Motherwell vs ST Mirren — Premiership
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Motherwell and ST Mirren meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Motherwell have recorded 5 wins from 17 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. ST Mirren have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 36%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Motherwell and 1.25 for ST Mirren. The models give Motherwell a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an ST Mirren win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Motherwell | Home | Away | ST Mirren | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 63% | 67% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 50% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 25% | 22% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Motherwell | Home | Away | ST Mirren | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 89% | 64% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 67% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 35% | 38% | 33% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 50% | 11% | 36% | 17% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motherwell | ST Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 36% |
| BTTS | 41% | 36% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motherwell | ST Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Motherwell | ST Mirren | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 100% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 89% | 90% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 78% | 81% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 78% | 71% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 67% | 65% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 56% | 48% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 44% | 33% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 33% | 25% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Motherwell | ST Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.3 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 58% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 42% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 42% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 89% |
Head to Head · 47 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 | |
| 11 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 | |
| 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Motherwell have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Motherwell have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Motherwell have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Motherwell have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Motherwell's goals have been scored away.
- ●Motherwell have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Motherwell have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
- ●ST Mirren have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●ST Mirren have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●ST Mirren have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●63% of ST Mirren's goals have been scored at home.
- ●60% of ST Mirren's points have been earned away.
- ●ST Mirren have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.