Babrungas vs Hegelmann II — 1 Lyga
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Babrungas and Hegelmann II meet in the 1 Lyga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Babrungas have recorded 23 wins from 30 matches this season (77% win rate), averaging 1.97 goals scored and 0.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Hegelmann II have won 30% of their 27 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.13 for Babrungas and 0.78 for Hegelmann II. The models give Babrungas a 73% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Hegelmann II win at 8%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Babrungas—
Hegelmann II2º
Position
12º
2.48
PPG
0.96
78%
Win %
30%
1.78
Goals / game
1.30
0.48
Conceded / game
2.22
30%
BTTS %
56%
67%
Clean sheet %
11%
40%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Babrungas
Home (13)
—
Hegelmann II
Away (13)
2.69
PPG
0.77
85%
Win %
23%
1.92
Goals / game
1.00
0.31
Conceded / game
2.46
23%
BTTS %
62%
77%
Clean sheet %
15%
38%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Babrungas | Home | Away | Hegelmann II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 92% | 94% | 67% | 57% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 54% | 41% | 33% | 50% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 38% | 24% | 19% | 29% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 8% | 6% | 33% | 43% | 23% |
Goals Conceded
| Babrungas | Home | Away | Hegelmann II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 33% | 23% | 41% | 89% | 93% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 8% | 18% | 63% | 57% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 36% | 54% |
| Clean Sheets | 67% | 77% | 59% | 11% | 7% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Babrungas | Hegelmann II | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 30% |
| BTTS | 30% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Babrungas | Hegelmann II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 74% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 7% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 17% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Babrungas (H)W
Jonava2–0
Jonava2–0W
Atmosfera3–2
Atmosfera3–2D
Tauras1–1
Tauras1–1W
Ekranas2–0
Ekranas2–0D
Kauno Žalgiris II0–0
Kauno Žalgiris II0–0W
Be1 NFA1–0
Be1 NFA1–0Hegelmann II (A)W
Neptūną Klaipėda1–0
Neptūną Klaipėda1–0L
Transinvest 21–4
Transinvest 21–4LKauno Žalgiris II0–3
Kauno Žalgiris II0–3LBe1 NFA1–2
Be1 NFA1–2LAtmosfera1–4
Atmosfera1–4L
Žalgiris II1–3
Žalgiris II1–3Head to Head · 5 matches
4
Babrungas
80%
0
Draws
0%
1
Hegelmann II
20%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
60%
Over 3.5
3/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
12/06/26Babrungas
Hegelmann II
0–1Babrungas25/10/25Hegelmann II
Babrungas
4–1Hegelmann II17/06/25Babrungas
Hegelmann II
4–2Babrungas26/10/24Hegelmann II
Babrungas
2–1Hegelmann II08/06/24Babrungas
Hegelmann II
0–4Babrungas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minija | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | +53 | 67 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | +35 | 67 |
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | +21 | 57 |
| 4 | Žalgiris II | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +8 | 49 |
| 5 |  BFA | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +1 | 46 |
| 6 |  Dainava | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Tauras | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | +11 | 44 |
| 8 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 37 |
| 10 | Jonava | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 30 |
| 11 |  Garliava | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | -25 | 26 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -27 | 25 |
| 14 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 |  FA Šiauliai II | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -30 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | -33 | 18 |
Team Insights
Babrungas- ●Babrungas have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Babrungas have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Babrungas have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Babrungas have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Babrungas have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Babrungas have scored in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Babrungas have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Babrungas have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Babrungas have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Babrungas have won 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Babrungas have scored in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●69% of Babrungas's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Babrungas have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Hegelmann II- ●Hegelmann II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Hegelmann II failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Hegelmann II have lost 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Hegelmann II failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Hegelmann II have lost 9 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Hegelmann II have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●63% of Hegelmann II's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
BabrungasWAMinija3–2
Minija3–2WHJonava2–0
Jonava2–0WAŽalgiris II1–0
Žalgiris II1–0WHAtmosfera3–2
Atmosfera3–2LABFA1–2
BFA1–2WAGarliava1–0
Garliava1–0–HHegelmann II25/10
Hegelmann II25/10–ABe1 NFA30/10
Be1 NFA30/10–HFA Šiauliai II07/11
FA Šiauliai II07/11Hegelmann IIDHTauras4–4
Tauras4–4WANeptūną Klaipėda1–0
Neptūną Klaipėda1–0LHDainava0–1
Dainava0–1LATransinvest 21–4
Transinvest 21–4WHFA Šiauliai II5–1
FA Šiauliai II5–1LAKauno Žalgiris II0–3
Kauno Žalgiris II0–3–ABabrungas25/10
Babrungas25/10–HBFA01/11
BFA01/11–AJonava07/11
Jonava07/11Top Scorers
BabrungasP. Borja9 ⚽
B. Angulo7 ⚽
L. Cepkauskas5 ⚽
E. Baguzas4 ⚽
S. Tabata4 ⚽
E. Agyemang3 ⚽
Hegelmann IID. Sinkevicius11 ⚽
L. Jonaitis9 ⚽
D. Pasilys3 ⚽
E. Jonavicius3 ⚽
R. Sinkevicius2 ⚽
E. Kausinis2 ⚽
Cards Given
BabrungasP. Borja2 🟨
Hegelmann IIJ. Zukovskis2 🟨
N. Srederis1 🟨