0% | 23% | 43% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Kashima | Home | Away | Fagiano Okayama | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 71% | 83% | 77% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 29% | 83% | 62% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 14% | 50% | 15% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 29% | 17% | 23% | 43% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kashima | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 8% |
| BTTS | 69% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kashima | Fagiano Okayama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 62% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 85% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Kashima (H)W
Cerezo Osaka4–1
Cerezo Osaka4–1W
Pohang Steelers3–0
Pohang Steelers3–0L
Kashiwa Reysol2–3
Kashiwa Reysol2–3W
V-varen Nagasaki2–0
V-varen Nagasaki2–0W
Gamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0W
Ventforet Kofu3–1
Ventforet Kofu3–1Fagiano Okayama (A)L
Kawasaki Frontale1–2
Kawasaki Frontale1–2D
Nagoya Grampus3–3
Nagoya Grampus3–3L
Avispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2W
Consadole Sapporo2–1
Consadole Sapporo2–1W
Urawa2–1
Urawa2–1W
JEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1Number of Corners
8.2
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.4
129 games
10.4
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Kashima | Fagiano Okayama | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 69% | 77% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 54% | 69% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 69% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 31% | 62% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 46% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 15% | 38% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 31% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 15% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kashima | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 54% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 46% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 38% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
3
Kashima
75%
0
Draws
0%
1
Fagiano Okayama
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
20/01/26Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
1–0Fagiano Okayama28/06/25Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
1–2Fagiano Okayama20/04/25Kashima
Fagiano Okayama
1–2Kashima22/09/16Fagiano Okayama
Kashima
2–1Fagiano Okayama| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 29 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 28 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 21 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 14 |
| 14 |  Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 |  Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | JEF United Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 |  Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -11 | 7 |
Team Insights
Kashima- ●Kashima have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Kashima have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kashima have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kashima have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Kashima have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kashima failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kashima have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Kashima failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kashima have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Fagiano Okayama- ●Fagiano Okayama have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fagiano Okayama have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
KashimaWHCerezo Osaka4–1
Cerezo Osaka4–1LHKashiwa Reysol2–3
Kashiwa Reysol2–3DAKyoto Sanga2–2
Kyoto Sanga2–2WHV-varen Nagasaki2–0
V-varen Nagasaki2–0WHGamba Osaka2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0DAKawasaki Frontale3–3
Kawasaki Frontale3–3–AFC Tokyo07/11
FC Tokyo07/11–HShimizu S-pulse20/11
Shimizu S-pulse20/11–HFagiano Okayama28/11
Fagiano Okayama28/11Fagiano OkayamaLHFC Tokyo0–4
FC Tokyo0–4LAKawasaki Frontale1–2
Kawasaki Frontale1–2WHMito Hollyhock2–0
Mito Hollyhock2–0LHVissel Kobe0–3
Vissel Kobe0–3LAAvispa Fukuoka1–2
Avispa Fukuoka1–2LHKyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2–AYokohama F. Marinos07/11
Yokohama F. Marinos07/11–AGamba Osaka21/11
Gamba Osaka21/11–HShimizu S-pulse25/11
Shimizu S-pulse25/11Top Scorers
KashimaLeo Ceara6 ⚽
Léo Ceará6 ⚽
Aleksandar Čavrić4 ⚽
A. Cavric3 ⚽
José Élber Pimentel da Silva3 ⚽
Yuta Matsumura2 ⚽
Fagiano OkayamaKota Kawano3 ⚽
Ataru Esaka2 ⚽
Kamiya Yuta1 ⚽
Kosuke Shirai1 ⚽
Lucao1 ⚽
Léo Gaúcho1 ⚽
Cards Given
KashimaY. Suzuki2 🟨
Kento Misao2 🟨
I. Sekigawa1 🟨
K. Misao1 🟨
Keisuke Tsukui1 🟨
Ikuma Sekigawa1 🟨
Fagiano OkayamaLucas Marcos Meireles4 🟨
Yoshitake Suzuki3 🟨
Haruka Motoyama3 🟨
Eiji Miyamoto3 🟨
Oberdan Alionço de Lima2 🟨
Leo Gaucho1 🟨