Heart Of Midlothian vs Rangers — Premiership
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Tynecastle Park·Edinburgh·Scotland·20,099
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Heart Of Midlothian and Rangers meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Heart Of Midlothian have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Rangers have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.18 for Rangers. The models give Heart Of Midlothian a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Rangers win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Heart Of Midlothian—
Rangers2º
Position
3º
1.86
PPG
2.17
57%
Win %
67%
2.00
Goals / game
1.17
1.14
Conceded / game
0.67
74%
BTTS %
47%
16%
Clean sheet %
47%
74%
Over 2.5 %
40%
7.1
Avg corners
6.5
15.9
Avg shots
18.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.5
Avg fouls
14.2
49.8%
Avg possession
54.0%
Home vs Away
Heart Of Midlothian
Home (3)
—
Rangers
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
2.33
100%
Win %
67%
2.67
Goals / game
1.33
0.67
Conceded / game
0.67
75%
BTTS %
50%
13%
Clean sheet %
33%
75%
Over 2.5 %
33%
7.1
Avg corners
6.5
15.9
Avg shots
18.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
5.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
49.8%
Avg possession
54.0%
Goals Scored
| Heart Of | Home | Away | Rangers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 88% | 91% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 75% | 27% | 27% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 25% | 18% | 13% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Heart Of | Home | Away | Rangers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 88% | 82% | 53% | 44% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 38% | 45% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 13% | 18% | 47% | 56% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Heart Of | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 7% |
| BTTS | 74% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Heart Of | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 21% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Heart Of (H)W
Dundee2–1
Dundee2–1W
ST Johnstone2–1
ST Johnstone2–1D
Rapid Vienna2–2
Rapid Vienna2–2W
Inverness CT6–2
Inverness CT6–2D
Benfica1–1
Benfica1–1W
Dundee Utd4–0
Dundee Utd4–0Rangers (A)W
Celtic1–0
Celtic1–0W
Falkirk2–1
Falkirk2–1W
Aberdeen1–0
Aberdeen1–0L
FK Jablonec0–1
FK Jablonec0–1L
Jagiellonia1–2
Jagiellonia1–2DDundee Utd1–1
Dundee Utd1–1Number of Corners
11.6
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
11.7
41 games
10.1
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Heart Of | Rangers | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 80% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 58% | 60% | 68% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 50% | 61% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 40% | 49% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 10% | 34% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 10% | 27% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Heart Of | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.1 | 6.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 90% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 50% |
Head to Head · 51 matches
11
Heart Of
22%
8
Draws
16%
32
Rangers
63%
84%
Over 1.5
43/51
61%
Over 2.5
31/51
31%
Over 3.5
16/51
49%
BTTS
25/51
04/05/26Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
2–1Rangers15/02/26Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
4–2Heart Of Midlothian21/12/25Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
2–1Rangers13/09/25Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
0–2Heart Of Midlothian16/02/25Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1–3Rangers10/11/24Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
1–0Heart Of Midlothian03/08/24Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
0–0Rangers18/05/24Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
3–3Rangers21/04/24Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2–0Heart Of Midlothian24/02/24Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
5–0Heart Of Midlothian06/12/23Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
0–1Rangers05/11/23Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1–3Rangers29/10/23Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2–1Heart Of Midlothian24/05/23Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2–2Heart Of Midlothian01/02/23Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
0–3Rangers09/11/22Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
1–0Heart Of Midlothian01/10/22Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
0–4Rangers21/05/22Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
2–0Heart Of Midlothian14/05/22Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
1–3Rangers06/02/22Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
5–0Heart Of Midlothian| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Heart Of Midlothian | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Rangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |  ST Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | ST Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
Team Insights
Heart Of- ●Heart Of Midlothian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Rangers- ●Rangers have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Rangers have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Rangers have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Rangers have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rangers have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rangers have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Rangers have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●62% of Rangers's goals have been scored away.
- ●63% of Rangers's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Heart OfDAKilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1LAFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2WHDundee2–1
Dundee2–1WAHibernian3–1
Hibernian3–1WHST Johnstone2–1
ST Johnstone2–1WHDundee Utd4–0
Dundee Utd4–0–HST Mirren10/10
ST Mirren10/10–ACeltic18/10
Celtic18/10–AMotherwell25/10
Motherwell25/10RangersWACeltic1–0
Celtic1–0WHST Mirren1–0
ST Mirren1–0WHMotherwell1–0
Motherwell1–0WAFalkirk2–1
Falkirk2–1WAAberdeen1–0
Aberdeen1–0LHHibernian1–2
Hibernian1–2–HKilmarnock10/10
Kilmarnock10/10–ADundee17/10
Dundee17/10–HST Johnstone24/10
ST Johnstone24/10Top Scorers
Heart OfC. Miller5 ⚽
R. Mato4 ⚽
T. Renaud3 ⚽
J. Wilson3 ⚽
C. Braga2 ⚽
James wilson2 ⚽
RangersL. Shankland4 ⚽
T. Aasgaard3 ⚽
Ryan Naderi2 ⚽
D. Neil2 ⚽
R. Naderi2 ⚽
Lawrence Shankland2 ⚽
Cards Given
Heart OfC. Braga3 🟨
T. Magnusson3 🟨
P. Kabore2 🟨
O. McEntee2 🟨
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga1 🟨
B. Spittal1 🟨
RangersE. Fernandez2 🟨
V. Dragojevic2 🟨
D. Sterling2 🟨
C. Devlin2 🟨
D. Neil2 🟨
Dujon Sterling1 🟨