Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline — Championship
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Ochilview Park·Stenhousemuir·Scotland·5,267
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Stenhousemuir and Dunfermline meet in the Championship 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Stenhousemuir have recorded 10 wins from 16 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Dunfermline have won 42% of their 19 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Stenhousemuir and 1.04 for Dunfermline. The models give Stenhousemuir a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Dunfermline win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Stenhousemuir—
Dunfermline1º
Position
5º
2.30
PPG
1.50
70%
Win %
30%
1.30
Goals / game
0.80
0.50
Conceded / game
0.60
31%
BTTS %
42%
56%
Clean sheet %
42%
25%
Over 2.5 %
37%
2.0
Avg corners
5.0
4.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
4.0
17.0
Avg fouls
0.0
32.0%
Avg possession
50.0%
Home vs Away
Stenhousemuir
Home (5)
—
Dunfermline
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
1.20
80%
Win %
20%
1.60
Goals / game
0.60
0.40
Conceded / game
0.80
22%
BTTS %
30%
67%
Clean sheet %
40%
22%
Over 2.5 %
30%
2.0
Avg corners
5.0
4.0
Avg shots
0.0
2.0
Avg shots on target
5.0
3.0
Avg yellow cards
4.0
32.0%
Avg possession
50.0%
Goals Scored
| Stenhousemuir | Home | Away | Dunfermline | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 78% | 86% | 74% | 89% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 43% | 26% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 11% | 0% | 16% | 22% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 22% | 14% | 26% | 11% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Stenhousemuir | Home | Away | Dunfermline | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 33% | 57% | 58% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 11% | 29% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 11% | 0% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 67% | 43% | 42% | 44% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stenhousemuir | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 16% |
| BTTS | 31% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stenhousemuir | Dunfermline | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Stenhousemuir (H)D
Raith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1W
Arbroath1–0
Arbroath1–0W
Partick1–0
Partick1–0L
Heart Of Midlothian0–3
Heart Of Midlothian0–3W
Inverness CT3–1
Inverness CT3–1W
Motherwell1–0
Motherwell1–0Dunfermline (A)D
Ayr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1W
Morton1–0
Morton1–0DArbroath1–1
Arbroath1–1L
Livingston0–2
Livingston0–2DInverness CT0–0
Inverness CT0–0W
ST Mirren1–0
ST Mirren1–0Number of Corners
6.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
13.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Stenhousemuir | Dunfermline | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stenhousemuir | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 8.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
0
Stenhousemuir
0%
0
Draws
0%
6
Dunfermline
100%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
50%
Over 3.5
3/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
18/01/25Stenhousemuir
Dunfermline
3–0Stenhousemuir24/07/21Stenhousemuir
Dunfermline
4–1Stenhousemuir05/03/16Stenhousemuir
Dunfermline
5–0Stenhousemuir06/02/16Dunfermline
Stenhousemuir
0–3Dunfermline19/12/15Stenhousemuir
Dunfermline
1–0Stenhousemuir19/09/15Dunfermline
Stenhousemuir
0–5Dunfermline| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 2 | Partick | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 | Livingston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 11 |
| 9 | Morton | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -9 | 7 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 7 |
Team Insights
Stenhousemuir- ●Stenhousemuir have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Stenhousemuir have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Stenhousemuir's goals have been scored at home.
Dunfermline- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dunfermline have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Dunfermline have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●63% of Dunfermline's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
StenhousemuirDHRaith Rovers1–1
Raith Rovers1–1LAInverness CT0–2
Inverness CT0–2WAAyr Utd1–0
Ayr Utd1–0WHArbroath1–0
Arbroath1–0WHPartick1–0
Partick1–0WALivingston1–0
Livingston1–0–APartick24/10
Partick24/10–HDunfermline27/10
Dunfermline27/10–HLivingston30/10
Livingston30/10DunfermlineDHPartick1–1
Partick1–1DHLivingston0–0
Livingston0–0DAAyr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1WAMorton1–0
Morton1–0WHQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0DAArbroath1–1
Arbroath1–1–AQueen's Park24/10
Queen's Park24/10–AStenhousemuir27/10
Stenhousemuir27/10–HInverness CT31/10
Inverness CT31/10Top Scorers
StenhousemuirL. O'Donnell4 ⚽
M. Anderson3 ⚽
E. O'Reilly3 ⚽
G. Buchanan3 ⚽
M. Aitken2 ⚽
L. Hodgkiss2 ⚽
DunfermlineA. Tod7 ⚽
J. Cooper6 ⚽
K. Bray3 ⚽
O. Shaw3 ⚽
R. MacLeod1 ⚽
A. Oyirwoth1 ⚽
Cards Given
StenhousemuirL. Grant6 🟨
M. Gillies5 🟨
M. Anderson5 🟨
K. Bilham4 🟨
S. Young4 🟨
C. Penman3 🟨
DunfermlineA. Amade4 🟨
C. Kane3 🟨
O. Adams2 🟨
D. Lobban2 🟨
A. Tod2 🟨
S. Cleall-Harding2 🟨