ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock — Premiership
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ST Mirren and Kilmarnock meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 28 November 2026. ST Mirren have recorded 8 wins from 16 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Kilmarnock have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for ST Mirren and 1.38 for Kilmarnock. The models give ST Mirren a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kilmarnock win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
ST Mirren—
Kilmarnock6º
Position
11º
1.30
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.10
Goals / game
1.00
1.80
Conceded / game
2.30
44%
BTTS %
44%
31%
Clean sheet %
39%
69%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.5
Avg corners
5.2
13.0
Avg shots
11.2
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.5
Avg fouls
11.5
50.7%
Avg possession
43.4%
Home vs Away
ST Mirren
Home (5)
—
Kilmarnock
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.00
1.80
Conceded / game
2.00
57%
BTTS %
33%
14%
Clean sheet %
56%
71%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.5
Avg corners
5.2
13.0
Avg shots
11.2
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.5
Avg yellow cards
1.6
50.7%
Avg possession
43.4%
Goals Scored
| ST Mirren | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 71% | 78% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 43% | 44% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 29% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 29% | 22% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| ST Mirren | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 86% | 56% | 61% | 78% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 57% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 43% | 33% | 28% | 22% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 14% | 44% | 39% | 22% | 56% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| ST Mirren | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 28% |
| BTTS | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| ST Mirren | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
ST Mirren (H)W
Dundee2–1
Dundee2–1L
Dundee Utd0–3
Dundee Utd0–3L
Celtic1–2
Celtic1–2D
Motherwell3–3
Motherwell3–3W
ST Johnstone1–0
ST Johnstone1–0L
Dunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1Kilmarnock (A)L
Falkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3L
Rangers1–3
Rangers1–3W
Hibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0D
Aberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0LST Johnstone3–4
ST Johnstone3–4D
Peterhead0–0
Peterhead0–0Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
11.5
58 games
11.3
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | ST Mirren | Kilmarnock | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 92% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 92% | 90% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 69% | 79% |
| Over 9 | 64% | 54% | 66% |
| Over 10 | 55% | 46% | 60% |
| Over 11 | 45% | 38% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 36% | 31% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 27% | 23% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | ST Mirren | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.4 | 6.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 82% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 82% | 69% |
Head to Head · 46 matches
10
ST Mirren
22%
13
Draws
28%
23
Kilmarnock
50%
72%
Over 1.5
33/46
43%
Over 2.5
20/46
24%
Over 3.5
11/46
50%
BTTS
23/46
02/09/26ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0–1ST Mirren09/05/26Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0–3Kilmarnock11/02/26ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
4–3ST Mirren27/12/25Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0–0Kilmarnock04/10/25ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
2–0ST Mirren19/09/25ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
2–2ST Mirren29/03/25Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
5–1Kilmarnock02/01/25ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
2–0ST Mirren14/09/24Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2–2Kilmarnock11/05/24Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0–1Kilmarnock16/03/24ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
5–2ST Mirren27/12/23Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0–1Kilmarnock30/09/23ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
1–1ST Mirren22/04/23Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0–2Kilmarnock02/01/23ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0–0ST Mirren15/10/22Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0–0Kilmarnock12/05/21ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
3–3ST Mirren26/04/21ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
3–3ST Mirren06/02/21Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2–0Kilmarnock02/01/21ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
1–1ST Mirren| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 7 |
Team Insights
ST Mirren- ●ST Mirren failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●ST Mirren have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●ST Mirren failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of ST Mirren's goals have been scored at home.
- ●ST Mirren have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Kilmarnock- ●Kilmarnock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ST MirrenWHDundee2–1
Dundee2–1LAAberdeen1–3
Aberdeen1–3LAHeart Of Midlothian0–5
Heart Of Midlothian0–5LHDundee Utd0–3
Dundee Utd0–3LARangers0–1
Rangers0–1LHCeltic1–2
Celtic1–2–HHibernian28/10
Hibernian28/10–AMotherwell31/10
Motherwell31/10–HRangers07/11
Rangers07/11KilmarnockLAFalkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3WHMotherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2LARangers1–3
Rangers1–3DHHeart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1WAHibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0–ADundee28/10
Dundee28/10–HST Johnstone31/10
ST Johnstone31/10–ACeltic08/11
Celtic08/11Top Scorers
ST MirrenS. Ramos4 ⚽
K. Phillips4 ⚽
R. Idowu3 ⚽
Eseosa Sule2 ⚽
C. R. Mochrie2 ⚽
Fraser Taylor1 ⚽
KilmarnockJ. Hugill6 ⚽
G. Kiltie4 ⚽
T. John-Jules3 ⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen2 ⚽
Greg Kiltie2 ⚽
C. Coughlin2 ⚽
Cards Given
ST MirrenR. Carr4 🟨
M. Fraser3 🟨
Alexander Gogić2 🟨
Calvin Ramsay2 🟨
H. Fieldson2 🟨
Eseosa Sule2 🟨
KilmarnockJ. Brandon3 🟨
George Stanger2 🟨
A. Tshibola2 🟨
C. McCarthy2 🟨
B. Rice2 🟨
Djenairo Daniels2 🟨