Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy — J1 League
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Machida Zelvia and Tokyo Verdy meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 29 November 2026. Machida Zelvia have recorded 8 wins from 12 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Tokyo Verdy have won 8% of their 12 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.72 for Machida Zelvia and 1.08 for Tokyo Verdy. The models give Machida Zelvia a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tokyo Verdy win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Machida Zelvia—
Tokyo Verdy1º
Position
18º
2.25
PPG
0.67
67%
Win %
8%
2.50
Goals / game
0.75
0.83
Conceded / game
1.75
58%
BTTS %
50%
42%
Clean sheet %
17%
67%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.3
Avg corners
3.7
14.4
Avg shots
8.8
6.0
Avg shots on target
2.4
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
11.0
Avg fouls
14.3
51.0%
Avg possession
41.6%
Home vs Away
Machida Zelvia
Home (5)
—
Tokyo Verdy
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
0.75
60%
Win %
0%
2.20
Goals / game
0.75
1.40
Conceded / game
1.25
80%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
50%
80%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.3
Avg corners
3.7
14.4
Avg shots
8.8
6.0
Avg shots on target
2.4
0.8
Avg yellow cards
1.5
51.0%
Avg possession
41.6%
Goals Scored
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Tokyo Verdy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 86% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 80% | 57% | 17% | 13% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 57% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Machida Zelvia | Home | Away | Tokyo Verdy | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 80% | 43% | 83% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 58% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 20% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 20% | 57% | 17% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Machida Zelvia | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Machida Zelvia | Tokyo Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 8% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 17% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 75% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Machida Zelvia (H)W
Avispa Fukuoka3–0
Avispa Fukuoka3–0D
Kyoto Sanga0–0
Kyoto Sanga0–0W
Tochigi City2–1
Tochigi City2–1L
Kashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4W
Svay Rieng2–0
Svay Rieng2–0D
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1Tokyo Verdy (A)DYokohama F. Marinos2–2
Yokohama F. Marinos2–2D
Gainare Tottori0–0
Gainare Tottori0–0L
Sagan Tosu1–2
Sagan Tosu1–2L
Urawa1–3
Urawa1–3W
Biwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga1–0D
Cerezo Osaka0–0
Cerezo Osaka0–0Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
9.6
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Machida Zelvia | Tokyo Verdy | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 91% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 82% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 73% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 36% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 27% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 9% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Machida Zelvia | Tokyo Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 42% | 64% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
10
Machida Zelvia
42%
8
Draws
33%
6
Tokyo Verdy
25%
58%
Over 1.5
14/24
46%
Over 2.5
11/24
33%
Over 3.5
8/24
54%
BTTS
13/24
13/05/26Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0–0Tokyo Verdy21/02/26Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2–2Machida Zelvia20/07/25Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0–1Machida Zelvia26/02/25Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0–1Tokyo Verdy14/07/24Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0–1Machida Zelvia19/05/24Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
5–0Tokyo Verdy09/07/23Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2–2Tokyo Verdy13/05/23Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0–1Machida Zelvia18/09/22Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2–2Tokyo Verdy20/03/22Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
2–1Machida Zelvia26/09/21Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
0–1Machida Zelvia14/03/21Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2–2Tokyo Verdy06/12/20Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
1–0Tokyo Verdy27/06/20Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
1–1Machida Zelvia27/07/19Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
1–0Machida Zelvia24/02/19Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
1–0Tokyo Verdy17/11/18Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
1–1Tokyo Verdy03/05/18Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
1–4Machida Zelvia01/10/17Machida Zelvia
Tokyo Verdy
3–1Machida Zelvia25/06/17Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2–4Tokyo Verdy| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Machida Zelvia- ●Machida Zelvia have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Machida Zelvia have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Machida Zelvia's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Machida Zelvia's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●63% of Machida Zelvia's points have been earned away.
Tokyo Verdy- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Tokyo Verdy have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●67% of Tokyo Verdy's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Tokyo Verdy's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Machida ZelviaDAVissel Kobe0–0
Vissel Kobe0–0WAShimizu S-pulse5–0
Shimizu S-pulse5–0WHAvispa Fukuoka3–0
Avispa Fukuoka3–0WAKyoto Sanga1–0
Kyoto Sanga1–0LHKashiwa Reysol2–4
Kashiwa Reysol2–4DHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1–HGamba Osaka01/11
Gamba Osaka01/11–HSanfrecce Hiroshima08/11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima08/11–HV-varen Nagasaki21/11
V-varen Nagasaki21/11Tokyo VerdyWHAvispa Fukuoka3–1
Avispa Fukuoka3–1DAYokohama F. Marinos2–2
Yokohama F. Marinos2–2LHFC Tokyo0–4
FC Tokyo0–4LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–2LAUrawa1–3
Urawa1–3DHJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1–AV-varen Nagasaki01/11
V-varen Nagasaki01/11–AShimizu S-pulse07/11
Shimizu S-pulse07/11–HNagoya Grampus21/11
Nagoya Grampus21/11Top Scorers
Machida ZelviaKoki Ogawa4 ⚽
Takuma Nishimura3 ⚽
T. Yengi2 ⚽
H. Nakamura2 ⚽
Henry Heroki Mochizuki2 ⚽
T. Nishimura2 ⚽
Tokyo VerdyGoki Yamada1 ⚽
Issei Kumatoriya1 ⚽
Kanya Fujimoto1 ⚽
N. Hayashi1 ⚽
Naoki Hayashi1 ⚽
S. Mizoguchi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Machida ZelviaTakahiro Akimoto3 🟨
Daihachi Okamura1 🟨
Gen Shoji1 🟨
Hiroyuki Mae1 🟨
Hokuto Shimoda1 🟨
Hotaka Nakamura1 🟨
Tokyo VerdyYuya Fukuda2 🟨
Kaito Suzuki2 🟨
Itsuki Someno2 🟨
Kazunari Ichimi2 🟨
Kim Hyun-Woo1 🟨
Kanya Fujimoto1 🟨