Arbroath vs Ayr Utd — Championship
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Gayfield Park·Arbroath·Scotland·6,600
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Arbroath and Ayr Utd meet in the Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Arbroath have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Ayr Utd have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Arbroath and 0.96 for Ayr Utd. The models give Arbroath a 43% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Ayr Utd win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Arbroath—
Ayr Utd8º
Position
7º
1.10
PPG
1.20
30%
Win %
30%
0.70
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.10
44%
BTTS %
50%
22%
Clean sheet %
33%
61%
Over 2.5 %
44%
3.0
Avg corners
5.0
8.0
Avg shots
12.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
13.0
Avg fouls
13.0
56.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Home vs Away
Arbroath
Home (5)
—
Ayr Utd
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
1.40
40%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.80
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
50%
30%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.0
Avg corners
5.0
8.0
Avg shots
12.0
3.0
Avg shots on target
6.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
56.0%
Avg possession
56.0%
Goals Scored
| Arbroath | Home | Away | Ayr Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 80% | 38% | 83% | 90% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 30% | 38% | 56% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 10% | 13% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 20% | 63% | 17% | 10% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Arbroath | Home | Away | Ayr Utd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 70% | 88% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 40% | 50% | 22% | 10% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 10% | 38% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 30% | 13% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arbroath | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 17% |
| BTTS | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arbroath | Ayr Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Arbroath (H)L
Morton1–2
Morton1–2W
Queen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1D
Dunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1W
Livingston1–0
Livingston1–0D
Inverness CT0–0
Inverness CT0–0W
Stirling Albion1–0
Stirling Albion1–0Ayr Utd (A)WLivingston2–1
Livingston2–1WQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0L
Partick0–1
Partick0–1L
Raith Rovers0–2
Raith Rovers0–2L
Kilmarnock2–3
Kilmarnock2–3DDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1Number of Corners
5.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
10.0
Corners / Match
1 games
| Match Corners | Arbroath | Ayr Utd | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 100% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Arbroath | Ayr Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.0 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 100% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
8
Arbroath
30%
10
Draws
37%
9
Ayr Utd
33%
78%
Over 1.5
21/27
41%
Over 2.5
11/27
22%
Over 3.5
6/27
48%
BTTS
13/27
01/08/26Arbroath
Ayr Utd
2–0Arbroath11/04/26Arbroath
Ayr Utd
1–0Arbroath03/03/26Ayr Utd
Arbroath
1–1Ayr Utd15/11/25Arbroath
Ayr Utd
1–1Arbroath01/08/25Ayr Utd
Arbroath
1–1Ayr Utd19/07/25Arbroath
Ayr Utd
4–0Arbroath13/04/24Arbroath
Ayr Utd
5–0Arbroath23/01/24Arbroath
Ayr Utd
2–0Arbroath13/01/24Ayr Utd
Arbroath
0–0Ayr Utd02/09/23Ayr Utd
Arbroath
2–1Ayr Utd31/03/23Ayr Utd
Arbroath
2–0Ayr Utd14/01/23Arbroath
Ayr Utd
2–2Arbroath29/10/22Ayr Utd
Arbroath
0–2Ayr Utd30/07/22Arbroath
Ayr Utd
0–0Arbroath19/03/22Ayr Utd
Arbroath
1–0Ayr Utd08/01/22Arbroath
Ayr Utd
1–0Arbroath23/10/21Ayr Utd
Arbroath
1–1Ayr Utd07/08/21Arbroath
Ayr Utd
2–2Arbroath17/04/21Ayr Utd
Arbroath
4–0Ayr Utd27/02/21Arbroath
Ayr Utd
0–1Arbroath| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 10 | Morton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Arbroath- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Arbroath have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Arbroath failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Arbroath have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Arbroath's goals conceded were conceded away.
Ayr Utd- ●Ayr Utd have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ayr Utd failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ayr Utd have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Ayr Utd have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ArbroathLHMorton1–2
Morton1–2LAPartick0–3
Partick0–3WHQueen's Park2–1
Queen's Park2–1LAStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1LARaith Rovers0–4
Raith Rovers0–4DHDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1–AInverness CT17/10
Inverness CT17/10–ALivingston24/10
Livingston24/10–HRaith Rovers31/10
Raith Rovers31/10Ayr UtdDHDunfermline1–1
Dunfermline1–1WALivingston2–1
Livingston2–1LHStenhousemuir0–1
Stenhousemuir0–1WAQueen's Park2–0
Queen's Park2–0LHInverness CT1–3
Inverness CT1–3LAPartick0–1
Partick0–1–HPartick16/10
Partick16/10–AMorton24/10
Morton24/10–HQueen's Park31/10
Queen's Park31/10Top Scorers
ArbroathG. Reilly2 ⚽
R. Dow2 ⚽
A. Winter2 ⚽
M. McKenna1 ⚽
R. Flynn1 ⚽
R. Molotnikov1 ⚽
Ayr UtdO. Stirton6 ⚽
R. Taylor5 ⚽
L. McBeth3 ⚽
K. Holt2 ⚽
J. Murphy2 ⚽
B. Summers2 ⚽
Cards Given
ArbroathS. Constable6 🟨
S. Stewart3 🟨
S. Mackie3 🟨
T. O'Brien2 🟨
T. Beadling2 🟨
Ryan Dow1 🟨
Ayr UtdL. McBeth3 🟨
O. Stirton2 🟨
N. McAllister2 🟨
K. Shanks2 🟨
K. Holt2 🟨
R. Lyon2 🟨