Falkirk vs Aberdeen — Premiership
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Falkirk and Aberdeen meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Falkirk have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.68 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Aberdeen have won 46% of their 24 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Falkirk and 1.36 for Aberdeen. The models give Falkirk a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Aberdeen win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Falkirk—
Aberdeen3º
Position
11º
1.62
PPG
0.92
46%
Win %
25%
1.54
Goals / game
1.00
1.08
Conceded / game
1.50
53%
BTTS %
38%
37%
Clean sheet %
29%
53%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.4
Avg corners
6.6
11.9
Avg shots
13.5
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.1
15.1
Avg fouls
12.6
47.4%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Falkirk
Home (6)
—
Aberdeen
Away (5)
1.50
PPG
0.80
50%
Win %
20%
1.50
Goals / game
1.40
1.17
Conceded / game
1.80
33%
BTTS %
38%
44%
Clean sheet %
31%
56%
Over 2.5 %
38%
4.4
Avg corners
6.6
11.9
Avg shots
13.5
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.1
47.4%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Falkirk | Home | Away | Aberdeen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 78% | 90% | 63% | 55% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 44% | 40% | 50% | 55% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 22% | 20% | 29% | 36% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 22% | 10% | 38% | 45% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Falkirk | Home | Away | Aberdeen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 56% | 70% | 71% | 73% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 33% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 18% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 44% | 30% | 29% | 27% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Falkirk | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 17% |
| BTTS | 53% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Falkirk | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 53% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Falkirk (H)W
Celtic2–0
Celtic2–0W
Kilmarnock3–0
Kilmarnock3–0L
Dundee1–2
Dundee1–2W
Heart Of Midlothian2–1
Heart Of Midlothian2–1L
Rangers1–2
Rangers1–2L
ST Mirren0–2
ST Mirren0–2Aberdeen (A)LRangers0–1
Rangers0–1L
Dundee Utd2–3
Dundee Utd2–3W
Dunfermline4–1
Dunfermline4–1D
Hibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1W
Motherwell4–0
Motherwell4–0DKilmarnock1–1
Kilmarnock1–1Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
11.4
75 games
12.2
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Falkirk | Aberdeen | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 100% | 99% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 93% | 92% |
| Over 8 | 79% | 86% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 71% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 64% | 59% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 57% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 36% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 36% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Falkirk | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 6.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 79% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 71% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
3
Falkirk
75%
1
Draws
25%
0
Aberdeen
0%
25%
Over 1.5
1/4
0%
Over 2.5
0/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
28/10/26Falkirk
Aberdeen
0–1Falkirk14/03/26Falkirk
Aberdeen
1–1Falkirk03/01/26Aberdeen
Falkirk
1–0Aberdeen31/08/25Falkirk
Aberdeen
0–1Falkirk| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart Of Midlothian | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 9 |
Team Insights
Falkirk- ●Falkirk have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Falkirk have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Falkirk have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Falkirk have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Falkirk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Falkirk have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Falkirk have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
Aberdeen- ●Aberdeen have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Aberdeen have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Aberdeen have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Aberdeen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
FalkirkWAHeart Of Midlothian5–2
Heart Of Midlothian5–2WHCeltic2–0
Celtic2–0WAAberdeen1–0
Aberdeen1–0WHKilmarnock3–0
Kilmarnock3–0WAHibernian2–1
Hibernian2–1LHDundee1–2
Dundee1–2–HST Johnstone21/11
ST Johnstone21/11–ARangers28/11
Rangers28/11–HMotherwell02/12
Motherwell02/12AberdeenLHHibernian0–4
Hibernian0–4LHFalkirk0–1
Falkirk0–1LADundee Utd2–3
Dundee Utd2–3WHST Mirren3–1
ST Mirren3–1LHST Johnstone0–1
ST Johnstone0–1DAHibernian1–1
Hibernian1–1–AKilmarnock21/11
Kilmarnock21/11–ARangers24/11
Rangers24/11–HDundee28/11
Dundee28/11Top Scorers
FalkirkJacob Murrell7 ⚽
R. MacIver3 ⚽
B. Parkinson3 ⚽
Liam Henderson2 ⚽
Ben krauhaus2 ⚽
Ethan Ross2 ⚽
AberdeenK. Nisbet10 ⚽
Kevin Nisbet3 ⚽
A. Mouloua3 ⚽
Ayoub Mouloua2 ⚽
Connor Patrick Ronan2 ⚽
B. Lyons2 ⚽
Cards Given
FalkirkOwen Eames4 🟨
Brad Spencer4 🟨
Finley Frank Barbrook3 🟨
Ben Parkinson2 🟨
Ben krauhaus2 🟨
Calvin Fodrey2 🟨
AberdeenD. Happe4 🟨
Daniel Happe3 🟨
A. Aremu3 🟨
Lewis Mayo3 🟨
L. Mayo2 🟨
Ayoub Mouloua2 🟨