V-varen Nagasaki vs Shimizu S-pulse — J1 League
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V-varen Nagasaki and Shimizu S-pulse meet in the J1 League 2027 season on 5 December 2026. V-varen Nagasaki have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Shimizu S-pulse have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.05 for Shimizu S-pulse. The models give V-varen Nagasaki a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Shimizu S-pulse win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
V-varen Nagasaki—
Shimizu S-pulse15º
Position
13º
0.92
PPG
1.08
23%
Win %
31%
1.23
Goals / game
0.77
1.62
Conceded / game
1.69
54%
BTTS %
38%
15%
Clean sheet %
15%
54%
Over 2.5 %
46%
4.0
Avg corners
4.8
11.9
Avg shots
10.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.5
10.9
Avg fouls
11.3
43.9%
Avg possession
42.0%
Home vs Away
V-varen Nagasaki
Home (7)
—
Shimizu S-pulse
Away (6)
1.57
PPG
1.00
43%
Win %
33%
1.71
Goals / game
0.67
1.29
Conceded / game
1.83
57%
BTTS %
33%
29%
Clean sheet %
17%
71%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.0
Avg corners
4.8
11.9
Avg shots
10.1
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.5
43.9%
Avg possession
42.0%
Goals Scored
| V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 86% | 50% | 54% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 57% | 17% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 14% | 50% | 46% | 43% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| V-varen Nagasaki | Home | Away | Shimizu S-pulse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 71% | 100% | 85% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 43% | 50% | 38% | 29% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 14% | 33% | 23% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 29% | 0% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| V-varen Nagasaki | Shimizu S-pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 54% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| V-varen Nagasaki | Shimizu S-pulse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 15% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 54% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
V-varen Nagasaki (H)L
Tokyo Verdy1–2
Tokyo Verdy1–2W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0D
Cerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1W
Nagoya Grampus2–0
Nagoya Grampus2–0D
Gamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2L
FC Tokyo0–3
FC Tokyo0–3Shimizu S-pulse (A)L
Kyoto Sanga0–2
Kyoto Sanga0–2LSanfrecce Hiroshima0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–4L
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2
Yokohama F. Marinos1–2W
Mito Hollyhock2–1
Mito Hollyhock2–1W
Kanazawa2–0
Kanazawa2–0L
Kawasaki Frontale1–3
Kawasaki Frontale1–3Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.4
129 games
10.9
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | V-varen Nagasaki | Shimizu S-pulse | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 92% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 85% | 64% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 77% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 62% | 62% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 62% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 38% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 23% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 8% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | V-varen Nagasaki | Shimizu S-pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.2 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 77% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 46% | 77% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
3
V-varen Nagasaki
27%
3
Draws
27%
5
Shimizu S-pulse
45%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
64%
Over 2.5
7/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
64%
BTTS
7/11
07/10/26V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2–1V-varen Nagasaki29/04/26V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
1–2V-varen Nagasaki05/04/26Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
0–3Shimizu S-pulse07/09/24V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
1–1V-varen Nagasaki10/03/24Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
4–1Shimizu S-pulse01/07/23V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
3–2V-varen Nagasaki04/03/23Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
1–1Shimizu S-pulse01/12/18Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
4–4Shimizu S-pulse11/04/18V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0–1V-varen Nagasaki11/08/16V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2–0V-varen Nagasaki06/03/16Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
0–3Shimizu S-pulse| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 29 |
| 3 |  Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 28 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 28 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 26 |
| 6 |  Kashima | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | +6 | 21 |
| 9 |  Urawa | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 |  JEF United Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -11 | 7 |
Team Insights
V-varen Nagasaki- ●V-varen Nagasaki have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●V-varen Nagasaki have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of V-varen Nagasaki's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of V-varen Nagasaki's points have been earned at home.
Shimizu S-pulse- ●Shimizu S-pulse have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Shimizu S-pulse have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
V-varen NagasakiLHTokyo Verdy1–2
Tokyo Verdy1–2LAUrawa0–1
Urawa0–1WHSanfrecce Hiroshima4–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–0LAKashima0–2
Kashima0–2DAJEF United Chiba1–1
JEF United Chiba1–1DHCerezo Osaka1–1
Cerezo Osaka1–1–AAvispa Fukuoka07/11
Avispa Fukuoka07/11–AMachida Zelvia21/11
Machida Zelvia21/11–HKawasaki Frontale25/11
Kawasaki Frontale25/11Shimizu S-pulseLAKyoto Sanga0–2
Kyoto Sanga0–2LASanfrecce Hiroshima0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–4LHMachida Zelvia0–5
Machida Zelvia0–5DHGamba Osaka2–2
Gamba Osaka2–2WAMito Hollyhock2–1
Mito Hollyhock2–1WHJEF United Chiba2–1
JEF United Chiba2–1–HTokyo Verdy07/11
Tokyo Verdy07/11–AKashima20/11
Kashima20/11–AFagiano Okayama25/11
Fagiano Okayama25/11Top Scorers
V-varen NagasakiMatheus Jesus4 ⚽
Kenshin Yasuda4 ⚽
Thiago Santana2 ⚽
Tenmu Matsumoto2 ⚽
Thiago2 ⚽
Hijiri Onaga1 ⚽
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-hun2 ⚽
Kai Matsuzaki2 ⚽
Kosuke Kinoshita1 ⚽
Tomoya Fujii1 ⚽
Yudai Shimamoto1 ⚽
Hidehiro Sugai1 ⚽
Cards Given
V-varen NagasakiThiago Santana2 🟨
Jonathan Junior2 🟨
Shunya Yoneda2 🟨
Hijiri Onaga1 🟨
Kanta Doi1 🟨
Hotaru Yamaguchi1 🟨
Shimizu S-pulseOh Se-Hun4 🟨
Kai Matsuzaki2 🟨
Kenta Inoue2 🟨
Hidehiro Sugai2 🟨
Mateus Brunetti Valor2 🟨
Takayuki Yoshida2 🟨