Livingston vs Arbroath — Championship
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Livingston and Arbroath meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Livingston have recorded 9 wins from 17 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Arbroath have won 39% of their 18 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Livingston and 0.89 for Arbroath. The models give Livingston a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Arbroath win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Livingston—
Arbroath4º
Position
8º
1.30
PPG
1.10
40%
Win %
30%
1.40
Goals / game
0.70
1.10
Conceded / game
1.50
35%
BTTS %
44%
47%
Clean sheet %
22%
41%
Over 2.5 %
61%
4.0
Avg corners
3.0
7.0
Avg shots
8.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
14.0
Avg fouls
13.0
68.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Livingston
Home (6)
—
Arbroath
Away (5)
1.17
PPG
0.60
33%
Win %
20%
1.33
Goals / game
0.40
1.17
Conceded / game
2.20
50%
BTTS %
25%
40%
Clean sheet %
13%
50%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.0
Avg corners
3.0
7.0
Avg shots
8.0
6.0
Avg shots on target
3.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
1.0
68.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Livingston | Home | Away | Arbroath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 90% | 57% | 61% | 80% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 60% | 57% | 33% | 30% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 10% | 29% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 10% | 43% | 39% | 20% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Livingston | Home | Away | Arbroath | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 60% | 43% | 78% | 70% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 30% | 14% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 10% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 40% | 57% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Livingston | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 11% |
| BTTS | 35% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Livingston | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 41% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Livingston (H)L
Partick1–2
Partick1–2L
Ayr Utd1–2
Ayr Utd1–2D
Inverness CT2–2
Inverness CT2–2L
Stenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1W
Dunfermline2–0
Dunfermline2–0W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0Arbroath (A)LPartick0–3
Partick0–3LStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1L
Raith Rovers0–4
Raith Rovers0–4W
Morton2–1
Morton2–1LAyr Utd0–2
Ayr Utd0–2L
Dundee Utd0–3
Dundee Utd0–3Number of Corners
6.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
5.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Livingston | Arbroath | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Livingston | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Livingston
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Arbroath
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
29/08/26Livingston
Arbroath
1–0Livingston05/07/21Arbroath
Livingston
4–0Arbroath| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Livingston- ●Livingston have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Livingston have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Livingston have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Livingston failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Livingston have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Arbroath- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Arbroath have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Arbroath's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
LivingstonLHPartick1–2
Partick1–2LHAyr Utd1–2
Ayr Utd1–2WARaith Rovers2–0
Raith Rovers2–0DHInverness CT2–2
Inverness CT2–2WAMorton4–1
Morton4–1LHStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1–ADunfermline17/10
Dunfermline17/10–HArbroath24/10
Arbroath24/10–AStenhousemuir30/10
Stenhousemuir30/10ArbroathLHMorton1–2
Morton1–2LAPartick0–3
Partick0–3WHQueen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1LAStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1LARaith Rovers0–4
Raith Rovers0–4DHDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1–AInverness CT17/10
Inverness CT17/10–ALivingston24/10
Livingston24/10–HRaith Rovers31/10
Raith Rovers31/10Top Scorers
LivingstonR. Muirhead13 ⚽
T. Sinclair3 ⚽
S. May2 ⚽
G. Carey2 ⚽
B. van Hoeven2 ⚽
A. Denholm2 ⚽
ArbroathG. Reilly2 ⚽
R. Dow2 ⚽
A. Winter2 ⚽
M. McKenna1 ⚽
R. Flynn1 ⚽
R. Molotnikov1 ⚽
Cards Given
LivingstonR. Muirhead3 🟨
C. MacPherson3 🟨
B. Kabongolo3 🟨
E. Danso3 🟨
S. May2 🟨
B. Iseni1 🟨
ArbroathS. Constable6 🟨
S. Stewart3 🟨
S. Mackie3 🟨
T. O'Brien2 🟨
T. Beadling2 🟨
Ryan Dow1 🟨