Kilmarnock vs Hibernian — Premiership
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Kilmarnock and Hibernian meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Kilmarnock have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.26 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Hibernian have won 36% of their 22 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Kilmarnock and 1.64 for Hibernian. The models give Kilmarnock a 33% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Hibernian win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Kilmarnock—
Hibernian12º
Position
11º
0.73
PPG
0.73
18%
Win %
18%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.36
Conceded / game
1.55
47%
BTTS %
64%
37%
Clean sheet %
18%
53%
Over 2.5 %
59%
5.1
Avg corners
5.5
11.5
Avg shots
15.3
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.6
Avg fouls
11.7
44.2%
Avg possession
50.4%
Home vs Away
Kilmarnock
Home (5)
—
Hibernian
Away (5)
0.80
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
2.60
Conceded / game
1.20
56%
BTTS %
45%
22%
Clean sheet %
27%
44%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.1
Avg corners
5.5
11.5
Avg shots
15.3
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
44.2%
Avg possession
50.4%
Goals Scored
| Kilmarnock | Home | Away | Hibernian | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 67% | 70% | 73% | 91% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 22% | 30% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 22% | 30% | 14% | 9% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 33% | 30% | 27% | 9% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Kilmarnock | Home | Away | Hibernian | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 78% | 50% | 82% | 91% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 44% | 50% | 32% | 45% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 32% | 22% | 40% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 22% | 50% | 18% | 9% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kilmarnock | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 14% |
| BTTS | 47% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kilmarnock | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 82% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 5% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Kilmarnock (H)W
Motherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2D
Heart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1D
Aberdeen1–1
Aberdeen1–1L
ST Mirren0–1
ST Mirren0–1L
Dundee Utd0–4
Dundee Utd0–4W
Ayr Utd3–2
Ayr Utd3–2Hibernian (A)DST Mirren1–1
ST Mirren1–1LDundee Utd0–1
Dundee Utd0–1W
Ross County3–0
Ross County3–0L
ST Johnstone1–2
ST Johnstone1–2W
Dundee2–1
Dundee2–1D
Gent0–0
Gent0–0Number of Corners
11.4
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
11.3
66 games
10.7
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Kilmarnock | Hibernian | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 100% | 98% |
| Over 7 | 93% | 88% | 91% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 69% | 77% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 50% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 38% | 58% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 25% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 19% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 19% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kilmarnock | Hibernian |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.1 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.2 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 71% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 71% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 71% | 56% |
Head to Head · 44 matches
9
Kilmarnock
20%
14
Draws
32%
21
Hibernian
48%
75%
Over 1.5
33/44
52%
Over 2.5
23/44
27%
Over 3.5
12/44
57%
BTTS
25/44
15/09/26Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0–1Kilmarnock04/04/26Kilmarnock
Hibernian
3–0Kilmarnock03/01/26Hibernian
Kilmarnock
1–3Hibernian10/08/25Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2–2Kilmarnock15/03/25Hibernian
Kilmarnock
1–1Hibernian29/12/24Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1–0Kilmarnock01/09/24Hibernian
Kilmarnock
1–1Hibernian27/01/24Hibernian
Kilmarnock
2–2Hibernian11/11/23Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1–0Kilmarnock16/09/23Hibernian
Kilmarnock
2–2Hibernian18/02/23Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2–0Kilmarnock12/11/22Hibernian
Kilmarnock
1–0Hibernian03/09/22Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1–0Kilmarnock15/08/21Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2–0Kilmarnock16/01/21Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2–0Kilmarnock24/10/20Hibernian
Kilmarnock
0–1Hibernian01/08/20Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2–1Kilmarnock16/02/20Hibernian
Kilmarnock
1–2Hibernian30/11/19Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2–2Kilmarnock25/09/19Hibernian
Kilmarnock
0–0Hibernian| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 |
Team Insights
Kilmarnock- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Hibernian- ●Hibernian have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Hibernian have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hibernian have lost 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Hibernian failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Hibernian's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●88% of Hibernian's points have been earned away.
- ●Hibernian have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
KilmarnockLADundee1–3
Dundee1–3LAFalkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3WHMotherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2LARangers1–3
Rangers1–3DHHeart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1WAHibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0–HST Johnstone31/10
ST Johnstone31/10–ACeltic08/11
Celtic08/11–HAberdeen21/11
Aberdeen21/11HibernianDAST Mirren1–1
ST Mirren1–1LHCeltic1–2
Celtic1–2LHFalkirk1–2
Falkirk1–2LADundee Utd0–1
Dundee Utd0–1DHAberdeen1–1
Aberdeen1–1LHKilmarnock0–1
Kilmarnock0–1–AAberdeen07/11
Aberdeen07/11–HDundee Utd21/11
Dundee Utd21/11–HDundee24/11
Dundee24/11Top Scorers
KilmarnockJ. Hugill6 ⚽
G. Kiltie4 ⚽
T. John-Jules3 ⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen2 ⚽
Greg Kiltie2 ⚽
C. Coughlin2 ⚽
HibernianM. Boyle4 ⚽
N. Lowe3 ⚽
O. Elding3 ⚽
T. Klidje3 ⚽
F. Passlack2 ⚽
C. Wright2 ⚽
Cards Given
KilmarnockJ. Brandon3 🟨
George Stanger3 🟨
B. Rice2 🟨
C. McCarthy2 🟨
Cathal McCarthy2 🟨
A. Tshibola2 🟨
HibernianM. Chaiwa5 🟨
M. Boyle2 🟨
Azeem Abdulai2 🟨
J. Campbell2 🟨
J. Mulligan2 🟨
Miguel Changa Chaiwa2 🟨