Dundee vs Kilmarnock — Premiership
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Dundee and Kilmarnock meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Dundee have recorded 7 wins from 17 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.59 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Kilmarnock have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Dundee and 1.41 for Kilmarnock. The models give Dundee a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kilmarnock win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Dundee—
Kilmarnock4º
Position
12º
1.43
PPG
0.71
43%
Win %
14%
1.29
Goals / game
0.86
1.00
Conceded / game
2.14
53%
BTTS %
40%
24%
Clean sheet %
47%
59%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.4
Avg corners
5.2
12.5
Avg shots
10.5
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
9.2
Avg fouls
11.5
45.0%
Avg possession
43.6%
Home vs Away
Dundee
Home (4)
—
Kilmarnock
Away (3)
1.75
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
1.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
29%
25%
Clean sheet %
71%
75%
Over 2.5 %
43%
4.4
Avg corners
5.2
12.5
Avg shots
10.5
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
45.0%
Avg possession
43.6%
Goals Scored
| Dundee | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 88% | 67% | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 50% | 33% | 27% | 13% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 25% | 11% | 27% | 13% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 13% | 33% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Dundee | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 75% | 78% | 53% | 75% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 13% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 25% | 22% | 47% | 25% | 71% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dundee | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 27% |
| BTTS | 53% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dundee | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Dundee (H)W
Motherwell2–1
Motherwell2–1D
ST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1L
Hibernian1–2
Hibernian1–2W
Aberdeen2–0
Aberdeen2–0W
Clyde4–0
Clyde4–0L
Everton0–4
Everton0–4Kilmarnock (A)WHibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0LST Johnstone3–4
ST Johnstone3–4D
Peterhead0–0
Peterhead0–0W
Elgin City1–0
Elgin City1–0W
Linfield3–2
Linfield3–2Number of Corners
11.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
11.7
41 games
11.2
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Dundee | Kilmarnock | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 90% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 90% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 40% | 61% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 40% | 49% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 30% | 34% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 20% | 27% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dundee | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.1 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 89% | 70% |
Head to Head · 37 matches
10
Dundee
27%
17
Draws
46%
10
Kilmarnock
27%
81%
Over 1.5
30/37
57%
Over 2.5
21/37
38%
Over 3.5
14/37
73%
BTTS
27/37
12/05/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–1Dundee11/04/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–2Dundee17/01/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–2Dundee30/12/25Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–1Kilmarnock23/08/25Dundee
Kilmarnock
0–0Dundee10/05/25Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–2Dundee30/11/24Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–1Dundee03/11/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
3–2Kilmarnock05/10/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–3Kilmarnock18/05/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
1–1Kilmarnock02/03/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock20/01/24Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–0Dundee30/12/23Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–2Dundee23/09/23Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock24/05/21Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–2Dundee20/05/21Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–1Kilmarnock06/02/19Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock15/12/18Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–1Dundee06/10/18Kilmarnock
Dundee
1–2Kilmarnock13/02/18Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–2Dundee| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
Team Insights
Dundee- ●Dundee have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Dundee's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Dundee have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Kilmarnock- ●Kilmarnock have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●73% of Kilmarnock's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
DundeeWHMotherwell2–1
Motherwell2–1LAHeart Of Midlothian1–2
Heart Of Midlothian1–2DHST Johnstone1–1
ST Johnstone1–1LHHibernian1–2
Hibernian1–2WADundee Utd2–0
Dundee Utd2–0WHAberdeen2–0
Aberdeen2–0–AFalkirk10/10
Falkirk10/10–HRangers17/10
Rangers17/10–AST Mirren24/10
ST Mirren24/10KilmarnockDHHeart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1WAHibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0LHST Mirren0–1
ST Mirren0–1LHDundee Utd0–4
Dundee Utd0–4LHCeltic1–5
Celtic1–5–ARangers10/10
Rangers10/10–HMotherwell17/10
Motherwell17/10–AFalkirk24/10
Falkirk24/10Top Scorers
DundeeJ. Westley5 ⚽
A. Hay4 ⚽
S. Murray3 ⚽
C. Reilly3 ⚽
J. Bevan3 ⚽
Bradley·Fink2 ⚽
KilmarnockJ. Hugill6 ⚽
G. Kiltie4 ⚽
T. John-Jules3 ⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen2 ⚽
C. Coughlin2 ⚽
A. Tshibola1 ⚽
Cards Given
DundeeD. Wright1 🟨
E. Hamilton1 🟨
Ethan Hamilton1 🟨
I. Odutayo1 🟨
Imari Samuels1 🟨
A. Hay1 🟨
KilmarnockJ. Brandon3 🟨
B. Rice2 🟨
A. Tshibola2 🟨
C. McCarthy2 🟨
Djenairo Daniels2 🟨
J. Hugill2 🟨