Aberdeen vs Falkirk — Premiership
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Pittodrie Stadium·Aberdeen·Scotland·22,199
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Aberdeen and Falkirk meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Aberdeen have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.65 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Falkirk have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Aberdeen and 1.14 for Falkirk. The models give Aberdeen a 39% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Falkirk win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Aberdeen—
Falkirk7º
Position
11º
1.14
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
14%
1.00
Goals / game
0.86
1.14
Conceded / game
1.29
35%
BTTS %
54%
41%
Clean sheet %
31%
47%
Over 2.5 %
46%
6.3
Avg corners
4.6
10.8
Avg shots
11.1
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.3
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
12.6
Avg fouls
15.0
50.3%
Avg possession
48.8%
Home vs Away
Aberdeen
Home (3)
—
Falkirk
Away (4)
1.33
PPG
0.75
33%
Win %
0%
0.67
Goals / game
0.75
0.67
Conceded / game
1.00
43%
BTTS %
71%
43%
Clean sheet %
29%
71%
Over 2.5 %
43%
6.3
Avg corners
4.6
10.8
Avg shots
11.1
3.0
Avg shots on target
3.3
2.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
50.3%
Avg possession
48.8%
Goals Scored
| Aberdeen | Home | Away | Falkirk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 71% | 70% | 77% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 71% | 40% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 43% | 20% | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 29% | 30% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Aberdeen | Home | Away | Falkirk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 59% | 57% | 60% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 14% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 41% | 43% | 40% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aberdeen | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 8% |
| BTTS | 35% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aberdeen | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Aberdeen (H)D
Kilmarnock0–0
Kilmarnock0–0L
Rangers0–1
Rangers0–1W
Dundee3–0
Dundee3–0W
Heart Of Midlothian2–1
Heart Of Midlothian2–1W
Kelty Hearts3–0
Kelty Hearts3–0W
Queen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1Falkirk (A)D
ST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1D
Dundee Utd1–1
Dundee Utd1–1L
Celtic1–2
Celtic1–2D
Motherwell0–0
Motherwell0–0D
Alloa Athletic1–1
Alloa Athletic1–1W
Edinburgh City5–0
Edinburgh City5–0Number of Corners
12.7
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
11.7
41 games
10.3
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Aberdeen | Falkirk | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 88% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 63% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 63% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 11 | 67% | 25% | 49% |
| Over 12 | 56% | 25% | 34% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 25% | 27% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Aberdeen | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 89% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 89% | 50% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Aberdeen
0%
1
Draws
33%
2
Falkirk
67%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
14/03/26Falkirk
Aberdeen
1–1Falkirk03/01/26Aberdeen
Falkirk
1–0Aberdeen31/08/25Falkirk
Aberdeen
0–1Falkirk| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
Team Insights
Aberdeen- ●Aberdeen have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●75% of Aberdeen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Aberdeen have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Falkirk- ●Falkirk have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Falkirk have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AberdeenDAHibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1WAMotherwell4–0
Motherwell4–0DHKilmarnock0–0
Kilmarnock0–0LACeltic0–3
Celtic0–3LHRangers0–1
Rangers0–1LADundee0–2
Dundee0–2–HST Johnstone11/10
ST Johnstone11/10–HST Mirren17/10
ST Mirren17/10–ADundee Utd24/10
Dundee Utd24/10FalkirkDAST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1WHHeart Of Midlothian2–1
Heart Of Midlothian2–1DADundee Utd1–1
Dundee Utd1–1LHRangers1–2
Rangers1–2LACeltic1–2
Celtic1–2DAMotherwell0–0
Motherwell0–0–HDundee10/10
Dundee10/10–AHibernian17/10
Hibernian17/10–HKilmarnock24/10
Kilmarnock24/10Top Scorers
AberdeenK. Nisbet10 ⚽
T. Olusanya2 ⚽
B. Lyons2 ⚽
Kevin Nisbet2 ⚽
D. Happe1 ⚽
Ayoub Mouloua1 ⚽
FalkirkR. MacIver3 ⚽
B. Parkinson3 ⚽
Ben krauhaus1 ⚽
Ethan Ross1 ⚽
Jacob Murrell1 ⚽
C. Allan1 ⚽
Cards Given
AberdeenD. Happe4 🟨
Lewis Mayo3 🟨
L. Mayo2 🟨
A. Aremu2 🟨
Ayoub Mouloua2 🟨
T. Olusanya2 🟨
FalkirkBrad Spencer3 🟨
Ben Parkinson1 🟨
B. Krauhaus1 🟨
C. McLeod1 🟨
Calvin Fodrey1 🟨
A. Doherty1 🟨