Kilmarnock vs Dundee — Premiership
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Kilmarnock and Dundee meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Kilmarnock have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Dundee have won 41% of their 22 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Kilmarnock and 1.70 for Dundee. The models give Kilmarnock a 33% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Dundee win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Kilmarnock—
Dundee12º
Position
5º
0.69
PPG
1.42
15%
Win %
42%
1.00
Goals / game
1.50
2.23
Conceded / game
1.25
48%
BTTS %
64%
33%
Clean sheet %
18%
52%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.3
Avg corners
5.0
11.9
Avg shots
13.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.4
11.6
Avg fouls
9.9
45.3%
Avg possession
45.1%
Home vs Away
Kilmarnock
Home (6)
—
Dundee
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.00
17%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.17
2.50
Conceded / game
1.33
60%
BTTS %
58%
20%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
58%
5.3
Avg corners
5.0
11.9
Avg shots
13.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
4.6
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.4
45.3%
Avg possession
45.1%
Goals Scored
| Kilmarnock | Home | Away | Dundee | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 70% | 64% | 82% | 90% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 30% | 27% | 45% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 20% | 27% | 18% | 30% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 30% | 36% | 18% | 10% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Kilmarnock | Home | Away | Dundee | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 80% | 55% | 82% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 50% | 45% | 45% | 50% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 20% | 36% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 20% | 45% | 18% | 20% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kilmarnock | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 9% |
| BTTS | 48% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kilmarnock | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Kilmarnock (H)D
ST Johnstone2–2
ST Johnstone2–2W
Motherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2D
Heart Of Midlothian1–1
Heart Of Midlothian1–1D
Aberdeen1–1
Aberdeen1–1L
ST Mirren0–1
ST Mirren0–1L
Dundee Utd0–4
Dundee Utd0–4Dundee (A)LST Johnstone1–2
ST Johnstone1–2LST Mirren1–2
ST Mirren1–2W
Falkirk2–1
Falkirk2–1LHeart Of Midlothian1–2
Heart Of Midlothian1–2WDundee Utd2–0
Dundee Utd2–0LAberdeen0–3
Aberdeen0–3Number of Corners
11.4
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
11.4
75 games
11.0
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Kilmarnock | Dundee | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 100% | 99% |
| Over 7 | 94% | 86% | 92% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 79% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 57% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 50% | 59% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 14% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kilmarnock | Dundee |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 94% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 69% | 71% |
Head to Head · 38 matches
10
Kilmarnock
26%
17
Draws
45%
11
Dundee
29%
82%
Over 1.5
31/38
58%
Over 2.5
22/38
39%
Over 3.5
15/38
74%
BTTS
28/38
28/10/26Kilmarnock
Dundee
3–1Kilmarnock12/05/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–1Dundee11/04/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–2Dundee17/01/26Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–2Dundee30/12/25Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–1Kilmarnock23/08/25Dundee
Kilmarnock
0–0Dundee10/05/25Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–2Dundee30/11/24Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–1Dundee03/11/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
3–2Kilmarnock05/10/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–3Kilmarnock18/05/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
1–1Kilmarnock02/03/24Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock20/01/24Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–0Dundee30/12/23Dundee
Kilmarnock
2–2Dundee23/09/23Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock24/05/21Dundee
Kilmarnock
1–2Dundee20/05/21Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–1Kilmarnock06/02/19Kilmarnock
Dundee
2–2Kilmarnock15/12/18Dundee
Kilmarnock
3–1Dundee06/10/18Kilmarnock
Dundee
1–2Kilmarnock| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart Of Midlothian | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 9 |
Team Insights
Kilmarnock- ●Kilmarnock have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kilmarnock failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kilmarnock have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Dundee- ●Dundee failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Dundee have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Dundee failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Dundee have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dundee failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Dundee failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dundee have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dundee have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
KilmarnockLACeltic0–1
Celtic0–1DHST Johnstone2–2
ST Johnstone2–2LADundee1–3
Dundee1–3LAFalkirk0–3
Falkirk0–3WHMotherwell3–2
Motherwell3–2LARangers1–3
Rangers1–3–HAberdeen21/11
Aberdeen21/11–AST Mirren28/11
ST Mirren28/11–HHibernian02/12
Hibernian02/12DundeeLAST Johnstone1–2
ST Johnstone1–2WHKilmarnock3–1
Kilmarnock3–1LAST Mirren1–2
ST Mirren1–2DHRangers2–2
Rangers2–2WAFalkirk2–1
Falkirk2–1WHMotherwell2–1
Motherwell2–1–HHeart Of Midlothian21/11
Heart Of Midlothian21/11–AHibernian24/11
Hibernian24/11–AAberdeen28/11
Aberdeen28/11Top Scorers
KilmarnockJ. Hugill6 ⚽
G. Kiltie4 ⚽
T. John-Jules3 ⚽
M. Schjonning-Larsen2 ⚽
C. Coughlin2 ⚽
Greg Kiltie2 ⚽
DundeeJ. Westley5 ⚽
A. Hay4 ⚽
Bradley·Fink4 ⚽
J. Bevan3 ⚽
Ashley Hay3 ⚽
C. Reilly3 ⚽
Cards Given
KilmarnockJamie Brandon4 🟨
Tom Lowery3 🟨
George Stanger3 🟨
J. Brandon3 🟨
Cathal McCarthy3 🟨
B. Rice2 🟨
DundeeEthan Hamilton3 🟨
Brad Halliday2 🟨
Ashley Hay1 🟨
Bradley·Fink1 🟨
D. Wright1 🟨
Alfie Harrison1 🟨