Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki — J1 League
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Mito Hollyhock and V-varen Nagasaki meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 29 November 2026. Mito Hollyhock have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. V-varen Nagasaki have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Mito Hollyhock and 1.12 for V-varen Nagasaki. The models give Mito Hollyhock a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an V-varen Nagasaki win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Mito Hollyhock—
V-varen Nagasaki17º
Position
14º
0.82
PPG
1.09
18%
Win %
27%
1.09
Goals / game
1.36
1.45
Conceded / game
1.64
58%
BTTS %
55%
0%
Clean sheet %
18%
42%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.0
Avg corners
3.9
9.9
Avg shots
11.8
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.5
9.8
Avg fouls
11.2
43.4%
Avg possession
43.9%
Home vs Away
Mito Hollyhock
Home (6)
—
V-varen Nagasaki
Away (5)
0.83
PPG
0.20
17%
Win %
0%
1.17
Goals / game
0.80
1.33
Conceded / game
2.20
67%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.0
Avg corners
3.9
9.9
Avg shots
11.8
3.2
Avg shots on target
3.7
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.5
43.4%
Avg possession
43.9%
Goals Scored
| Mito Hollyhock | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 42% | 67% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 17% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Mito Hollyhock | Home | Away | V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mito Hollyhock | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mito Hollyhock | V-varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Mito Hollyhock (H)L
Urawa0–1
Urawa0–1W
FC Tokyo1–0
FC Tokyo1–0L
Shimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
Kawasaki Frontale0–1
Kawasaki Frontale0–1W
Kashima4–2
Kashima4–2D
Machida Zelvia1–1
Machida Zelvia1–1V-varen Nagasaki (A)LUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1LKashima0–2
Kashima0–2D
JEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1LShimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2L
Gainare Tottori0–2
Gainare Tottori0–2W
Kochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
9.0
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Mito Hollyhock | V-varen Nagasaki | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 55% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 45% | 73% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 27% | 64% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 18% | 64% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 27% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 9% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 9% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Mito Hollyhock | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 55% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 55% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 45% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
6
Mito Hollyhock
23%
7
Draws
27%
13
V-varen Nagasaki
50%
62%
Over 1.5
16/26
42%
Over 2.5
11/26
23%
Over 3.5
6/26
42%
BTTS
11/26
06/06/26V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
0–1V-varen Nagasaki30/05/26Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Mito Hollyhock23/11/25Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2–1Mito Hollyhock31/05/25V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
3–0V-varen Nagasaki03/08/24Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
1–2Mito Hollyhock02/06/24V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
2–3V-varen Nagasaki12/08/23V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
3–3V-varen Nagasaki03/05/23Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
4–0Mito Hollyhock14/09/22V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
0–1V-varen Nagasaki27/04/22Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
1–0Mito Hollyhock30/10/21Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
2–1Mito Hollyhock02/05/21V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1–0V-varen Nagasaki01/11/20Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
4–1Mito Hollyhock23/08/20V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
2–3V-varen Nagasaki13/07/19V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
2–1V-varen Nagasaki09/03/19Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0–1Mito Hollyhock05/11/17V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
0–2V-varen Nagasaki07/05/17Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
0–0Mito Hollyhock07/09/16Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Mito Hollyhock20/07/16V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
0–2V-varen Nagasaki| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Mito Hollyhock- ●Mito Hollyhock have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock have lost their last 6 matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Mito Hollyhock have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
V-varen Nagasaki- ●V-varen Nagasaki have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of V-varen Nagasaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of V-varen Nagasaki's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Mito HollyhockLAFC Tokyo0–6
FC Tokyo0–6LAFagiano Okayama0–2
Fagiano Okayama0–2LHUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1LHShimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2LAYokohama F. Marinos0–2
Yokohama F. Marinos0–2LHKawasaki Frontale0–1
Kawasaki Frontale0–1–HSanfrecce Hiroshima31/10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima31/10–AJEF United Chiba08/11
JEF United Chiba08/11–AVissel Kobe20/11
Vissel Kobe20/11V-varen NagasakiLAUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0LAKashima0–2
Kashima0–2DAJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WHNagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0–HTokyo Verdy01/11
Tokyo Verdy01/11–AAvispa Fukuoka07/11
Avispa Fukuoka07/11–AMachida Zelvia21/11
Machida Zelvia21/11Top Scorers
Mito HollyhockArata Watanabe4 ⚽
C. Kato1 ⚽
Chihiro Kato1 ⚽
K. Uchino1 ⚽
T. Mase1 ⚽
Y. Kimoto1 ⚽
V-varen NagasakiMatheus Jesus4 ⚽
Kenshin Yasuda4 ⚽
Tenmu Matsumoto2 ⚽
Thiago2 ⚽
Thiago Santana1 ⚽
Hijiri Onaga1 ⚽
Cards Given
Mito HollyhockTaishi Semba2 🟨
Takumi Mase2 🟨
Yasuki Kimoto2 🟨
Kotaro Uchino2 🟨
T. Semba1 🟨
Arata Watanabe1 🟨
V-varen NagasakiThiago Santana2 🟨
Jonathan Junior2 🟨
Hotaru Yamaguchi1 🟨
Kanta Doi1 🟨
Kenshin Yasuda1 🟨
Hijiri Onaga1 🟨