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Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk — Premiership

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Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 1h
vs
–
–
Falkirk
Falkirk
11º · 0.75 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 1h
Tynecastle Park·Edinburgh·Scotland·20,099
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Heart Of Midlothian and Falkirk meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Heart Of Midlothian have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.95 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Falkirk have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.06 for Falkirk. The models give Heart Of Midlothian a 61% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Falkirk win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Heart Of Midlothian
—
Falkirk
3º
Position
11º
2.00
PPG
0.75
63%
Win %
13%
2.38
Goals / game
0.88
1.00
Conceded / game
1.38
70%
BTTS %
57%
20%
Clean sheet %
29%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
7.0
Avg corners
4.4
16.1
Avg shots
11.7
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.8
Avg fouls
14.7
49.8%
Avg possession
49.3%

Home vs Away

Heart Of Midlothian
Home (4)
—
Falkirk
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
0.75
100%
Win %
0%
3.25
Goals / game
0.75
0.50
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
71%
22%
Clean sheet %
29%
78%
Over 2.5 %
43%
7.0
Avg corners
4.4
16.1
Avg shots
11.7
5.1
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.8
49.8%
Avg possession
49.3%

Goals Scored

Heart OfHomeAwayFalkirkHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored90%89%91%79%71%86%
Over 1.5 Scored50%78%27%29%29%29%
Over 2.5 Scored25%33%18%14%14%14%
Failed To Score10%11%9%21%29%14%

Goals Conceded

Heart OfHomeAwayFalkirkHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded80%78%82%71%71%71%
Over 1.5 Conceded40%33%45%29%43%14%
Over 2.5 Conceded10%0%18%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets20%22%18%29%29%29%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Heart OfFalkirk
Over 0.5100%93%
Over 1.595%79%
Over 2.575%50%
Over 3.535%7%
Over 4.515%7%
BTTS70%57%
BTTS & Win30%14%
BTTS & Draw20%21%
BTTS & Over 2.555%36%
BTTS No & Over 2.520%14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Heart OfFalkirk
Win 1st Half45%43%
Draw 1st Half20%29%
Loss 1st Half35%29%
Scored 1st Half55%57%
Conceded 1st Half40%43%
Win 2nd Half45%36%
Draw 2nd Half20%29%
Loss 2nd Half35%36%
Scored 2nd Half65%43%
Conceded 2nd Half60%43%
Over 0.5 HT85%86%
Over 1.5 HT45%36%

Recent Venue Form

Heart Of (H)
WST Mirren5–0
WDundee2–1
WST Johnstone2–1
DRapid Vienna2–2
WInverness CT6–2
DBenfica1–1
Falkirk (A)
DST Johnstone1–1
DDundee Utd1–1
LCeltic1–2
DMotherwell0–0
DAlloa Athletic1–1
WEdinburgh City5–0

Number of Corners

11.3
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
11.7
48 games
10.6
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersHeart OfFalkirkLeague Avg
Over 6100%89%98%
Over 792%67%90%
Over 869%67%81%
Over 954%56%71%
Over 1038%56%65%
Over 1138%33%48%
Over 1231%33%33%
Over 1331%22%25%

Team Corners

Team CornersHeart OfFalkirk
Corners Earned / Match7.04.4
Corners Against / Match4.36.1
Over 2.5 Corners For92%89%
Over 3.5 Corners For92%56%
Over 4.5 Corners For77%44%
Over 2.5 Corners Against62%89%
Over 3.5 Corners Against54%67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against31%56%

Head to Head · 13 matches

9
Heart Of
69%
1
Draws
8%
3
Falkirk
23%
85%
Over 1.5
11/13
62%
Over 2.5
8/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
38%
BTTS
5/13
15/09/26
Falkirk
2–1
Heart Of Midlothian
13/05/26
Heart Of Midlothian
3–0
Falkirk
21/02/26
Heart Of Midlothian
1–0
Falkirk
17/01/26
Heart Of Midlothian
1–1
Falkirk
13/12/25
Falkirk
0–2
Heart Of Midlothian
27/09/25
Heart Of Midlothian
3–0
Falkirk
17/08/24
Falkirk
2–0
Heart Of Midlothian
03/07/21
Heart Of Midlothian
4–0
Falkirk
08/02/20
Falkirk
0–1
Heart Of Midlothian
21/03/15
Falkirk
0–3
Heart Of Midlothian
24/01/15
Heart Of Midlothian
2–3
Falkirk
15/11/14
Falkirk
1–2
Heart Of Midlothian
30/08/14
Heart Of Midlothian
4–1
Falkirk
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Celtic8701+1221
2Rangers8611+619
3Heart Of Midlothian8512+1116
4Dundee8413+313
5ST Johnstone8323011
6Dundee Utd8323-111
7ST Mirren8314-610
8Aberdeen8224-28
9Motherwell8224-48
10Hibernian8215-47
11Falkirk8134-46
12Kilmarnock8125-115

Team Insights

Heart Of
  • ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●Heart Of Midlothian have won their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Heart Of Midlothian have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●68% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Heart Of Midlothian's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●75% of Heart Of Midlothian's points have been earned at home.
Falkirk
  • ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
WHST Mirren7º5–0
DAKilmarnock12º1–1
LAFalkirk11º1–2
WHDundee4º2–1
WAHibernian10º3–1
WHST Johnstone5º2–1
LHDundee4º1–2
DAST Johnstone5º1–1
DADundee Utd6º1–1
LHRangers2º1–2
LACeltic1º1–2
DAMotherwell9º0–0
LHST Mirren7º0–2
WHStranraer3–0

Season Schedule

Heart Of
WHST Mirren5–0
DAKilmarnock1–1
LAFalkirk1–2
WHDundee2–1
WAHibernian3–1
WHST Johnstone2–1
–ACeltic18/10
–AMotherwell25/10
–HRangers28/10
Falkirk
LHDundee1–2
DAST Johnstone1–1
WHHeart Of Midlothian2–1
DADundee Utd1–1
LHRangers1–2
LACeltic1–2
–AHibernian17/10
–HKilmarnock24/10
–AAberdeen28/10

Top Scorers

Heart Of
C. Miller5 ⚽
R. Mato4 ⚽
T. Renaud3 ⚽
J. Wilson3 ⚽
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga2 ⚽
C. Braga2 ⚽
Falkirk
B. Parkinson3 ⚽
R. MacIver3 ⚽
Jacob Murrell2 ⚽
Ben krauhaus1 ⚽
Ethan Ross1 ⚽
C. Allan1 ⚽

Cards Given

Heart Of
C. Braga3 🟨
T. Magnusson3 🟨
P. Kabore2 🟨
O. McEntee2 🟨
Christian Dahle Borchgrevink1 🟨
B. Spittal1 🟨
Falkirk
Brad Spencer3 🟨
Ben Parkinson1 🟨
B. Krauhaus1 🟨
C. McLeod1 🟨
Calvin Fodrey1 🟨
A. Doherty1 🟨