Morton vs Ayr Utd — Championship
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Cappielow Park·Greenock·Scotland·11,612
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Morton and Ayr Utd meet in the Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Morton have recorded 0 wins from 12 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Ayr Utd have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for Morton and 1.13 for Ayr Utd. The models give Morton a 32% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Ayr Utd win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Morton—
Ayr Utd10º
Position
6º
0.14
PPG
1.14
0%
Win %
29%
0.57
Goals / game
1.00
1.86
Conceded / game
1.14
33%
BTTS %
47%
8%
Clean sheet %
40%
33%
Over 2.5 %
47%
2.0
Avg corners
5.0
5.0
Avg shots
12.0
1.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
10.0
Avg fouls
13.0
33.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Morton
Home (4)
—
Ayr Utd
Away (4)
0.00
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
25%
0.50
Goals / game
0.75
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
29%
BTTS %
43%
14%
Clean sheet %
29%
29%
Over 2.5 %
29%
2.0
Avg corners
5.0
5.0
Avg shots
12.0
1.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
33.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Morton | Home | Away | Ayr Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 33% | 29% | 40% | 87% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 75% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 67% | 71% | 60% | 13% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Morton | Home | Away | Ayr Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 86% | 100% | 60% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 29% | 80% | 27% | 13% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 14% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 14% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Morton | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 20% |
| BTTS | 33% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Morton | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 8% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Morton (H)L
Dunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1L
Livingston1–4
Livingston1–4L
Arbroath1–2
Arbroath1–2L
Partick0–1
Partick0–1L
Inverness CT0–1
Inverness CT0–1L
Linlithgow Rose0–1
Linlithgow Rose0–1Ayr Utd (A)W
Queen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0LPartick0–1
Partick0–1L
Raith Rovers0–2
Raith Rovers0–2L
Kilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3DDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1W
Falkirk1–0
Falkirk1–0Number of Corners
4.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
10.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Morton | Ayr Utd | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Morton | Ayr Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 42 matches
13
Morton
31%
18
Draws
43%
11
Ayr Utd
26%
79%
Over 1.5
33/42
45%
Over 2.5
19/42
29%
Over 3.5
12/42
69%
BTTS
29/42
29/08/26Morton
Ayr Utd
1–1Morton21/03/26Morton
Ayr Utd
0–1Morton27/12/25Ayr Utd
Morton
1–1Ayr Utd18/10/25Morton
Ayr Utd
2–1Morton23/08/25Ayr Utd
Morton
2–2Ayr Utd08/03/25Ayr Utd
Morton
2–1Ayr Utd28/12/24Morton
Ayr Utd
0–0Morton30/11/24Morton
Ayr Utd
2–0Morton08/11/24Ayr Utd
Morton
1–1Ayr Utd28/09/24Morton
Ayr Utd
1–0Morton09/04/24Morton
Ayr Utd
1–1Morton02/01/24Ayr Utd
Morton
3–0Ayr Utd28/10/23Morton
Ayr Utd
0–1Morton05/08/23Ayr Utd
Morton
3–1Ayr Utd08/04/23Morton
Ayr Utd
1–1Morton07/03/23Ayr Utd
Morton
1–3Ayr Utd05/11/22Morton
Ayr Utd
1–1Morton22/09/22Ayr Utd
Morton
1–1Ayr Utd03/09/22Ayr Utd
Morton
1–2Ayr Utd26/03/22Ayr Utd
Morton
1–1Ayr Utd| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stenhousemuir | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 3 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 | Livingston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayr Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | Inverness CT | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Morton- ●Morton have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Morton have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Morton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Morton have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Morton have lost their last 4 home matches.
Ayr Utd- ●Ayr Utd have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MortonLHDunfermline0–1
Dunfermline0–1LHLivingston1–4
Livingston1–4LAQueen's Park1–2
Queen's Park1–2DAAyr Utd1–1
Ayr Utd1–1LHArbroath1–2
Arbroath1–2LAStenhousemuir0–2
Stenhousemuir0–2–AInverness CT25/09
Inverness CT25/09–HRaith Rovers03/10
Raith Rovers03/10–AArbroath10/10
Arbroath10/10Ayr UtdWAQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0LHInverness CT1–3
Inverness CT1–3LAPartick0–1
Partick0–1DHMorton1–1
Morton1–1LARaith Rovers0–2
Raith Rovers0–2DADunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1–HStenhousemuir25/09
Stenhousemuir25/09–ALivingston03/10
Livingston03/10–HDunfermline10/10
Dunfermline10/10Top Scorers
MortonD. Black1 ⚽
E. Brophy1 ⚽
L. Fairnie1 ⚽
M. O'Halloran1 ⚽
Ayr UtdO. Stirton5 ⚽
R. Taylor5 ⚽
B. Summers2 ⚽
J. Murphy2 ⚽
L. McBeth2 ⚽
K. Holt1 ⚽
Cards Given
MortonG. Gillespie5 🟨
L. Fairnie3 🟨
H. Cochrane3 🟨
E. Brophy2 🟨
C. Ballantyne2 🟨
C. Okike2 🟨
Ayr UtdK. Holt2 🟨
O. Stirton2 🟨
L. McBeth2 🟨
L. King1 🟨
N. McAllister1 🟨
R. Lyon1 🟨