Motherwell vs Kilmarnock — Premiership
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Fir Park·Motherwell·Scotland·13,742
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Motherwell and Kilmarnock meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Motherwell have recorded 6 wins from 21 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Kilmarnock have won 35% of their 20 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Motherwell and 1.25 for Kilmarnock. The models give Motherwell a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kilmarnock win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Motherwell—
Kilmarnock9º
Position
11º
1.00
PPG
0.75
25%
Win %
17%
1.17
Goals / game
1.08
1.67
Conceded / game
2.33
43%
BTTS %
50%
29%
Clean sheet %
35%
57%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.6
Avg corners
5.5
12.6
Avg shots
12.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.3
Avg fouls
11.6
51.4%
Avg possession
45.6%
Home vs Away
Motherwell
Home (6)
—
Kilmarnock
Away (6)
1.17
PPG
0.67
33%
Win %
17%
0.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
2.17
20%
BTTS %
40%
50%
Clean sheet %
50%
40%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.6
Avg corners
5.5
12.6
Avg shots
12.3
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.8
51.4%
Avg possession
45.6%
Goals Scored
| Motherwell | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 73% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 40% | 45% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 27% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Motherwell | Home | Away | Kilmarnock | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 91% | 65% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 50% | 55% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 30% | 36% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 50% | 9% | 35% | 20% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motherwell | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS | 43% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motherwell | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Motherwell (H)W
ST Mirren1–0
ST Mirren1–0L
Heart Of Midlothian0–2
Heart Of Midlothian0–2L
Celtic0–2
Celtic0–2L
Aberdeen0–4
Aberdeen0–4W
Dundee Utd3–0
Dundee Utd3–0L
SC Freiburg1–3
SC Freiburg1–3Kilmarnock (A)L
Dundee1–3
Dundee1–3L
Falkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3L
Rangers1–3
Rangers1–3W
Hibernian1–0
Hibernian1–0DAberdeen0–0
Aberdeen0–0L
ST Johnstone3–4
ST Johnstone3–4Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
11.4
69 games
11.4
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Motherwell | Kilmarnock | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 93% | 99% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 93% | 91% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 73% | 78% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 60% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 53% | 58% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 47% | 42% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 27% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 20% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Motherwell | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 69% | 67% |
Head to Head · 51 matches
22
Motherwell
43%
12
Draws
24%
17
Kilmarnock
33%
69%
Over 1.5
35/51
41%
Over 2.5
21/51
22%
Over 3.5
11/51
45%
BTTS
23/51
17/10/26Motherwell
Kilmarnock
3–2Motherwell24/01/26Kilmarnock
Motherwell
4–0Kilmarnock22/11/25Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1–3Motherwell30/08/25Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2–2Kilmarnock14/05/25Kilmarnock
Motherwell
3–0Kilmarnock05/04/25Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2–0Motherwell08/01/25Motherwell
Kilmarnock
0–0Motherwell20/12/24Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1–1Kilmarnock18/08/24Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1–0Kilmarnock03/02/24Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1–1Kilmarnock04/11/23Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1–0Motherwell26/08/23Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2–1Kilmarnock06/05/23Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2–0Kilmarnock25/02/23Motherwell
Kilmarnock
1–1Motherwell23/12/22Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2–2Kilmarnock27/08/22Motherwell
Kilmarnock
2–1Motherwell01/05/21Kilmarnock
Motherwell
2–0Kilmarnock20/03/21Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4–1Motherwell10/02/21Motherwell
Kilmarnock
0–1Motherwell30/12/20Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0–2Kilmarnock| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
Team Insights
Motherwell- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Motherwell failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Motherwell have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Motherwell's goals have been scored away.
- ●Motherwell have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Kilmarnock- ●Kilmarnock have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MotherwellWHST Mirren1–0
ST Mirren1–0DAST Johnstone2–2
ST Johnstone2–2LHHeart Of Midlothian0–2
Heart Of Midlothian0–2LAKilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3LHCeltic0–2
Celtic0–2LADundee1–2
Dundee1–2–ADundee Utd07/11
Dundee Utd07/11–HRangers21/11
Rangers21/11–HHibernian28/11
Hibernian28/11KilmarnockDHST Johnstone2–2
ST Johnstone2–2LADundee1–3
Dundee1–3LAFalkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3WHMotherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2LARangers1–3
Rangers1–3DHHeart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1–ACeltic08/11
Celtic08/11–HAberdeen21/11
Aberdeen21/11–AST Mirren28/11
ST Mirren28/11Top Scorers
MotherwellR. Charles-Cook3 ⚽
I. Said3 ⚽
Alex·Lowry3 ⚽
L. Fadinger3 ⚽
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden2 ⚽
T. Maswanhise2 ⚽
KilmarnockJ. Hugill6 ⚽
G. Kiltie4 ⚽
T. John-Jules3 ⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen2 ⚽
C. Coughlin2 ⚽
Greg Kiltie2 ⚽
Cards Given
MotherwellL. Fadinger4 🟨
M. Moormann3 🟨
Tom Sparrow3 🟨
Emmanuel Longelo2 🟨
J. Girdwood-Reich2 🟨
Ibrahim Said2 🟨
KilmarnockJamie Brandon3 🟨
J. Brandon3 🟨
George Stanger3 🟨
B. Rice2 🟨
Cathal McCarthy2 🟨
C. McCarthy2 🟨