Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J1 League
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Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 29 November 2026. Nagoya Grampus have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Avispa Fukuoka have won 17% of their 12 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Nagoya Grampus and 1.16 for Avispa Fukuoka. The models give Nagoya Grampus a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Avispa Fukuoka win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Nagoya Grampus—
Avispa Fukuoka12º
Position
19º
1.18
PPG
0.58
36%
Win %
17%
1.18
Goals / game
1.08
1.55
Conceded / game
1.75
67%
BTTS %
58%
0%
Clean sheet %
8%
58%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.7
Avg corners
4.4
13.3
Avg shots
12.4
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.1
Avg yellow cards
2.0
10.5
Avg fouls
13.5
57.5%
Avg possession
42.4%
Home vs Away
Nagoya Grampus
Home (5)
—
Avispa Fukuoka
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
0.00
40%
Win %
0%
1.40
Goals / game
0.80
1.40
Conceded / game
2.40
83%
BTTS %
60%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
80%
4.7
Avg corners
4.4
13.3
Avg shots
12.4
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.1
Avg yellow cards
2.0
57.5%
Avg possession
42.4%
Goals Scored
| Nagoya Grampus | Home | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 83% | 50% | 67% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 43% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Nagoya Grampus | Home | Away | Avispa Fukuoka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 14% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS | 67% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 8% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 83% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Nagoya Grampus (H)D
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1D
Cerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1D
Fagiano Okayama3–3
Fagiano Okayama3–3L
Machida Zelvia1–3
Machida Zelvia1–3WFagiano Okayama2–1
Fagiano Okayama2–1L
Gainare Tottori1–3
Gainare Tottori1–3Avispa Fukuoka (A)L
Tokyo Verdy1–3
Tokyo Verdy1–3LMachida Zelvia0–3
Machida Zelvia0–3L
Sagan Tosu1–2
Sagan Tosu1–2W
Osaka2–1
Osaka2–1L
Shimizu S-pulse0–1
Shimizu S-pulse0–1L
Kyoto Sanga1–2
Kyoto Sanga1–2Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.2
114 games
7.8
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 58% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 45% | 33% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 36% | 33% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 17% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 8% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 8% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 8% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 8% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 36% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 27% | 17% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
9
Nagoya Grampus
47%
5
Draws
26%
5
Avispa Fukuoka
26%
47%
Over 1.5
9/19
42%
Over 2.5
8/19
32%
Over 3.5
6/19
42%
BTTS
8/19
19/04/26Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
2–2Avispa Fukuoka07/03/26Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
1–5Nagoya Grampus06/12/25Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
1–0Avispa Fukuoka17/05/25Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1Nagoya Grampus04/10/24Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0Nagoya Grampus07/04/24Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
0–0Avispa Fukuoka15/10/23Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
0–1Avispa Fukuoka11/10/23Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0Nagoya Grampus16/09/23Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0Nagoya Grampus11/06/23Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
2–1Avispa Fukuoka03/09/22Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2–3Nagoya Grampus25/05/22Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
1–0Avispa Fukuoka22/08/21Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
1–0Avispa Fukuoka28/02/21Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
1–2Nagoya Grampus03/12/17Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
0–0Avispa Fukuoka20/08/17Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
3–1Avispa Fukuoka17/06/17Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
3–1Nagoya Grampus01/10/16Avispa Fukuoka
Nagoya Grampus
5–0Avispa Fukuoka02/06/16Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
0–0Nagoya Grampus| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 26 |
| 3 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 |  FC Tokyo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Urawa | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Nagoya Grampus | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Cerezo Osaka | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 |  JEF United Chiba | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Nagoya Grampus- ●Nagoya Grampus have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Nagoya Grampus have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Avispa Fukuoka- ●Avispa Fukuoka have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Avispa Fukuoka have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Avispa Fukuoka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Avispa Fukuoka's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Nagoya GrampusDHYokohama F. Marinos1–1
Yokohama F. Marinos1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1WAKashiwa Reysol3–1
Kashiwa Reysol3–1WAKawasaki Frontale2–1
Kawasaki Frontale2–1LAFC Tokyo0–1
FC Tokyo0–1LAV-varen Nagasaki0–2
V-varen Nagasaki0–2–AVissel Kobe31/10
Vissel Kobe31/10–HKyoto Sanga07/11
Kyoto Sanga07/11–ATokyo Verdy21/11
Tokyo Verdy21/11Avispa FukuokaLATokyo Verdy1–3
Tokyo Verdy1–3LHGamba Osaka1–2
Gamba Osaka1–2LAMachida Zelvia0–3
Machida Zelvia0–3WHFagiano Okayama2–1
Fagiano Okayama2–1LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1LAShimizu S-pulse0–1
Shimizu S-pulse0–1–AJEF United Chiba01/11
JEF United Chiba01/11–HV-varen Nagasaki07/11
V-varen Nagasaki07/11–AKawasaki Frontale21/11
Kawasaki Frontale21/11Top Scorers
Nagoya GrampusYuya Yamagishi3 ⚽
K. Nakayama1 ⚽
Katsuhiro Nakayama1 ⚽
M. Ono1 ⚽
S. Inagaki1 ⚽
Haruya Fujii1 ⚽
Avispa FukuokaYu Hashimoto2 ⚽
Shu Morooka2 ⚽
Werik Popo2 ⚽
Yota Maejima1 ⚽
K. Fujimoto1 ⚽
Y. Tsujioka1 ⚽
Cards Given
Nagoya GrampusYota Sato2 🟨
Katsuhiro Nakayama1 🟨
Kensuke Nagai1 🟨
Ryuji Izumi1 🟨
S. Inagaki1 🟨
Sho Inagaki1 🟨
Avispa FukuokaTomoya Miki3 🟨
Yuma Tsujioka3 🟨
Shu Morooka2 🟨
Daiki Miya2 🟨
K. Maeda2 🟨
Kokoro Maeda2 🟨