BFA vs Minija — 1 Lyga
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BFA and Minija meet in the 1 Lyga 2026 season on 24 October 2026. BFA have recorded 16 wins from 32 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Minija have won 79% of their 33 matches, with 2.85 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for BFA and 1.80 for Minija. The models give BFA a 25% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Minija win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
BFA—
Minija8º
Position
1º
1.59
PPG
2.58
48%
Win %
85%
1.48
Goals / game
2.69
1.48
Conceded / game
0.62
44%
BTTS %
48%
28%
Clean sheet %
42%
63%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
BFA
Home (13)
—
Minija
Away (13)
1.92
PPG
2.38
62%
Win %
77%
1.62
Goals / game
2.54
1.15
Conceded / game
0.54
44%
BTTS %
38%
38%
Clean sheet %
50%
63%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| BFA | Home | Away | Minija | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 66% | 75% | 56% | 88% | 94% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 44% | 38% | 79% | 94% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 25% | 31% | 55% | 53% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 25% | 44% | 12% | 6% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| BFA | Home | Away | Minija | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 63% | 81% | 58% | 65% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 31% | 50% | 15% | 24% | 6% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 13% | 31% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 38% | 19% | 42% | 35% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| BFA | Minija | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 24% |
| BTTS | 44% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 36% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| BFA | Minija | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 12% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 21% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 64% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
BFA (H)L
Žalgiris II1–2
Žalgiris II1–2W
Babrungas2–1
Babrungas2–1W
Neptūną Klaipėda2–0
Neptūną Klaipėda2–0W
Transinvest 24–2
Transinvest 24–2W
Be1 NFA3–1
Be1 NFA3–1W
Ekranas3–0
Ekranas3–0Minija (A)W
Dainava3–0
Dainava3–0W
FA Šiauliai II2–1
FA Šiauliai II2–1WEkranas5–0
Ekranas5–0W
Hegelmann II4–0
Hegelmann II4–0LŽalgiris II0–1
Žalgiris II0–1W
Garliava1–0
Garliava1–0Head to Head · 15 matches
5
BFA
33%
4
Draws
27%
6
Minija
40%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
40%
Over 2.5
6/15
27%
Over 3.5
4/15
47%
BTTS
7/15
13/06/26BFA
Minija
3–0BFA30/08/25BFA
Minija
1–1BFA03/05/25Minija
BFA
1–0Minija17/08/24Minija
BFA
1–1Minija23/03/24BFA
Minija
0–1BFA28/10/23Minija
BFA
2–0Minija10/06/23BFA
Minija
1–1BFA30/09/22Minija
BFA
2–3Minija10/08/22BFA
Minija
3–1BFA03/08/21BFA
Minija
3–0BFA03/04/21Minija
BFA
0–1Minija19/09/20BFA
Minija
2–2BFA29/08/20Minija
BFA
1–0Minija27/09/19BFA
Minija
2–0BFA09/06/19Minija
BFA
5–4Minija| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | +54 | 67 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | +35 | 67 |
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 | Žalgiris II | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +6 | 46 |
| 5 |  Tauras | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 44 |
| 6 | Dainava | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | BFA | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 |  Atmosfera | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | +5 | 34 |
| 10 |  Jonava | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Garliava | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -1 | 29 |
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | -25 | 26 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -27 | 25 |
| 14 |  Kauno Žalgiris II | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | FA Šiauliai II | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -30 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 27 | 4 | 3 | 20 | -35 | 15 |
Team Insights
BFA- ●BFA have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●BFA failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●BFA have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●BFA failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●BFA have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
Minija- ●Minija have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Minija have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Minija have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Minija have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Minija have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Minija have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Minija have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Minija have scored in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Minija have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Minija have won 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Minija have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
BFALAJonava0–3
Jonava0–3LHŽalgiris II1–2
Žalgiris II1–2DAAtmosfera1–1
Atmosfera1–1WAGarliava3–2
Garliava3–2WHBabrungas2–1
Babrungas2–1DATauras2–2
Tauras2–2–HMinija24/10
Minija24/10–AHegelmann II01/11
Hegelmann II01/11–HKauno Žalgiris II08/11
Kauno Žalgiris II08/11MinijaLHBabrungas2–3
Babrungas2–3WHKauno Žalgiris II5–0
Kauno Žalgiris II5–0WHNeptūną Klaipėda2–1
Neptūną Klaipėda2–1WADainava3–0
Dainava3–0WHTransinvest 23–0
Transinvest 23–0WAFA Šiauliai II2–1
FA Šiauliai II2–1–ABFA24/10
BFA24/10–HAtmosfera31/10
Atmosfera31/10–ATauras04/11
Tauras04/11Top Scorers
BFAD. Misiunas13 ⚽
Z. Jurevicius9 ⚽
R. Kudzin4 ⚽
A. Osipovic4 ⚽
A. Sidlauskas2 ⚽
P. Kovtun2 ⚽
MinijaJ. Kasparavicius14 ⚽
D. Nwegbo13 ⚽
S. Amirzian9 ⚽
D. Pipiras8 ⚽
K. Aderounmu7 ⚽
M. Traore6 ⚽
Cards Given
BFAA. Sidlauskas2 🟨
R. Vilkuotis2 🟨
A. Osipovic1 🟨
I. Paulikas1 🟨
K. Ostapenko1 🟨
S. Brykov1 🟨
MinijaN. Komissarov3 🟨
D. Nwegbo2 🟨
B. Diawara2 🟨
K. Aderounmu2 🟨
M. Sidibe2 🟨
E. Kirjanov1 🟨